Good afternoon everyone. After a night of snow and ice across most of the state… some areas are gearing up for an out and out ICE STORM for the rest of today into the overnight. This is going to cause some serious problems, including the increasing possibility of power outages.
Here is a look at the warnings…
The regional radar continues to show heavy precipitation moving into and across the state…
Tracking the 32 degree line northward is going to be a task this afternoon. Here is Kentucky Mesonet for your tracing pleasure…
The RUC continues to lead the way in terms of picking up on the low level cold air that is in place across the region. It continues to suggest that the 32 degree line will be putting the brakes on through the evening. Check out the RUC temperature forecast for 11pm tonight…
That shows the 32 degree line from near Louisa to Berea to around Bowling Green. The northern and western parts of the state remains in the 20s into the evening. If that’s the case… look out folks as this is likely to become a significant ice storm. Here is a rough map I have put together for you…
Areas north of I-64 picked up between 4 and 6 inches of snow overnight into early this morning. Throw ice on top of that and you have the recipe for tree limbs and power lines to start to sag and perhaps come down. I strongly urge folks in the ICE STORM area I have outlined to please be prepared in case you lose electricity.
Everyone changes back to snow from northwest to southeast late tonight and early Wednesday and this will likely throw down several inches of snow. Another system dives in Thursday night and Friday with a light snowfall and that may be followed by a system we need to watch for later Sunday and Monday.
Please keep posting your weather and I will have more updates. Stay safe and take care.
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The freezing line currently goes from north of Bowling Green…through Berea…and toward WV. So I think the RUC is actually starting to fall behind now. NAM seems to be doing better at the moment. In Frankfort we are coming up about 1 degree per hour.
Thanks Chris for the outstanding job you are doing. Already a few school districts have decided to close tomorrow.
i think many of us will hover 32 until tomm morning when we get that northwest wind
37* with rain…
southern ky. is in the all clear for a while, with the exception of HIGH WATER..
I hope no one looses their power, but I would say its inevidable at this state..
I saw where some parts of southern Ill. could end up with 15″ of snow!!!!!…so, so,so close but SO FAR away…
I got my fingers crossed for the transition tomorrow to HOPEFULLY put down some snow down here, but it will have to really come down in my opinion the ground is gonna be so water logged..
Thanks Chris… Appreciate the hard work! Freezing rain still coming down hard in Carter County, which has packed the snow down very hard… I’m just glad the roads have snow on them because it gives some traction, which I think is why the road crews left a lot of the snow on the roads…
More systems coming through later this week and weekend? WOW… This winter is going to go out like a champ!
Thanks CHris! We’re having another round of sleet here in Woodford at the moment!
let me clarify that statement about southern ky… I should have said south east ky…because south west ky. still getting frozen precip…
Thanks, CB!!! Its 28.4 here in nicholasville…I don’t see the temp getting above freezing here…..time will tell,. Trees are sure coated. Everything is fine right now, but it would not take much more freezing rain at all to become destructive…
Yes Chris, Thanks for ALL THE HARD WORK you do, and the EXTRA hard work going on right now…
Electricity has gone off at my house around 5 miles from the Floyd/Magoffin Co. border. I’m at work luckily and don’t have to deal with it for right now. Hopefully it will be back up and running by the time I get home.
Everything around this area looks to have changed to all rain. Hopefully we can get a quick changeover to snow tonight and get a good backend thumping. *fingers crossed* Good luck everyone. Hopefully you guys won’t have to go through power outages.
Update at Masterson Station
27º moderate FRZ Rain/sleet mixing in now…
…
To fellow teachers and students:
Cancel summer vacations…we’re gonna be in school until August!!
On the south side of Lexington it is raining hard right now…its sitting at 28…so i assume this is freezing although i do see puddles forming..so i don’t know if it is freezing for sure.
Rolo i just have one thing to say
Your the Man you called it exact Now you deserve your congrats since all is playing out or has played out as you predicted
The temp here in Jeffersonville is at 28 in which we have 3/4 an inch of ice. We have lost power earlier for about an hour and a half. I don’t know how much more ice we can actually take before electric goes for good. Everyone stay safe.
Pretty steady freezing rain in Bourbon/Clark Co. line;
how much ice do y’all think we’ll get out of this before all said and done? Don’t want a repeat of 2003! Kids trying to play in the ice/snow in the yard-looks like they’re walking on frozen pond!lol!!!
Temp rising about a degree an hour here in SW LEX as well… it’ll be interesting to see how it plays out. If you shifted last night predictions north about 50 miles they would be dead on, so I’d say the same for tonight’s predictions. We’ll see for sure pretty soon 🙂
Raining on the south side of Lexington, and it seems to be melting a little bit of the ice. I wonder if it will end up freezing later since there’s really no place for the water to go. Is there any chance the “ice storm” will miss Lexington tonight?
Is it possible it is not freezing? I have large puddles in my yard. Probably wishful thinking that it isn’t freezing on power lines and trees. I can’t take another week without power…please NO!!
Heavy Freezing Rain here on New Circle at Winchester Rd here in Lex.
Morgan County—33*—very light rain–freezing upon contact with ground—about 1″ of icy “slushy” on ground.
Raining and 28 degrees off Tates Creek in Lexington. How is that possible?
28 with heavy freezing rain in lexington i wonder how high temps will get? hmmm i am smelling a 32.8 degree rain
Looking outside my apartment, theres so much ice that has accumulated over the last hour or so, I don’t see how anyone will be able to go anywhere. People are barely getting into their driveways, most are taking head starts or spinning the wheels until they make it, might be a 5 degree incline and that’s it.
I don’t know if this is funny or not, but, I just saw a Pigeon FALL out of a tree because of the ICE. Now it’s just sitting on the ground thinking “What the H##!! was that”.
What about the rest of us that called the freezing rain all day long yesterday? No love for us? 🙂
I am wondering the same thing…
SPC has much of Kentucky highlighted for big ice–.01 inches per hour through evening. Henry M. at Accucrack says one inch ice. Heavy freezing rain in downtown Lex right now.
This may get bad.
test
I don’t see this as any different than what was predicted by others????
28 degrees and heavy freezing rain in Georgetown.
I am wondering the same thing. It’s raining very steadily here in Bourbon County but we have puddles on our deck instead of the solid sheet of ice we had a couple hours ago. Here’s hoping with all my might that the trees and power lines don’t snap. Please, please, please!! Drip off instead of freezing on contact!!!
As far as scale and if temps stay in the 20’s this store has potential of makin 2003 seem like a frost advisory…
My power has already gone out three times and we have at over .5 inches of ice already.
By the way CB worded the snow ofr tomorrow- it seems to have been brought down a bit. More of the same trend me thinks.
I measured the ice on the tree leaves in the front yard– 1\4 inch as of 1:30.
0.6” of ice at my house and still a thumpin down 27.4 degrees fell a little, 32.8 will me 03 32.9 means typical ky rainstorm such a fine, fine, fine line
Well my power has been off since before 6am. Trees and lines coming down around my house. Ice very thick measured at about .8 inches 2 hours ago and still accumulating. Finally decided to go to in-laws in Harrodsburg that still have power. Roads dangerous but passable. Many trees on the brink of coming down.
Here in Mercer County now freezing rain.
Doing frozen precip right now in northern Lee County. Trees are breaking all over the place, and the power has gone out twice, and flickered many times. They’ve closed school already, and we’re socked in, and prepared for extended power outs.
Thanks Chris, for keeping us updated!!
Interesting discussion from Paducah…they are saying the cold air is working south faster than anticipated and has pushed the freezing line south.
http://weather.cod.edu/danatext.html
38*…with a cold rain, heavy at that
38*…with a cold rain, heavy at that
Update at Masterson Station
26º FRZ Rain… (my thermometer just shows whole numbers, so I’m guessing it’s 26.4..??) Was at 27, which was prolly 26.5…lol
the sleet has stopped for now, but for some reason, I’m down a degree…
…
Just heard on the TWC that they are declaring a State of Emergency for the whole state of Kentucky…
A WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI HAS ALLOWED SURFACE
WINDS TO BACK TO DUE NORTH OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS HAS PUSHED
THE FREEZING LINE BACK FARTHER SOUTH INTO WEST KENTUCKY…WHICH WILL
RESULT IN MORE EFFECTIVE ICING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON THAN EXPECTED.
EVEN WHERE SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE JUST ABOVE FREEZING…ICING WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE ON ELEVATED SURFACES. THE PREMATURE BACKING OF THE
WINDS MAY LEAD TO AN ACCELERATED CHANGE TO MORE FROZEN PRECIPITATION
THAN ORIGINALLY THOUGHT AS WELL. DO NOT SEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF A
LULL IN THE PRECIPITATION UNTIL IT ENDS WEDNESDAY MORNING. 12Z
MODELS ARE JUST AS WET IF NOT A BIT WETTER THAN BEFORE. IT IS
DEFINITELY GOING TO GET A LOT UGLIER OUT THERE BEFORE ITS DONE.
Ice storm is just getting started? We have almost .75 on everything on Richmond already. Bleh!
Yup absolutley no snow for SE KY nothing but a touch of freezing rain this morning and plain rain atm
Well, I went outside twice today. Once around 10am to chip a walkway through the ice for the pups to go potty. The ice was about an inch thick but grainy and easy to get traction on. Now (216pm) I went out to get my neighbor’s mail to take to her and busted it not 2 steps out the door!. It has picked up in intensity…looks like rain but it’s freezing to whatever it hits. The grainy ice is gone and now my whole street/yards look like a very well groomed ice skating rink.
Still have power though. 🙂
Hubby went out this morning and I stayed in; his workplace sent everyone home at noon. He slid into our driveway and said it’s worse now than
it was this morning. Still 29* and icing here … our neighborhood road is a sheet of ice!
We need to get that freezing rain out of here… Hopefully that freezing line keeps going south to bring more areas to snow…
This should be… Why I hate winter week…
Don’t we need a south wind for temps to warm? Also is the snow/ice cover holding the temps down?
The ice is so thick here in Harrodsburg that when I went to the barn to check the horses I fell twice because my weight won’t break through the crust. It’s freezing rain now. The ice seems to be close to 1/2 in. on the cars and tree branches. I’m afraid for the rest of tonite. The power has not gone out yet.
Continued freezing rain/sleet here in Ashland on top of the snow
It’s noisy… :/
Power has gone out a couple of times here in East Powell Co. It is on for now but doubt it will be much longer. Still a light but steady freezing rain falling, EVERYTHING is iced over.
My parents live just a half mile from exit 87 in Richmond. They just lost power. I live right in town. I’m still up and running but the trees sure are bowing low.
So do you guys think that Harrison County will get ice or snow tonight? We’ve seen freezing rain all day on top of the 7 inches of snow that we have…
Just got back in from Mt Sterling. Ky 11 is very slushly but ok. Side roads are mostly all snow covered, state truck just went up our side road. Freezing rain starting to collect on trees probably close to 1/4″, had more ice in Montgomery Co but they had less snow. We had around 4 inches before it changed to freezing rain. Hoping and praying the power does not go out this evening or tonight. Yard looks like a skating rink. Everyone be careful.
from the spc
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON EXTENDING
ENEWD ALONG THE OH RIVER INTO THE CNTRL APPALACHIAN MTNS. NORTH OF
THIS CORRIDOR…SOME AREAS COULD RECEIVE LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL
MAINLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A LONG FETCH OF WEST TO SOUTHWEST
FLOW FROM THE SRN PLAINS ENEWD ACROSS THE OH AND TN VALLEYS. A PLUME
OF MID-LEVEL MOISTURE IS EVIDENT ALONG AND NORTH OF THE OH RIVER AND
RADAR TRENDS OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS SHOW SOME INTENSIFICATION
OF PRECIPITATION RATES ON THE WRN EDGE OF THE MCD AREA. THIS MAY BE
DUE TO INCREASING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
VORTICITY MAXIMA ANALYZED BY THE RUC OVER SE MO. IN
ADDITION…REGIONAL WSR-88D VWPS SHOW WINDS NEAR 850 MB ARE VEERING
TO THE SOUTH AT 1000 METERS AGL ACROSS MUCH OF THE MCD AREA. THIS
SHOULD ALLOW FOR A GRADUAL MOISTENING AROUND 850 MB WHICH COMBINED
WITH INCREASING LIFT AND SUBFREEZING SFC AIR SHOULD RESULT IN
MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF THE
MCD AREA. ICE ACCUMULATION COULD REACH A TENTH OF AN INCH PER HOUR
IN SOME AREAS.
IN THE NRN PART OF THE MCD…FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM 850 TO 700 MB
SHOW PRIMARILY TEMPS BELOW 0 CELSIUS. THIS SHOULD KEEP PRECIPITATION
TYPE AS SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES SHOULD INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS
THE BRUNT OF THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO AFFECT AREAS FROM WEST TO
EAST ACROSS THE OH VALLEY.
I think that there snow map will be knocked dow just a tad for us non-northern folks. Take a lot of ice to get to 4″ to 8″ ;). Heck, I better not joke, since we are approaching an inch of ice already….
think i will drive to lexington so i can see what snow looks like and ice
You got that right. HAHA
Hey Andy,
All we’re getting now is freezing rain. You might want to head to Cinci.
Hey Andy,
Can you come and get me, too? Will our area see any snow tonight or tommorrow? (Corbin, Knox, Whitley).
Thanks.
Its 35 in Pikeville with moderate (you guessed it cold rain)This is one time I am glad to see the rain,and hope it wont change over to Ice tonight.What do you think Mitch?????
Rhonda let us know when you get power back!!!!
Lincoln thanks for the video the roads are awful at your place great video your dog is cute hope you don’t get anymore ice!!!!
Vinny I loved your video if you need someone to babysit Max I will!!!!!
Tim and Linda please pick me up in the ark.I would like a window seat and some peanuts and a drink oh I forgot no more serving of those things or does that just apply to airplanes???? Tim aren’t you glad we got rain this time instead of the ice mess whats your thoughts tonight????? I will end my little post with this(our theme song)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rXPMYA7EqYE
So mitch just so im geting this right, the nothern half of the state will be in the heavy snow zone while the south get a bad ice storm? What do u think in terms of ice for my area (in between orehead & ashland). The way i’m gathering this is, the precip is stronger then expected, going to last longer then expected, no lull in precip & some of us are going to get more snow & ice then they thought….just trying to see if i can get these things right lol
think we’ll have school tomorrow?
I forgot Jim you snow hog you lol!!!!! You must be living right lol!!!! We will swing by where can we park the ark????
18z nam temp profiles lex and nw below 32 untill 08z, shelbyville, dry ridge 09z, further nw points never hit 32. areas such as dnaville and mt.sterling will see 32 by 06z according to the 18z nam. a quick change to hvy wet snow by 11z in lexington and 13z further east.
08Z= 8 pm.
this run is colder than the 12z nam. likely the ruc and sref will meet up with the nam.
i got .25 in ice and 2in of snow it looks like a pond with ice out there. But anyway wont take as much snow tongith for us to reach those totals just 3 or 4 in which is possible anyone know when the snow will start?
18z nam exploding the hvy snow sheild wed am. some spots could be line for 6 inches new snow.
mitch i dont know what that means i need a time!!!! like 1:00 am
Whats it show as far as an ice threat?
nws jackson doesnt think much in the way of snowfall for clay co. they even got us out of the winter storm warning now, but still under the flood watch.
here is what it says for my area
Afternoon: Rain. The rain could be heavy at times. High near 36. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight: Periods of rain before 4am, then periods of rain, snow, freezing rain, and sleet. The rain, freezing rain, and snow could be heavy at times. Low around 33. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of around a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Wednesday: Rain and snow before 1pm, then a chance of snow. High near 36. West wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Wednesday Night: A 20 percent chance of snow showers before 10pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 22. West northwest wind between 5 and 10 mph becoming calm.
****************************************
ill take rain over ice any day. dont think i got a lot to worry about in clay. maybe like rolo said, a little snow on back side before everything ends tomorrow.
#0* and 92% ‘humidity’ at Boone’s Trace/The Bull golf course….3/4 inch of ice and a constant kind of Chinese water torture with constant drippy freezing rain. Reminds me of an old college writing assignment: write a poem about moving in the snow and do not use the word”crunchy”. With a solid bed of ice and then a refreeze and snow as the cap there will be no school around here for the rest of the week! Hope that all keep warm and that the power outages are limited and not catastrophic.
NWS has updated the Lexington forecast to be much warmer.
Hello everyone! Thought that I would come looking for you guys to see what you had to say about things. It’s great reading all your comments!
What a mess outside! My dear husband just left for work and I am a nervous wreck! He won’t get off until midnight-1:00 am and I am worried about conditions then. It sounds as though he will be driving in even a worse mess. Am I correct? I pray we don’t lose electricity here in Lexington like we did in the past storm. I feel so much for the families that already have.
A quick question, please – is anyone else having problems with TG’s blog?
Stay safe, everyone! Take care!
Mitch,
The Lake Cumberland Area…a time…like 1:00 AM Central????
I don’t understand the Z stuff very well
Yes, I have had tons of trouble getting on TG’s blog today. Still have freezing rain falling in Powell Co.
New discussion from NWS Jackson:
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=JKL&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1
Mitch, please answer if you can. Do you think there will be any snow on the back side for Clay County and when? I see that Jackson has canceled the warning for us.
the Governor declared a state of emergency in Kentucky. whoa
http://migration.kentucky.gov/newsroom/governor/20090127emergency.htm
????
They up’d the high 1 degree…. Much warmer…?
maybe I’m wrong, but wasn’t it supposed to be 31?? now they have 32…
you talking about later this week or what..?
…
Z or Zulu (SP) is I believe 5 hours ahead of EST. So if your in East Ky and its now 3:24 zulu time is 8:24.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
305 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2009
.SHORT TERM…/TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/…UPDATED
SURFACE LOW OVER NORTHWEST ALABAMA WILL DEEPEN AND RIDE NORTHEAST
ALONG INVERTED TROUGH INTO WEST VIRGINIA TONIGHT. WAVES OF
PRECIPITATION… HEAVY AT TIMES… WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY BUT THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
APPEARS TO BE AIMED A LITTLE MORE TO THE NORTH THAN EARLIER THOUGHT.
THIS IS GOOD NEWS FOR THE CUMBERLAND VALLEY WHERE THE THREAT FOR
FLOODING SEEMS TO BE DECREASING. THIS IS VERY BAD NEWS FOR LOCATIONS
NORTH OF AN IRVINE TO WEST LIBERTY TO SANDY HOOK LINE THOUGH WHERE
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN AT OR BELOW FREEZING THROUGHOUT MOST
OF THE NIGHT TONIGHT AND THE ICE WILL CONTINUE TO MOUNT UP.
WILL PLAN TO KEEP CURRENT WINTER STORM WARNING GOING. WHILE VALLEY
TEMPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE WARNING ARE NOW ABOVE
FREEZING… RIDGES STILL REMAIN AT OR BELOW FREEZING AND THE GLAZING
CONTINUES. WE DO EXPECT TEMPS TO CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH THE NIGHT
FOR MOST AREAS BUT EVEN IF TEMPS DO GO ABOVE FREEZING BY A FEW
DEGREES… ACCUMULATED ICE ON TREES (UP TO THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH
THICK IN SOME CASES) WILL CONTINUE TO BE A HAZARD JUSTIFYING THE
WARNING. LOCATIONS NORTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY… PARTICULARLY
NORTH OF AN IRVINE TO WEST LIBERTY TO SANDY HOOK LINE WILL RECEIVE
MUCH MORE ICE ACCUMULATION AND WE SHOULD SEE STORM TOTAL ICE
ACCUMULATION OF OVER AN INCH IN THESE AREAS BY MORNING. OVER
SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY… TEMPS SHOULD CONTINUE TO RISE TONIGHT AND
LOCATIONS ALONG THE VIRGINIA BORDER MAY EVEN MAKE IT INTO THE WARM
SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM… WITH TEMPS CLIMBING TOWARD 50 AND SOME GUSTY
WINDS LATE IN THE NIGHT.
NEXT CHALLENGE ARRIVES FOR WEDNESDAY AS COLDER AIR GETS WRAPPED BACK
INTO THE AREA BEHIND DEPARTING SURFACE LOW. PROGS INDICATE POTENT
UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL PIVOT ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY DURING THE DAY
SPONSORING AN INCREASE IN PRECIP AGAIN AS THE COLDER AIR ARRIVES. WE
SHOULD THUS SEE A QUICK TRANSITION BACK TO SLEET AND SNOW FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY WITH A QUICK INCH OR TWO OF
SNOW LIKELY. HAVE DECIDED TO EXTEND THE TIME OF OUR REMAINING
WARNING THROUGH NOON FOR ALL BUT PIKE COUNTY DUE TO THIS ADDITIONAL
SNOW ON TOP OF ALL THE ICE. WE MAY NEED AN ADVISORY FOR THE
REMAINDER OF OUR COUNTIES BUT WILL LEAVE THAT DECISION FOR LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT.
FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF QPF EXPECTED… IN
ADDITION TO WHAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN. PLEASE SEE FLOOD WATCH PRODUCT
FOR MORE INFORMATION.
so all in all, precip is going to be haevier then they thought, & where i live, well i guess im in for a really bad ice storm.
I had trouble getting out of the Bridle Creek Apt. Complex in Lex. Nicholasville Rd. was clear but the side roads are horrible! I’m staying inside for the rest of the night.
Uh, it just went the other way. It was 35F today and tomorrow, now shows 32/29.
Seriously, not kidding, was showing 35F when I posted that.
Im going to declare state of Emergency in Whitley co. since all my tears are going to add to all this cold rain. I want SNOW!
I hope everyone that is in this mess is safe!
Well, TWC said it was supposed to be in the 40’s I think however it’s 34 degrees here so I don’t think we will…..however, I’m sure they will want to wait until bright and early at 5:30 am tomorrow to decide.
What’s it like over there?
I believe you… lol
At this point, I think they all are confused…
Hell, I know I am…lol
…
Whoo Doggie,
I just finished digging out walkways and laying down salt on a couple of neighbors. I Barely made it up one of thier driveways.
I haven’t had that much trouble since backpacking in the mountains on the west coast.
freezing rain on top of about 8″ of snow by the cvg airport…level 2 emergency ……..hey CB and all would you like a picture of our snow storm….just to rub salt in your womb?……lol
Well, the NWS at LMK is calling for 1-3″ snow in my neck of the woods (south Jessamine), which on top of the inchish amount we got yesterday before the ice started would qualify this storm as yet another bust at my house (at least as far as snow is concerned). In less than two weeks, we will mark the 11 year anniversary of the last real snow we got here…sad…
meant to say wound…..sorry!
Knock on wood folks but look at the 18z NAM snow predictions… Fayette 11 inches Scott. A foot, louisville, 20 incheS????
http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models/nam/18znamsnow_SELoop.html
Just showed a video clip of a tree on top of a house in Richmond on “the” weather channel (lol). Take care down there bubba
Meanwhile, the usual suspects get their dumping, year after year after year after…South and east of around Georgetown, snow is dead in KY, the storm next being watched next week will undoubtedly be more of the same…
I’d say we will close because it’s supposed to be 40* early tomorrow morning. It’s supposed to get down to 35* by noon and snow. If not a closing maybe an early dismissal? I don’t know but I do know TWC never gets it right. Plus TWC said it was supposed to be 45* today but the high was 35*. Also I just read it is supposed sleet tonight (less than 1 half of an inch).
not gonna happen…
New snow?? No snow here. So I guess that disqualifies people south of the river. 😉
Holding at 27* in Carter county with freezing rain. Have about a 1/4 inch of ice on top of 5 inch of snow. Side roads are awful. The freezing rain has meshed with the packed down snow and formed about a 2 inch sheet of ice. Pine trees are strting to sag from the ice. Change over to heavy wet snow would send many more trees to the ground across the state.
Z or Zulu refers to UTC or Greenwich Meridian Time. Basically the world is divided by time zones and the first time zone is UTC or Z. EastKy is 5 time zones off of that so 08Z would be 3am in EKY. It is in military time (aviation uses Zulu as well) so 17Z would be 5pm EST
Well I have crossed to the dark side with tim & rolo!! We will be sailing on the ark tomorrow while you guys up north are digging out!!! _:D)
Oh and Crystal too!
Oh man…I’d rather cancel than dismiss early. It is total chaos when we dismiss early!!!
After this event and the promise that crumpled along with tress and power lines, I will doubt with extreme prejudice- any call evvu’ beyond a few inches. Even if CB, TG, MJ and every other initial crossed arms like Power Rangers.
Too many letdowns people. Time to hide in a bunker, twenty fathoms below sea level. Bad Bubba time.
After eleven years of systems that are snow duds for anyone not north of Georgetown, it is time to accept reality. Even the few that have given us snow have given us about half of our northerly “special” friends. 😉
I know- I did not know snow could be so heavy 😉
Muddy…I feel your pain…I feel your pain…:(
I’m also worried about trees — we have 2 tall pine trees on our property line that are really sagging now. We’ve only lost a few branches so far, but it’s still raining ice here, now up to 30 degrees.
Just read 100% chance of snow tomorrow. 1 quarter of an inch of ice tonight. Daytime snow accumulation- 2″-3″. Snow tomorrow night too!
Now now. The models have been so accurate with the snows we have gotten in Richmond- especially this one… how could you ever doubt a model again?? 😉
I feel sick now…..
bring the swimsuits; we’re supposed to be near 50 degrees here tomorrow; ahhh, boring Pike County; gonna be some disappointed kids here
BubbaG, are we supposed to go above freezing before midnight only to go back below freezing shortly there after? Is this what they’re expecting? I’m getting conflicting reports.
I’m in Frankfort BTW.
the bloggers go marching 2 by 2 hoorah, hoorah…
the bloggers go marching 2 by 2 hoorah, hoorah..
the bloggers go marching 2 by 2 and billy g. stops to bid adue!!!..and we all go sailing along….:P:P
Where did you read that? I was just getting depressed reading that the temps were supposed to be in the 50’s. Gettin’ ready to tell you we’d probably have school after all.
Uhhhhhh….
KYZ120-281200-
PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…PIKEVILLE
346 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2009
…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY…
…FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING…
.TONIGHT…RAIN…MIXED WITH FREEZING RAIN IN THE EVENING.
PRECIPITATION MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. ICE ACCUMULATION LESS THAN ONE
QUARTER OF AN INCH. STORM TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATION ONE HALF TO THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH. LOWS 32 TO 37. TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE
LOWER 40S LATE. LIGHT WINDS…BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO 25 MPH LATE. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY…RAIN IN THE MORNING…THEN RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW AND
SLEET IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION UP TO 2 INCHES.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE LOWER 30S IN THE
AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 22. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY…PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
I got it from wunderground.com But Like i said TWC can never get it right. Also Jim Caldwell off of WYMT just said we’ll get 3-5 inches by Wed. PM
Talk about up and down rollercoaster ride…man were on one down here…ice this morning…then rain, now looks like a lull in the action as everything has moved to my north…
temp. is 39*
get a load of this head spinning forecast:
Tonight…Periods of rain…heavy at times. Lows 35 to 40. Temperatures rising into the lower 40s late. Light winds…becoming south at 10 to 15 mph late. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Wednesday…Rain in the morning…changing to snow and sleet in the afternoon. Snow and sleet accumulation up to 2 inches. Highs in the mid 40s. Temperatures falling into the lower 30s in the afternoon. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent……
Is the ride over yet…
I plowed the snow this a.m. finished at @ 12:00. Just went to get the paper and the driveway is ice now. Freezing rain & @ 33 degrees in Frankfort at Peaks Mill Rd. Wish I was on a cruise like back in 03.
Does anyone think that after 2003 and the number of trees gone and the work done by KU that this ice storm won’t have the “effects” of 2003?
guess I should have considered the source (TWC) lol, that’s what they have for us tomorrow…….looks crazy cause it has snow in the same forecast as 50 degrees; I’ve been looking at too many different weather info sites, I guess
New advisories going up for southern Kentucky.
i agree, this system hasn’t bee anything near 2003 storm…qfp was overdone atleast in lex and cold was too, i am with Micheal T (i believe he was the one who suggested this) but i think the models should be programed to track lows 50 miles further northwest AND add +3 degrees to temps, that way the let downs will stop 18z gfs says dusting snow for most now….well like i keep telling everyone i know after school is over its colorado and alaska, and west texas in the summer, i’ve had enough of this joint
lol thats for the classic wrap around 1-2” but hell thats all you get lex points se
Jackson weather discussion says this as well….
OVER SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY… TEMPS SHOULD CONTINUE TO RISE TONIGHT AND
LOCATIONS ALONG THE VIRGINIA BORDER MAY EVEN MAKE IT INTO THE WARM
SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM… WITH TEMPS CLIMBING TOWARD 50 AND SOME GUSTY
WINDS LATE IN THE NIGHT.
NEXT CHALLENGE ARRIVES FOR WEDNESDAY AS COLDER AIR GETS WRAPPED BACK
INTO THE AREA BEHIND DEPARTING SURFACE LOW. PROGS INDICATE POTENT
UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL PIVOT ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY DURING THE DAY
SPONSORING AN INCREASE IN PRECIP AGAIN AS THE COLDER AIR ARRIVES. WE
SHOULD THUS SEE A QUICK TRANSITION BACK TO SLEET AND SNOW FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY WITH A QUICK INCH OR TWO OF
SNOW LIKELY. HAVE DECIDED TO EXTEND THE TIME OF OUR REMAINING
WARNING THROUGH NOON FOR ALL BUT PIKE COUNTY DUE TO THIS ADDITIONAL
SNOW ON TOP OF ALL THE ICE. WE MAY NEED AN ADVISORY FOR THE
REMAINDER OF OUR COUNTIES BUT WILL LEAVE THAT DECISION FOR LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT.
Morgan County—31*—cloudy (no precip)—cloudy is all we have during a winter storm warning? Say it ain’t so CB!
Only if we ship it in from Central and Northern KY will we see snow in Knox Whitley and Laurel
Morgan County is officially seceding from central eastern KY and becoming part of southern KY as we get the same winter weather y’all do!
Get all hyped up on caffeine and snow totals and come crashing down within a day! Geezo, Pete and the ground tore up….
Bailey probably has snow
I was wondering the same thing. I’m watching my “weather tree” outside my window sinking lower and lower, but no breakage yet.
WELL…T.G. just said tomorrow icy mess would go over to moderate snow…with 2-3″ in central and 3-5″ in east and southeast…Hmmm..I guess I’ll believe it when I see it in my yard..LOL…
how many are losing power the blog is really slowing down???
i like the looks of a blend between the ruc and 18z nam. areas of north of a danville to jackson could get another 1/2 + inch ice. 2-5 snow in the morning.
I will have a new post before 7!
Is it good or bad for snowlovers?
Thanks, Chris. Really appreciate all the hard work you put into this blog keeping us update.
The warm air is really up into S WV. Are the mountains blocking it from working its way east?
power got to hang on unitll 9 jodie!
shelter in berea open over 1/4 ice in versailles and trees are crackling
power outages becoming more widespread
sorry meant to say wedging up into S WV.
also, I was going to ask you if this was something that occured more with cold air since it sits lower in atmosphere?
As usual no snow in southern ky
Mitch, what is store for us in fleming co. area. It is worsening here because of ice accumulating on everything and on top of the snow.
Something very weird going on down here.My weatherbug says 50* for here….how can that be? No rain at this time.TG just said snow for tomorrow,but I just don’t see how with these warm temps on the border!
He seems excited and I can’t imagine why :p, lol the gfs and NAM blow up the snow tonight with widespread 6-10 totals. lets see what chris says.
Well chris was on wsaz & had my area in the pink all the way till 5am & beyond. He said this is a bad ice storm & urging people to take precautions now. My husband went outside to check our heating unit & said he stood still & heard tree branches crunching & falling. Sounds like power outages all over to me. We have 2 very sick kids at home & another one that will more then likely be sick, always happens, when one gets sick, they all do. My youngest daughter has an awful, nasty couch, fever, everything & shes had it about 4 days now. Shes the type that can’t take liquid medication so she has amoxocilin in pill form. She stared it today so hopefully her & my son get better soon so they can go play in the snow, we have like 6″, but u can’t play with ice on top 🙁
thats be cause of the disappointment that this storm was
most of the area will prolly get 4 or more in .tonight/tomm
You see conflicting reports because this has been a moving target with a northerly trend. My power is out now so positng on phone. All you have to remember is that if they call for snow in the models accept that is for north KY or the mountains. This was it. If eleven years of busts or ice events do not make it clear to folks, nothing will. I am going to petition that north KY be called Southern Ohio, since they are snow elitists’ 😉
lights on and off here about to loose power
floyd co. just closed
sleet here in NKY…..Kentucky’s Unbridled Snow Kingdom!!! Hey BubbaG NKY is still south of the river and we still say y’all even up this far….stay safe evryone
Where at?
Hang on Tommy. Hang on EVERYONE. This is going to a LOOOOONNNNNGGGGG night.
Temp hovering between 29.1 to 29.6 with that nasty stuff still falling
29°/still FZ RN here in Bardstown/Nelson Co…still on “massive maple tree watch” in my front yard (yea-gonna be watching it fall on the house later on…)…but surprisingly enough, we still have power after 16 straight hours of this crap! That’s a damn RECORD for this street!
29°/still FZ RN here in Bardstown/Nelson Co…still on “massive maple tree watch” in my front yard (yea-gonna be watching it fall on the house later on…)…but surprisingly enough, we still have power after 16 straight hours of this crap! That’s a damn RECORD for this street!
i am in southwest lex below the airport, temp holding at 29-30, lights are flickering
Well, I am disappointed we won’t be getting any snow down here in Somerset, but I am thankful our icing event only lasted for a few hours this morning. I am at 37 degrees now just north of Somerset. No snow here, and not expecting any.
Chris has a new post!
okay first the weather said that we were getting a big snow storm then it changes. And if power is out for some people and the city schools still have classes on Monday. The County is closed Monday and Tuesday. How is this fair?
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