Good Monday everyone and thanks for dropping in on the blog. As hard as it is to believe, we are just about to wrap up summer and head into fall. Labor Day Weekend is almost upon us and the weather looks like it may be in a rather changeable mood.

Before we get into the changes ahead… I noticed some talk of “drought” in the comments section of the last update. While there are several areas of the state that are in need of rain, the term “drought” is not to be used lightly and does not fit overall conditions across the state. For those of you who have lived through some “real” droughts around here over the past years. You have heard the words “Palmer Drought Index” way to many times to count. You are about to hear it again as the Palmer Drought Index shows the state within the normal category…




Again… that doesn’t mean there aren’t many areas seeing short term dry conditions.

We are starting off this brand new work week with more in the way of dry weather as we have a gorgeous day in store. Highs on this Monday will range from the upper 70s in the east to near 85 in the west.

Areas that have clear skies overnight will see temps take a nice little tumble into the low and mid 50s. The coldest valleys in the east have a shot at an upper 40. Again… clear skies will have to rule for the lowest temps to be noted.

Tuesday will see a few clouds begin to return as our temps start to climb. The heat will be bulging eastward across the plains and will likely have scattered showers and storms along the eastern edge of it and these may wander in here for Wednesday and Thursday.

The west will continue to run much hotter than areas of central and eastern Kentucky right on into the upcoming holiday weekend. Low 90s will be very possible in the west as the east has a shot at a 90. Again… shower and storm action will have something to say about that on the local level.

The pattern from Saturday through Labor Day will feature an increasing threat for showers and thunderstorms as a strong cold front approaches from the northwest late Sunday. This should have a decent amount of moisture working into it from the south and the models are seeing this…

GFS WEEKEND RAIN TOTALS


Something else the models are seeing is the amount of cool air building up in Canada. The holiday weekend front should have a nice little cool shot of air coming in behind it for much of next week. The European Model is very bullish with a major trough in the east by Monday…



We will have to wait and see just how deep this trough winds up being… but the trend is for a fairly amplified solution.

Also of note for next week is the threat for another Atlantic Hurricane making a run toward the states. Something to watch for as much of the east coast tries to piece things back together from Hurricane Irene.

Have a great Monday and take care.