Good afternoon everyone. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the developing winter storm THREAT for the weekend. The models continue to come into better agreement in showing a heavy, wet snowstorm impacting our region. The greatest threat is the same area I highlighted last night… eastern and southeastern Kentucky.
This does not mean we aren’t going to see the models come a little farther west as that is still a distinct possibility. One thing is certain… we will see a VERY sharp western and northern cutoff to the snow shield. Let’s take a look at the latest snow forecasts from the models. The NAM continues to pound southern and eastern Kentucky…
That’s a huge swath of 6″-12″ of snow. The NAM did shift east just a bit from some of it’s earlier runs. The GFS is doing exactly what we suspected and is coming back to the west. It is not as wet as the NAM right now… it matches up pretty well with the overall placement of the heaviest snow…
That is 3″-6″ of snow the model is showing. But… it is just catching up to the rest of the models so I would think it will trend wetter with the next few runs.
Our Winter Storm Threat continues with southern and eastern Kentucky being the prime target right now! This is still not even close to being set in stone… but the odds are now with us that a heavy, west snowstorm will impact some of our region.
I will update as needed later today. I fully expect Winter Storm Watches to be issued this afternoon!
Take care.
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GREAT POST LEGEND,
THE GOAT IS DRUNK AND HE BACK ON BOARD FOR 8 PLUS HE FORCASTED LAST NITE,
I am still not excited YET THOUGH, this afternoon will TELL THE TELL.
TY OLE BUDDY FOR THE UPDATE, it HAS SOOTH THE GOAT DOWN and he has went to some whole grain again.
ROLO doesnt feel good about it, but hell the LEGEND and THE GOAT are the REAL EXPERTS THOUGH!!!
Thanks Chris…keep us posted.
TIM!! UR SLEEPING AGAIN!!!WAKE UP WE STILL GOT A DOG IN THIS FIGHT.
talk to my tenn home boy, im still not THRILLED myself, but dang if THE GOAT and THE LEGEND and the HOME BOY says NOT SO FAST MY FRIEND, well then ROLO might jump back on the wagon before 4pm eastern.
midday song ITS FINALLY FRIDAY!! BY THE POSSUM.
I’m still trying not to get too excited. I’m afraid we’ll end up with a repeat of all the other times – the rug ends up pulled out from underneath us. But it is on my radar that it’s a possibility. I guess I’m at the point that I’ll have to actually see it to believe it.
This system kind of reminds me of 1998. That one shifted west….
CB is very smart not pegging anything yet. The models giveth and reality taketh away 😉
Tim-quick change my name!
Rolo, where are you again?
Coffee Lady, what kind of coffee is your fave? Just have to ask givin your name.
Thanks Chris for the update!!!!!!
I am totally excited again.
You said it, Bubba, you said it. NOt giving up yet, but not biting into the thing fully yet, either. We will see….we will see….. 😉
As I said earlier, southern KY looks to get the best from this now, but I’m not convinced about the NAM Totals just yet. But I’m beginning to get cautiously excited about London seeing a decent snow.
Just a reminder…
*STATEWIDE TORNADO TEST DRILL — TUESDAY MORNING*
I guess if the NAM plays out for SE/Southern KY I would get my snow fix for the year (last 10 years). I have a 10 year old that has never really gotten to play in a decent snow, which is really sad. Still a whole lot of time left in the game though. These models have been junk more than 24 hrs (maybe even 12) this winter.
LOL my employer will laugh at that
Bubba, say it ain’t true. SE/Southern KY is the true snowdome of the state, and a shift to the west may not be good. Lex. has over a foot of snow this year. We have under 5 inches total for the last two years. Hopefully, this one time we will be the ones with a decent snow.
MUDDY IM IN Manchester ky
aka GUNCHESTER.
Shoot, I live just 15 miles from Lexington (Richmond) and we have gotten about nine inches of snow this winter- ten if we count the ice.
I expect the system to stay more an east SE event (as I have been saying), but the ingredients are there for a slight westerly shift- depends on what “slight” is. Either case, I would expect east and SE KY to get more than other KY areas.
This all assumes we get anything of course 😉 Them models can be heartbreakers. 🙁
I GOT MY FINGERS CROSSED FOR THE NAM SNOWFALL..WOW…thats a 6-8″ snow in my backyard…and the gfs has 1″…LOL..that will probably be the one that is right…lol..
What about the sharp cutoff showing up to the east also?
Heck, I live just 15 miles from Lexington (Richmond) and we have gotten about nine inches of snow this winter- ten if we count the ice.
I expect the system to stay more an east SE event (as I have been saying), but the ingredients are there for a slight westerly shift- depends on what “slight” is. Either case, I would expect east and SE KY to get more than other KY areas, hence my 1″ to 4″ range (4″ being in east & SE KY).
This all assumes we get anything of course 😉 Them models can be heartbreakers. 🙁
Reminder to all – time changes next weekend, March 8. Roll the clocks forward 1 hour.
every forcaster i see on net are going with GFS, so why even show the NAM if everybody thinks GFS is the RIGHT MODEL.
SAW NOBODY, Frank strait included that even mention any model but the GFS.
so that worries me TIM, we probably get stuick with nothing but a inch or 2.
Wonder if their is still a chance this will track further West? Most of the storms have done so this year. Call me stubborn but I am not wanting to give up just yet. Guess we will know more tonight.
Well, as usual with the snowfall maps,it either sideswipes or misses NelsonCo. all the way around…
I’m not giving up hope yet, tho. But it would be nice to see Tim, Coffelady and all those that have been wanting it this winter to finally get it!:)
OH!-I’m DEFINITLY not discountingout snow chances NOW!-I just looked outside and my Japanese Maple is FULL of Cardinals once again! That’s always a no-fail, SURE sign for us here! (Plus they’re now being joined by a lot of little group of snowbird!:)-My chances are increasing! YAAY!
Typically they only show the GFS. Just because that’s all they’re showing doesn’t mean its going to be right. I see many showing, but I don’t think many are “going with” it exactly.
How much snow in my back yard in Somerset Shane? I live off of HWY 80. How much? LOL Just Joking. I hope your right about Southern KY getting the bullseye from this.
Weird looking snow map… Heavy batch in EastKy/West Va….. Heavy batch in North Carolina… another heavy bacth in Mo. Ark. TN area…
Looks like North Carolina is gonna get pounded with heavy snow.
ty sir, just look at 4 nationally known casters that was going with the GFS.
Does anyone know which of the maps has been the most reliable so far this winter? Has the GFS been accurate this far out with the other systems? Why would CB be giving the NAM any play time if it wasn’t a definite possibility? I still have my hopes up for a big one. I am the eternal snow optimist:)
You know where to find my blog Micheal, and you also know we’re in the time frame where I usually start putting up first call maps for kicks and giggles.
I think Frank did mention others. In his “summary” he states other models are farther north or south and he mentioned the NAM in his video discussion. He said though that he “wanted” the 6z GFS to be right for the areas that typically don’t see snow to get it.
GFS has been pretty decent in the time frame we’re in right now so far this winter. NAM hasn’t been fairing to well at all, but it has support from the Canadian on this storm which has been the most consistent of all the models for this storm, and is personally which model I’m leaning towards at this time.
Thanks. I think I’ll lean that way too then, since it’s giving us more of the white stuff.
I noticed that LMK is forecasting 1-3″ of snow in Russell Springs, Albany, Liberty and Stanford.
Honestly, not to stir the pot here…but in my opinion the NAM is the king. Especially with clipper systems…NAM blows the others out of the water. I’m not sure why anyone would write the NAM off. The only drawback is it goes 84 hours only..but really that’s the timeframe that counts.
FUNNY…I just watched J.B.’s Video update on accuweather site…he says 3-6″ coming down through missouri..all the way to the miss. river. THEN (in his words pidly snows in ky) ky left out of accum. snows, then accum. snows again in w.va northeast…LOL….WHAT is it about ky.
I guess I’ll grasp and hold to the nam, for just as long as i can…
So, WXman, how much snow do you think I’ll get here in Corbin?
so when does the next gfs, nam and other runs come out?
Is this even classified as a clipper ? This is the first time i have heard of this system referred to as a clipper
I can hand an inch or two! I do want spring though!
Hey Tim did you notice on the second map that it has that big loop above Whitley County? Its like someone is standing there telling the snow “you can’t come into our County. I have noticed this several times throughout the winter.
This is one time I hope your 100% right…lol…
Tim, if only we could find out what it was about KY that kept us missing out all the time….LOL!!
Still overcast here in East Bernstadt. Storms never really got that bad here this morning although we were in a severe thunderstorm warning.
For anyone interested in chatting about snow chances, Freaksters is open for business. 😉
http://www.freaksters.com
lol..yeah the gfs says maybe 1″ for us sadie…figures..that’ll probably be right to
As much of the noon LMK discussion as I could post:
VERY COMPLICATED FORECAST SHAPING UP FOR THIS FORECAST PERIOD AS
CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW DIVES SE TOWARD THE GULF STATES AND INDUCED
SFC LOW CRUISES TO OUR SE AND THEN UP THE EASTERN U.S. COAST.
SHORT-MED RANGE MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT
WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN. STRONG H5 CLOSED LOW IS FCST TO
DROP SE OUT OF THE PLAINS AND DOWN INTO THE GULF COAST STATES
CARVING OUT A HUGE UPPER TROF OVER THE EASTERN U.S. AS THIS H5 LOW
CRUISES SE…SFC CYCLOGENESIS WILL TAKE PLACE OVER THE SOUTHERN U.S.
AND THEN MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARD THE COAST. THESE TWO SYSTEMS WILL
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BRING SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION
WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ACCUMULATING SNOWS. THE NAM AND EURO
SOLUTIONS ARE PRETTY SIMILAR WITH THE SFC LOW TRACKS AND
PRECIPITATION PATTERNS…BUT DIFFER ON THEIR THERMAL STRUCTURE. THE
GFS HAS SHIFTED A BIT FURTHER SOUTH WITH ITS PRECIPITATION AND KEEPS
BEST CHANCES OF PRECIP ACROSS FAR WEST KY…DOWN INTO TN AND INTO
FAR SE KY.
GIVEN THE DETERMINISTIC MODEL SOLUTIONS…HAVE GIVEN CAREFUL
CONSIDERATION TO THE LATEST SREF AND GFS ENSEMBLES. THEIR SOLUTIONS
ARE PRETTY SIMILAR TO THE OPERATIONAL MODELS AND YIELD A GENERAL
AVERAGE IN THE OVERALL SOLUTIONS. THE ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO TREND
UPWARD WITH PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES FOR THE SAT-SAT NIGHT TIME
FRAME. THOUGH WILL LIKELY HAVE A SHARP GRADIENT IN POPS WITH THE
LOWEST CHANCES IN OUR NORTHWEST HALF AND HIGHEST IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN
HALF. OVERALL…FCST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ON THE PRECIPITATION
CHANCES…BUT PRECIPITATION TYPE IS A BIT MORE TOUGH TO NAIL DOWN.
IN REGARDS TO THE THERMAL STRUCTURE OF THIS SYSTEM…THERE ARE STILL
SOME KEY DIFFERENCES NOTED. THE NAM AND GFS…AS WELL AS THEIR
ENSEMBLES ARE COOLER THAN THE EURO SOLUTIONS. THE GFS ENSEMBLES
STILL SHOW LOW-LEVEL 850MB NE WIND ANOMALIES WHICH TYPICALLY HELP
KEEP BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS DOWN. THE ANOMALIES IN BOTH THE GFS
ENSEMBLES AND SREF HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY SUPPORTING THE OVERALL
COLDER SOLNS OF THE OP GFS/NAM. ENSEMBLE PLUME DATA THOUGH SHOW TWO
DISTINCT CAMPS…HALF OF THE INDIVIDUAL MEMBERS SHOW A WINTRY MIX
AND RAIN…WITH THE OTHER HALF OF THE MEMBERS SHOWING ALL SNOW.
WHILE IT SEEMS THE MODELS ARE CONVERGING ON A SFC TRACK
SOLUTION…THE THERMAL STRUCTURE AGREEMENT WITHIN THE MODELS IS
STILL PRETTY WIDE. GIVEN THIS..STILL FEEL THAT THE NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE FA WILL LIKELY REMAIN COLD ENOUGH FOR MOSTLY
SNOW…THOUGH A WINTRY MIX CAN`T BE RULED OUT. FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS
SOUTHERN KY…A RAIN/SNOW MIX APPEARS MORE LIKELY FOR SAT WITH A
CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION FORECASTS ARE
ALSO QUESTIONABLE AT THIS TIME. THOUGH IT DOES APPEAR THAT THE BEST
CHANCES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION ARE MAINLY ACROSS OUR SOUTHEASTERN HALF
OF THE FA (MAINLY EAST OF A LINE FROM BOWLING GREEN TO FRANKFORT).
NAM shows a max. of 1.5″ of liquid equivalent. IF that was all snow you’d be looking at a foot of it in southeastern KY. HOWEVER, NAM also shows surface temperatures going into the mid 30s Saturday afternoon…so that would drastically cut down on amounts. I’m thinking 2-4 southeastern KY only at this point.
This discussion is 8-10 hours old right now. They only updated the aviation portion and left this intact from early in the morning.
Looking at the accuweather snow map. The snow is directly on the west side of KY, the it turns south east and goes directly under KY, then comes up to the east of KY on the way up the coast. Only a true snowdome could let a storm take a route like that. Hopefully they are wrong, but with our past history I wouldn’t count on it.
That’s a lot o’babble to say essentially nothing of substance. I think it could be summarized as
“Depending on what happens in the atmosphere, something will happen, and everybody will get some kind of weather. Someone somewhere will get some kind of weather that might be considered more interesting or more impressive, or different from someone else’s. Update at 11.”
NE BOYLE COUNTY: 47* Cloudy
Overnight and early this morning we had some heavy rain, some lightning and some heavy winds. Looking over storm reports even the storms that went severe barely met the criteria. The ice storm of January was far more dangerous and destructive.
As for this weekend you can read my thoughts here http://mjhdp.tripod.com/stormtracker/id17.html?x=78&y=17
And THAT, my friend, sounds like a quote from Billy Gillispie!!!
Snow dome exists.
http://i11.photobucket.com/albums/a185/tpollus/SNODOME.jpg
Well, the plot thickens……hmmmmmmmmmm….will it or won’t it? Time will tell. I just heard about tornadoes touching down in Alabams right now, so the weather is indeed, being fickle.
Waiting for the next update from Chris.
new EURO says RIG AROUND THE ROSIE,LOL
or should i say a horsehoe.
folks the GFS has nailed it once again.
All the excitement and then the posies all fall down, rolo. LOL
I won’t be so let down. I’m ready for spring anyway. 🙂 But, one more good snow would be beautiful!
What does that mean? Do we in east Ky still have a chance?
well look like low will move to far south and off coast, leabing snow thru mizz throu ark into tenn ga, westward.
with a low developing off carloina coast, then with snow in VA, carolina and so on, nothing here.
maybe a inxh or 2 for us with northern GA overinto carolina getting HAMMERED.
this from the latest NAM run as well, so it has switch course.
it shifted easward not west, the nam has.
Whatever flip-flopper.
Pike always has a chance its to ya South that is left out in the warm every time 😉
LoL
now we might get a little more with the WRAP AROUND, but as far as BIG DADDY it looks BAD.
but as quick as it changed from 1 run to next, tonite could shift back, but usually by now they lock in on it.
Crystal I fear it means not much snow if any……
the new nam 36hr. has the heaviest precip alittle north than the previous run, and looks more in line with the 12z gfs snowfall maps to me…but heck i’ve looked at so much today..its all blendin together…I think we should just throw our hands up and forget it!!!
hey SMART #$#@@@BILLY GOAT, the MODELS is what im posting about, cant make that up punk.
go look at NAM for urself, it not SHOWINGA SMACK DOWN anymore for ky.
I am going to Libya,I have a better chance of snow there in the desert than in Ky.
So I take it that I should do a grocery run in the mornin’?
Gotta get that Pepsi, Milk, Bread….hmmm. I’m sure I can & will think of some more stuff to go on this list.
Thanks for all the updates CB….
Tim what does that mean for eastern ky? I know Jackson sure don’t think we will get much……
FARRRRRRRRRRRR EAST KY, might get several inxhes and I mean FARRRRRRRRRR,ACCORDING TO LATEST RUNS.
maybe like 1 or 2 countied if ur lucky.
I mean i guess im reading it right. i know im reading it right.
no u dont need to make a run, i mean first its CHECK DAY, 2ND BIG DADDY is leavin town according to NEW MODELS. so no.
Umm, I think I’ll wait and see what Chris says. No offense.
I agree. This is NOT a storm that will strand people at home for a week…so no need for milk and bread panic.
This is similiar to the 96 storm set-up. Gulf moisture with artic cold, get hit once then wraps back around and smacks us twice.
***WELL HERE IS MY LOVELY NWS WINTER STORM FORECAST…IM OFFICIALLY READY FOR SPRING:!!***
Saturday: Rain and snow showers, mainly after 1pm. High near 37. Northeast wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Saturday Night: Rain and snow before 10pm, then rain and snow likely, possibly mixed with freezing rain. Low around 30. North northwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday: A slight chance of snow, mixing with rain after 10am, then gradually ending. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
MIX…MIX…AND NOW FREEZING RAIN BEING THROWN IN THE MIX…:(:(…and now NO SNOW ACCUMULATION EXPECTED PERIOD!!!!
Amen brother. For a fella thats profession is chicken fightin’, I believe I’ll stick with Chris, WHO IS A PROFESSIONAL!!!!!!
Here we go again … FLIP-FLOP
Name calling, yep I was right, you are a 12-year-old posing as an adult. LOL!
I got a 5’11 slavin grey ill hack u BILLY GOAT for a dime? u game.
in the KNIFE.
CONGRATS LEX.!!! HERE IS YOUR SNOWY FORECAST
Saturday: Snow, mainly after 1pm. High near 33. Northeast wind between 15 and 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of around 2 inches.
Saturday Night: Snow, mainly before 1am. Low around 22. Wind chill values as low as 10. North wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of around 1 inch.
So what’s the latest? Anyone Know anymore than what was posted around 12pm? Just wondering what to look forward to for good ole Morehead. Thanks.
Me too Marsha.
I know i will wait on Chris if he saids no snow then i will give up……
JKL out with weather statement
http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=KYZ079&warncounty=KYC199&firewxzone=KYZ079&local_place1=Somerset+KY&product1=Special+Weather+Statement
Thanks Bud, doesn’t sound like we are looking at much of anything, other than a nusance..would prefer to have the “big one” haha.
So the Whole state of Kentucky wont be getting any snow.
Chris throw us a bone before you go on air with your paying job lol One sentence anything lol!!!!!!!
i wish chris would give us an update. he knows what is going on.hurry up cb were awaiting your call
Ps Chris it doesnt have to be a T BONE either,come on Santa lol!!!
I’ll be glad when Chris disects this NUTTY forecast for us…JKL..saying anything from rain,snow,freez.rain,or all the above could fall on sat. and sat. night…shew…
chris knows it looks bad, but he will wait till next run before he goes all in.
really not much to say right now since he told us nothing was set,
look for a update when next model run, cause that when LEGEND will lock in as well with a downgrade from WST.
see i think several of the guys on blog havnt said anything cause they want to see the next run before they say anything.
Well, if my bum knee and bad back have anything to say about this weather, something’s moving in and it’s a biggie. I haven’t hurt like this in ages.
well changing the subject, tomm is the season for the CATS,
lose and go to NIT, and i dont see us winning, LSU to athletic for us overall.
AJ STEWART leaving and I dont blame him, played great in VANDY game and get no time at all hardly since.
and PP and MEEKS are gone as well.
off to spare some chickens, see ya friends.
so when do these models run? I understand holding off, but hey it’s late Friday afternoon..and I was just wondering whats going to happen…thanks.
The nam absolutely CLOBBERS ATLANTA GA. with heavy snow…from the 48hr. thru 66hr.
who would have ever thought a snowstorm of this significance would hit DIXIE!!and the carolina COASTLINE..and miss us…WOW..we definately live in the wrong lat./long. anymore for snowstorms…
so when do these models run? I understand holding off, but hey it’s late Friday afternoon..and I was just wondering whats going to happen…thanks.
KM, i gave u the latest runs in my summary. anything u had planned looks to be fine, wet roads and a tad on grassy areas.
border counties east might get a few inches, unless we see another model change.
but im just a redneck and dont get paid so.
1 model run is different it’s prolly not that big a deal after they have showed the storm pretty consistly so I’m not worried!!
It’s alright for someone to quit on HIS TEAM because he can’t get enough playing time? But it’s not alright when someone misses a game because his grandparent passed away?
Man, you make no sense.
yea, kind of sad, wouldn’t have minded one last hooray before it all ends..but it is what it is (deep huh?! ha)..
Models are a mess, so if we use history as our guide- not good news.
Not long to find out. My dibs is on 1″ to 4″- not a big event unless something amazing happens with the trends.
We have as much chance of a big snow as the Cats have in beating LSU 😉
ANd if the models change once they can definately change again
think you over extending yourself Bubba only people that are gonna see 4 inches is pick or Harlan and i doubt they will 2 inches max 😉
haha, come on I love the cats! now you’ve just double whammied me…bad news on the snow and bad comments on the cats.it’s Friday though, you can’t take that away from me Bubba ha
I don’t think the model runs look all that bad myself. Looking at the NAM, it looks to give Eastern KY a good snowfall still. It has backed off a little as far as QPF goes, but the track hasn’t really changed all that much. Euro has about the same track as the NAM. Will look and see what the GFS shows when it comes out here in about 10 minutes.
NWS is giving like 1-3 inches for Fleming County/Rowan county (Morehead) which is just an annoyance now…haha, I really want that last big blast of winter..than next week it can hit 70 I will be a happy camper!
KY (besides north) just doesn’t get big snows anymore. Chris does a great job of picking up the 1-2 inch snows that everyone misses, but I think when the big one comes it really is not going to be one to sneak up on us. Everyone will be on board (weather channel, accuweather, local stations, NWS).
I know one of our last real big snows was a miss by many, but that is the exception. To continuously hope that the majority of professionals are misreading the models is a reach. I know they may miss one here and there, but most of the time they are within the ball park. As much as I hoped this one would work out, it’s not looking that way.
WYMT’s Rob Hopkins mentioned during the 4pm news that there remains a LOT of uncertainty with the storm. His thinking (as of right now) is 3-6 inches in most of Eastern Kentucky while 1-3 inches expected elsewhere.
Rob H. said noone still doesnt have any idea what the snow will do.
Not looking too promising for my neck of the woods. Wo-hoo, another dusting. Oh, well, what else is new? But you folks in EKY lookin’ like you’ll get your wish. Congrats.
well the 18z gfs looks about the same..only time it shows good snow in east ky. is the 30hr. time frame…so,will it be snow or rain? or fruit salad
i’m voting for fruit salad been a while since i had that. Is it the kind with Jello in it if so i will pass
BM says 1 inch TG says 2-6 Tim
Guys chill out, wait till the 0z runs, also wait till everything is on the table because the classic NGM model says snow is a go
WOW!!…T.G. showing 4-6″ for east ky.
and CHRIS..saying good chance of 4+ inches in east ky…
Rob H. said 3-6 inches.
Tim is that for Morgan co I miss TG?
you missed him by bout 10 min Marsha
andy rose what did he give for morgan co?
you may have been on the northern edge of the 4-6 area
marsha, you were in the 4-6″ zone
Thanks!!!!!!!
Where was Casey COunty? how much did they say for me!!
What zone was Letcher Co in.
Tim I am just going to invite you up so you can enjoy what ever snow we get, I’m not enjoying this anymore lol. Here is My forcast lol for 2-4 even though that is not shown on the maps lol 🙂
Saturday: Snow, mainly after 1pm. High near 34. Northeast wind between 15 and 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of around 2 inches.
Saturday Night: Snow, mainly before 1am. Low around 22. Wind chill values as low as 10. North wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of around 2 inches.
i still expect another correction nw euro has already trended thoward this on it’s 12z run. ice may be a concern for later tommorow.
Tim, what about us in Knox? We get more Southern KY weather than E. Ky. Are we included firmly in the Eastern KY zone, or on the edge that usually gets left out?
2-6 would include us on TG’s map and he said could be more
Issued by The National Weather Service
Jackson, KY
3:34 pm EST, Fri., Feb. 27, 2009
… ACCUMULATING WET SNOWFALL POSSIBLE SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT…
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE DEEP SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS BY SATURDAY NIGHT. AS A RESULT… RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD EAST KENTUCKY ON SATURDAY AND LIKELY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS COLDER AIR IS PULLED SOUTH INTO THE AREA. FREEZING RAIN MAY ALSO OCCUR AT TIMES SATURDAY EVENING. THE MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA.
WET SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF GENERALLY AN INCH OR TWO ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM… ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY AND HIGHWAY 80. SOME LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. HOWEVER… THERE REMAINS A LARGE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARDS TO THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THE RESPONSIBLE STORM SYSTEM AND TEMPERATURES ALOFT OVER EAST KENTUCKY ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. AS A RESULT… HEAVIER SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE INDEED POSSIBLE AND RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY SHOULD STAY TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS AS THIS DEVELOPING WINTER WEATHER EVENT UNFOLDS.
2-4
the NW euro trended thoward ? what direction is that i assume you got in a hurry
4-6
letcher was in 4-6
Andy, How far west does the 2-6 line go. A lot of time Knox is on the line and usually gets a little less. Does the 2-6 line extend west of say Mcreary?
west of 75 i think if i remember correctly and comes down south enough cover 2/3rds of knox
Sky Alert Weather Forecast
An area of low pressure system is expected to move east across Alabama and Georgia Saturday reaching the South Carolina coast by Saturday night. A mixture of snow and rain will be possible across the area on Saturday with the precipitation changing to all snow by Saturday night. Some of that snowfall Saturday night could be locally heavy at times. The exact track of this storm system will determine how much snow falls. At this time, generally 1-3″ of snow is likely across much of the region with areas along and near the Mountain Parkway possibly picking up more snow. That all depends on where the heaviest snow bands set up, if they do. There are still a lot of uncertainties with the forecast and snow totals could be increased or decreased tonight into tomorrow. Stay tuned to WYMT.
Meteorologist Rob Hopkins
Henry from accuweather has left us out
http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/abrams/2009/snow22709.png
How does the line always seem to be on the edge or within the borders on Knox Co? Almost every snow forecast that comes out has the split in this area. I guess being on the line is better than being left out, but it does usually lead to lower totals overall.
Old Henry must have been figuring the dome factor into his forecast. Amazing how the setup is west, then south, then east of KY, somehow making a half circle around the state.
Well most of the Weather Guys are saying snow.
That’s a good sign.
TG says 4-6 for Laurel County, or I think that is what that map was indicating, if so……..yipppeeeeee
LOL!!!!!!!!!
so a NW trend, ice and how much snow for lex?
Rob H.said at 6pm news that
3-6 for Hazard,Harlan,Whitesburg,pike co and all of the other co in eastren ky.
I hope he’s right but everyone else is saying 1-2 or 1-3.
well it appears ole Henry is putting all his rocks in 1 bucket
http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS_MESO-ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_72HR.gif
I notice that Kroger has not issued any BREAD AND MILK watches or warnings yet. I don’t see how much can happen until the omnipresent and all powerful Kroger meteorology department weighs in on this one.
Me thinks warm air will be more of a player than expected. Could be more rain to cut into totals. If mainly snow and the system stays “on track” east KY will have a lot of wet heavy snow to deal with.
Us Richmond area folks will accept our 1″ to 2″ snow like we always do. Yippee….
I stopped on the way home and picked up a few things just in case of heavy snow. 🙂 Kroger didn’t have to tell me, lol. I’m concerned that heavy snow could leave us without electricity. I also have my kerosene heater ready.
But even that one shows some decent snows across parts of KY into WV and on..which he doesn’t highlight.
update out on the WSAZ.com blog but not here yet
Chris will update tonight when he knows more.
Thanks for everything, Chris!
can anyone tell me how much snow is expected in london, lily and corbin area
5-10″ of snow exp. in northern miss.,northern al.,and northern ga…
talk about luck man they are gonna get a good one…
feederband,
Let’s go Krogering. LOL Gotta get that milk and bread so the milk can sour and the bread can mold. What do you do with milk and bread when you buy nothing else? HMMM! It’s gotta be a snow God who knows the answer. Whatever happens…everyone be preped just in case. Going out for Mexican…may need “MILK” of Mag instead of the milk!
I have beer, bourbon, and girl scout cookies…bring on the snow. 🙂
HA! Love it. Bought 5 boxes of the GS cookies yesterday. Have the beer and vodka here. Great minds get prepared. lol
Click my name
I live in northern pike co. i’m in the medium shade of blue on the 1st map. how much is that?
I am coming to yours and Packmans house lol!!!!
Go to the bottom of the page of the map and enlarge and at the bottom it will tell you all the colors.
Here is the link (my bad) for the colors at the bottom of the page
http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS_MESO-ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_72HR.gif
so according to the NAM i’m in the 10-12 in. range. If i get that much i’ll be celebrating!!!!!!!!!!!!! if any of us get 1 foot, we’ll have to throw a blog party!!!!!!!!!!!!!
snow ratio wherever it falls will be low, 5-1 er it will be so WET.
thanks shane, i appreciate the info.
I’m thinking 2 or 3 inches for lex based on the data through 18z any ice should be under 1/10th inch.
What color would be letcher CO
going by the snowfall map crystal posted, only a thin strip of central and eastern ky. gets 2-5″ of snow ..south and north gets none..
I’m still hoping for the NAM totals at the top of blog…
IM STILL HOLDIN ON….
ha! and you’re the one who said we’ll only get 2 snowflakes last week when i got 3in.
If you go by the NAM map at the top of the page your in the dark blue vanessa.
new 00z nam caling this one a major dud the precip never works north there’s no dynimcal cooling and we get a few cold rain showers.
sref and ngm have a lot more precip in the region on the evening runs.
yea as expected the earlier run this afternoon said NOTHING, and tonite hold TRUE.
ONCEAGAIN the SNOWDOME LIVES.LOL
NAM THIS MORNING 6-12 INCHES
NAM AFTERNOON SAID NOTHING, LOL
NAM NOW SAYS NOTHING.
U TELL ME WHAT JUNK TILL WE ARE 30 HOURS OR LESS OUT.
mitch the 24hr. of the 00z NAM shows the heaviest precip. still in same area over s.e. ky…only difference I see is its having trouble with the cold air..showing dynamic cooling right over the heaviest precip in s.e. ky. Then by the 30hr. it shows all of east ky with light snows…OR AT LEAST THATS MY TAKE ON IT…lol..
yeah still an inch or so for the ridgetops of se ky after a changeover around 02Z sun.
well all I can say is DONT NEVER SAY THER GFS is out to lunxh again when other models are saying BIGGIE.
turns out the GFS has nailed this one for days.
several on here said the GFS was lost.
Good evening folks! Still batting around the forecast, I see. And nothing fresh from Chris yet? Hmmmmm….that can mean two things. Either it is looking good, and he wants to make sure before he says so, or its looking……puzzling, and he really doesn’t know what else to say at this point.
Either way, I know he will update when he is ready to, so I guess we will just have to wait! But I do have to say, those snowfall maps are very nice to look at and dream about! 😉
COFFEELADY U OK, those MAPS are false hope to some around here right now,
the MODELS are nowhere CLOSEE TO EITHER OF THOSE.
but yea it good to look at and say what might have been only 36 hours out.
not rednecking but CB probably went home to eat with family or something after evening news, and he will post the bad news shortly.
The NAM seem to be having alot of trouble with this one. Is this system too complex for it to get a grip on? We might not know until 8-10 hrs out whats gonna happen.
one thing is pretty much set in stone…is about every run since late yesterday or earlier has shown heavy snow for central ga. up through the peidmont of the carolina’s…LUCKY DOGS…It will shut them down..they dont have snow removal equipment that far south…
Rolo, It ain’t over till the fat lady sings and I ain’t heard nothing yet! Seems to me nobody knows what its going to do.
ok I LOVE U ALL!!!
got to get in bed, gotta get up at 3. be safe and pray that a miracle happens.
CFEELDY lov u, didnt mean to sound like a redneck there, I know u was being sarcastic.
hey it not formed up yet so there always hope.
when they dont give it when we get it anyway.
FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
840 PM EST FRI FEB 27 2009
…WINTRY PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT…
WV IMAGERY AND SFC OBS THIS AFTERNOON DEPICTING UPPER LEVEL LOW
DROPPING SOUTH OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS WITH A SFC LOW FORMING IN
THE ARKLATEX REGION. THESE TWO FEATURES WILL CAUSE WINTRY
PRECIPITATION OVER THE MIDWEST IN THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. OF MOST
CONCERN FOR OUR FORECAST AREA (FA) IS THE TRACK OF THE SFC LOW.
ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AMONG THE MODELS…THE
GENERAL CONSENSUS IS A NE TRACK FROM ARKLATEX TO NORTHERN GEORGIA TO
THE EAST COAST STATES. WITH THE LOW TRACKING TO OUR SOUTH…PRECIP
IN THE DEFORMATION ZONE OF THE SYSTEM WILL BE FALLING OVER OUR
AREA. AS WITH THE LAST FORECAST…CONFIDENCE IS FAIRLY HIGH THAT
PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE BLUEGRASS PKWY AND UP THROUGH LEXINGTON AND FRANKFORT. THE
12Z NAM MODELS OFFER A DRIER SOLN…SO WILL PUT LESS WEIGHT ON THEM
AND STICK WITH THE MORE CONSISTENT GFS AND ENSEMBLE SOLNS FOR QPF
VALUES. AS FOR PRECIP TYPE…THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE COLD AIR AT THE SFC AND ALOFT. TAKING
INTO CONSIDERATION PAST FORECASTS AND THE LATEST MODEL RUNS…HAVE
DECIDED TO START PRECIP OUT TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT IN THE FAR SOUTH
AS RA/FZRA…DRY ELSEWHERE. THEN PRECIP WILL SPREAD NORTH EARLY
SATURDAY WITH LIGHT SNOW OVER THE NORTH AND RA/SN MIX OVER THE
SOUTH. AS THE AIR COLUMN COOLS LATE SAT AFTERNOON…PRECIP WILL BE
CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW OVER THE ENTIRE FA BY SAT NIGHT. SINCE
QPF AMOUNTS WILL BE GREATEST IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE FA…BELIEVE 1-3 INCHES OF SNOW WILL OCCUR IN THESE AREAS WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FA EXPECT
AROUND AN INCH OR LESS OF SNOWFALL. AN SPS WILL BE ISSUED FOR KY
THIS AFTERNOON HIGHLIGHTING THE SNOWFALL. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT
THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY REMAINING IN THE TRACK OF
THIS SYSTEM AND BASED ON THE FINAL SOLUTION…SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD
GO UP OR DOWN IN COMING FORECASTS.
A BRISK NE WIND WILL REMAIN TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT GUSTING UP TO
25 TO 30 MPH AT TIMES. TEMPS WILL BE IN THE 30S TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW…WITH 20S FOR LOWS SAT NIGHT.
Good night, Flip-flopper.
41* with a stiff cold wind blowing here.
hmmm..wonder if it’ll be cold enough for snow by the time the precip gets here…by the looks of radar it’ll be scraping the southern counties way before dawn…already into middle tn. now as far east as nashville and as far north (ON RADAR ANYWAYS) as paducah to bowling green moving east north east..if ONLY IT WAS 10* colder…MAN!
I am convinced it can snow heavy any where in the world except for southern ky! This is amazing.
So Are we all going to get snow or not.
bring on the snow.. the wind was so bad here last night it blowed a 50pd roaster in a gallon milk jug…
Jim Caldwell
said this on his blog at 7.34pm
If you have watched any source for weather information here lately… I know you are confused! Will we see 10″? Will we see 15″? We will see 2″? All very good questions and these are questions that I will be addressing here right now!
Some recent runs of the EURO suggested that we’ll see some much warmer temps try to filter into Kentucky and that could keep any and all moisture on the side of rain for most of the duration. The WRF keeps temperatures cold enough for mainly snow. GFS keeps temps cold enough for snow.
Model temps:
WRF Cold enough for mainly snow
GFS Cold enough for mainly snow
EURO pushes milder air in and would keep it mainly rain
These are just a few that I have looked at and really stood out. However, temperatures don’t mean a thing if you moisture stays somewhere else. This is where the track makes things even more confusing.
WRF… if you notice both are trending very close to each other here with these latest runs.
My best bet os to go with a good swath of 4-6″ for the highest amounts and generally 1-3″ for many other locations. It’s trying to pin point where the heaviest band of snow will set-up that has me going crazy here.
I’ll have more updates later!
C-Ya Bye
LMK is forecasting up to 4″ for Russell Springs…yet just to the east in Pulaski Co. JKL is forecasting less than an inch. I guess the NWS offices are not in much contact about this event.
its rather funny…If You look at the snowfall forecasts for the U.S. as a whole…the eastern U.S. looks like the letter ( U ) that is how the snowfall map looks over the east…and right smack dab in the base of the U is ky. snow coming in from the north west, going south under ky. then back up through west va. northward…Instead of the bluegrass state it should be the Horse shoe “U” state..DOWN, UNDER , AND UP!!
……………
On a DISTURBING NOTE:…J.B. said tonight on his blog that winter was far from being over, and looked like this pattern could produce more big snowstorms before ole man winter is done…well I say I’m about done with ole man winter, because he and ole maw nature have been throwin us false hopes all winter long…and to throw salt on the wound…gonna give DIXIE a snowstorm…bah humbug!!!…oh yeah its not Christmas anymore is it?..well blah to da luck of da we irish man then…
………………….
yeah,yeah,yeah…dilerium has set in..LOL…LOL…LOL…..
its rather funny…If You look at the snowfall forecasts for the U.S. as a whole…the eastern U.S. looks like the letter ( U ) that is how the snowfall map looks over the east…and right smack dab in the base of the U is ky. snow coming in from the north west, going south under ky. then back up through west va. northward…Instead of the bluegrass state it should be the Horse shoe “U” state..DOWN, UNDER , AND UP!!
……………
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1030 PM EST FRI FEB 27 2009
.SHORT TERM…/TONIGHT AND SATURDAY/…UPDATED
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A GOOD POTENTIAL FOR A WINTER WEATHER
EVENT DEVELOPING IN THE AREA…BUT STILL HAVE NOT CONVERGED ON A
CONSISTENT SOLUTION FOR THE AXIS OF GREATEST SNOWFALL. ALTHOUGH…THE
MOST LIKELY PLACE DOES APPEAR TO BE IN THE CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. FOR THE INITIAL STAGES OF THE EVENT ON
SATURDAY…THE LATEST AVAILABLE DATA DOES SHOW MOISTURE COLDER THAN
THE -10C LEVEL TO SUPPORT SNOW. HOWEVER…THERE IS AN ABOVE FREEZING
LAYER BETWEEN 800 AND 900 MB. THE LIKELY SCENARIO WOULD BE PARTIAL
OR COMPLETE MELTING OF SNOW IN THIS LAYER. THIS WOULD YIELD
RAIN…FREEZING RAIN…OR SLEET AT THE SURFACE IN MOST PLACES DURING
THE DAY SATURDAY…DEPENDENT ON WHETHER THE PRECIP FALLS BACK
THROUGH OR INTO A FREEZING LAYER BELOW 900 MB. SUBTLE CHANGES IN THE
FORECAST SOUNDINGS COULD MAKE A SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE. PLACES MOST
LIKELY TO SEE MAINLY RAIN DURING THE DAY SATURDAY ARE FROM WAYNE TO
LETCHER COUNTIES. TO THE NORTH…WINTERY PRECIP IS MORE LIKELY TO MIX
IN. BY LATE IN THE DAY…THE ELEVATED WARM LAYER IS SHOWN TO
FADE…SO THE PROSPECT FOR SNOW GOES UP TOWARD EVENING FOR MOST
PLACES.
it’a not over till it’s over the gfs says all systems go( for those of you sw of a frankfort to maysville line!!!!
My hometown (Savannah, GA) has snow/flurries in the forecast for Monday, crazy.
anyone who wants to see what T.G was forecasting snowfall wise he has a great snowfall map on his site…and he also talks about how he disagreed with NWS in JKL about NOT issuing watches or adv. today…very interesting blog read…
What do you mean Mitch? IS the GFS pulling it back toward the west?
I think he meant se. not sw because the gfs is lining up with the previous run of the nam that showed the heaviest precip over s.e. ky.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
936 PM EST FRI FEB 27 2009
BEGINNING AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…RAIN SHOWERS WILL MOVE INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY…PRIMARILY IN LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE CUMBERLAND PARKWAY. PERIODS OF SLEET WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
IN ADDITION…ANY ICE ACCUMULATION THAT DOES OCCUR IS EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND SHOULD OCCUR ONLY ON GRASSY AND ELEVATED SURFACES
SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.
A CHANGE OVER TO A MIXTURE OF RAIN…SLEET AND SNOW WILL OCCUR
QUICKLY SATURDAY MORNING ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE CUMBERLAND
PARKWAY.
FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE BLUEGRASS PARKWAY…AND NORTH OF THE
CUMBERLAND PARKWAY…A MIXTURE OF RAIN…SLEET AND SNOW WILL OCCUR
EARLY SATURDAY…WITH A CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW EXPECTED TO OCCUR
AROUND MIDDAY…OR DURING THE AFTERNOON. ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT WHERE UP TO
TWO INCHES OF SNOW…WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS…MAY FALL BY THE
TIME SNOW COMES TO AN END LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
THIS WINTRY MIX…CHANGING TO SNOW…WILL MAKE TRAVEL CONDITIONS
HAZARDOUS ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT. IF YOU PLAN TO TRAVEL DURING THIS TIME…PLEASE MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS VIA NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL
TELEVISION
Tim I just posted that to show the colors at the bottom because some one was asking, so disregard that map I think some one posted it early today.
Ruh Roh- Using the Chris-postometer, it might not look as good as earlier. He would be posting if still looked real good. Then again he could be busy.
I think my 1″ to 4″ is the right forecast and it will take a UK beats LSU kind of miracle for a big snow. The aggregate solution of the models suggests a mix (rain & snow) and a pretty consistent SE trend. 1″ to 4″ should be good, but this may shift more east and south.
The 1″ to 4″ could have easily been 4″ to 8″, but warm air will probably not be denied- just as it has with these type of systems EVERY TIME since 98.
I agree.
John H. the Weather Guy on Hazards news at 11pm said 3-6 Southeast KY and 1-3 inches every where else.
Tim I am at 45 degrees here in Pikeville I feel the dreaded cold rain coming.Someone should investigate why we can no longer get a big snow NOT ONE.I know you are going to say climate change if you do explain? I just think we are cursed.I mean Atlanta come on!!! It is like we don’t exist on the map and get skipped over.Sorry for the rant I just do not understand it I wish someone could explain so the lay person, which is definely me lol could understand it.
Thanks Chris for all your hard work. I saw you and Tony together tonight at the beginning of the weather the 2 legends as Rolo says!!!!!
Issued by The National Weather Service
Jackson, KY
11:09 pm EST, Fri., Feb. 27, 2009
… WINTERY PRECIPITATION EXPECTED DURING THE WEEKEND…
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE DEEP SOUTH AND MOVE TO THE CAROLINAS BY SATURDAY NIGHT. IT WILL CAUSE RAIN TO OVERSPREAD MOST OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY… WITH THE RAIN THEN MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO SLEET AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES. REMAINING PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO ALL SNOW ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND THEN DIMINISH. THE GREATEST LIKELIHOOD OF PRECIPITATION ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT IS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 64… WITH THE GREATEST RISK OF ACCUMULATING SNOW BEING SOUTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY. AT THIS TIME… THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS FOR AT LEAST AN INCH OF SNOW TO FALL IN MOST PLACES SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 64… WITH SOME LOCATIONS PICKING UP 2 OR 3 INCHES. HOWEVER… THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING TEMPERATURES AND WHERE THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL FALL. AS A RESULT… ACTUAL SNOWFALL TOTALS COULD BE HEAVIER OR LIGHTER… AND THE FORECAST SHOULD BE MONITORED FOR LATER UPDATES.
FOR MORE INFORMATION…
70’s next weekend
Tim I am at 45 degrees here in Pikeville I feel the dreaded cold rain coming.Someone should investigate why we can no longer get a big snow NOT ONE.I know you are going to say climate change if you do explain? I just think we are cursed.I mean Atlanta come on!!! It is like we don’t exist on the map and get skipped over.Sorry for the rant I just do not understand it I wish someone could explain so the lay person, which is definely me lol could understand it.
Thanks Chris for all your hard work. I saw you and Tony together tonight at the beginning of the weather the 2 legends as Rolo says!!!!
I don’t understand how will it be cold enough to snow in Atlanta but not here??
good im ready for it…
Where is Chris I need an update in the worst way. I can’t go to bed until I see what he has to say…lol
Well if that’s the case, I hope UK beats LSU.
Doesnt he usally updates around 1 or 2am.
Yes usually he does. But I was hoping for one earlier tonight. Guess I’m probably going to have to wait..lol
the upper air energy, bulk of the cold aloft will be over there, hvy precip leading to evap cooling as well. thickness values will be much lower there as well. this is not your typical system. although i’m not sold on accumulating snow there.
I know I want to hear it too,I think lol
Thanks Mitch you are so good to help and answer questions.
Man, that sure is a lot of moisture to our south. Kinda reminds me of a system last year that robbed all the moisture. Does the snowdome of se ky end or does bad dream keep on going. Oh well, only time will tell. Chris, how about a shout out?
here in downtown Pikeville, ice falling and 32 degrees.