Good Thursday everyone. The wild weather we have been talking about for the past few days gets cranking out there today with the threat for severe thunderstorms across most of the state. We have that to talk about and the chance for snow next week!

Let’s start with the severe threat. We have a potent low developing today across the lower Mississippi Valley and this low will ride northward toward us this evening and overnight. Warm air will surge into the state today with temps heading into the 70s. Instability ahead of this low will be strongest across the deep south where a major outbreak of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes will be likely today. For us… the instability won’t be as great but will likely be strong enough to produce scattered severe thunderstorms during the late afternoon and evening hours.

Here is the latest outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Damaging winds and large hail will be the main threats with isolated tornadoes possible. Watch the clouds today as if we can get mostly sunny skies for much of the day… our severe weather threat will increase. You can track the storms here with radar…



As the low moves overhead of us tonight and early Friday… heavy rains and very gusty winds will be likely. Friday will see showers ending during the afternoon with temps only in the low 50s.

Saturday looks good as temps head toward the 60s under sunny skies. The next system will be rolling in late Sunday with increasing clouds and showers and thunderstorms developing. Temps ahead of the front will soar toward 70. Enjoy it because winter is going to be moving in quickly Sunday night and Monday morning. Temps will drop more than 30 degrees in just a few hours time as a wicked cold air outbreak moves in.

Early next week looks ugly and similar to a similar cold and snow shower outbreak that hit is during the same time back in 2007. Check out the GFS for Monday…

Morning



Evening


Those maps show widespread snow showers with temps struggling to get out of the 30s for highs Monday. Oh yeah… the model does TRY to put a little of the white stuff on the ground Monday…



Wow… does anyone else feel like crying?

Tuesday will see some snow showers and flurries trying to continue with temps again struggling to get into the 40s for highs.

GFS Tuesday Morning


With an early bloom to a lot of plants and trees taking place right now… we have to really be on guard for the possibility of a freeze next week. The best chance would come Wednesday morning as temps dip into the 20s. Brrrrrr!

The blog will be watching the severe weather threat and will update as needed through the day and will go live if needed so check back. Have a great Thursday and take care.