Good Monday afternoon everyone and welcome to a wild next few days of blogging! A developing winter storm has us directly in it’s sights and will begin to impact the state with snow and ice later tonight and this will last through Wednesday. Significant snow and ice accumulations are likely.
Since I am going to be putting out MANY updates through the day and the entire event… I don’t want to spend too much time on any one update. Please remember that I will be working as well this evening so I am going to be one busy dude handling all the tv stuff… this blog and my work blog. BTW… the folks at the station are going to have me in a Live Chat on WSAZ.COM later this evening so you may want to go check that out if you get the chance.
Here is a look at the latest warnings…
It’s crazy that Wilmington and Charleston have not upgraded to warnings, but that should be coming later this afternoon. The other aspect of this system will be the threat for VERY heavy rains across parts of southeastern Kentucky. This is the area of the state that has the best chance of seeing temps go above freezing for a period Tuesday afternoon and Evening. Because of this threat… A FLOOD WATCH has been issued for some counties…
That’s an area of the state that is likely to have a 3 pronged attack with snow and ice to flooding rains to heavy snow. A check on the latest model runs show things to pretty much be on course as we outlined them with my last blog. The defining lines of sleet/freezing rain/snow/rain won’t be able to be pinned down until we actually see what’s going on during the storm.
Here is the NAM Snowfall Forecast…
GFS
Again… take those with a grain as it’s all about where all the lines set up!!
Here is what the latest maps from the HPC shows…
4″+ Snow Chances Tonight
4″+ Snow Chances Tuesday-Tuesday Night
4″+ Snow Chances Wednesday
Significant Ice Threat Tonight
Significant Ice Threat Tuesday/Tuesday Night
Here is a recap of my time line…
1. Snow and Ice move in later tonight with significant accumulations likely.
2. Snow to ice across much of the state during the day Tuesday. Heavy rain develops south.
3. Ice and rain changes to heavy snow from northwest to southeast Tuesday Night.
4. Snow, some heavy, will take over for Wednesday.
Updates as needed through the day so be sure to check back.
Take care.
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Thanks Chris This all should be interesting to watch develop. Time to get ready for work!
thanks chris i will check out the chat.
lex nw are on my bread and milk alert for the worst winter since the ice storm.
Thanks for your hard work on this blog Chris. You are my number 1 weather source!!
i will try and help if possibile!
Well no surprises yet. 33* and cloudy here.
F5 http://mjhdp.tripod.com/stormtracker/id17.html?x=78&y=17
Thanks Chris
1st?
Well, lets hope it scoots a little farther south that way those snow totals will be bigger and ice less of a problem.
Well, I guess now, we just sit back and wait to see what develops. Thanks, Chris for the hard work on here. ( Of course we all know that this kind of a setup excites you as much as it does us! 😉
Thank you Chris for all you do for us!! I don’t even listen to my local stations for weather I read the blog!!!
Googly Muugly. this is going to be nasty.
I have 25 in Boyle Co. Parksville Knob area
Thanks Chris…I’m sure there are long lines at the milk and bread aisles today.
Thanx CB…!
Do you have a link to your live chat..!!!
You know we’ll be there lol.. At least I will..
My call still stands… 6″+ before the change over in LEX-area…!
New vid of Max coming to youtube soon after..lol
Hey guys, You might not agree with Rolo, but that’s ok, he has a right to his opinion, just like the rest of us… After it’s all over, then we can go back and say, “I told you so” or he can..lol Bottom line, we can disagree, but asking someone to “Just stop it”..? Come on now.. lol
…
Thanks for the update Chris! =o)
Vinny, Just stop it. Just kidding 🙂 haha I am actually off work today and tomm, thank goodness
Just a little further south means that the people under Flood watch would get all ice so that would be best for everybody as for me i could care less what it does i will deal with it when it gets here
Thanks Chris.A live chat that will be cool!!! I am very concerned with the Ice.Wouldn’t it be nice if we all got all snow and no ice.I know that is not going to happen,everyone stay safe and hope we don’t lose power.
Thanks for the update Chris, I know you’re going to be one busy weather guy the next 72 hours. I’m planning on being in and out of the http://www.freaksters.com chatroom all day to help answer questions.
Vinny here you go see if this will take you to the live chat,it doesnt start till 430pm.
http://www.wsaz.com/
I personally think the Ice Storm Warning should be expanded northward. The GFS depiction of this storm is VERY nasty with very damaging amounts of ice to move into the Bluegrass counties. NOT looking good at all from this point on GFS. NAM still a bit warmer…
I know, I know, I went off the deep end there, I don’t want people thinking this won’t be anything though… 03 was bad enough but this could get ugggglyyy
Thanks Chris for the updates….
well still looks like ONE BIG MESS COMING..
It looks like tuesday night and wed. will be our window for snow down here in s.e. ky.. IF the ground isnt so water logged that snow will even stick..
CHRIS…BE SURE TO LET US KNOW WHEN LIVE BLOGGING BEGINS…
……………………..
SONG OF THE DAY (FOR SOME OF US)..
Kayne West dedicating HEARTLESS to Mother nature !!!!!!!!!
EXTREME s.e. ky.. going into the 40’s..
right now at my house…40*
I can’t get freaksters to load… arggggg
I blame Insight..!!! (that was for Rabbit) lol 🙂 😉
…
I went to the TV site but there is NO LINK to Chris’s chat only an add. I would assume since they say chat it will be via a chat applet and not blogging? Anyone?
I went to the TV site but there is NO LINK to Chris’s chat only an add. I would assume since they say chat it will be via a chat applet and not blogging? Anyone?
At this point I’m just hoping the northward trend continues. If Lexington is going to miss out on the big snows, lets get the ice out of here too.
Tim and everyone Chris’s live blogging begins at 430 pm and this link should take you there http://www.wsaz.com/ its at the top of the page.
agreed Adam people don’t need to be told that this is just gonna be rain or be no impact as long as the potential is there. There is the potential for anything to happen but be dry hence the reason the winter storm warning is still out and a flood watch
i love it when chris updates cause its a relief from hearing rolo say its going to be warm i mean the nam has anderson co. getting 8in of snow which prolly isnt right but i still think 5 in or so and i dont think ill get any rain prolly freezing
I think it’s time to prepare for the possibility of no electricity for an extended period of time.
Ground still frozen gonna have to be i the 50s for the ground to thaw or have the sun out for a few min
Ahhh Come on Don’t be calling people out like that. It just causes a snowball effect and everyone starts taking sides and fighting lol
I hope not Wxman but we should prepare.Its 33 here in Pikeville.
Thanks, Chris for all you do to keep us informed! Try not to work TOO hard tonight!
Let’s all hope and pray for little/no ice!
For once, I hope you’re wrong Wxman.. What do you think about where we stand down here in Perry County as far as ice?? I hope it warms enough to be mostly rain down here..
What makes you say that Wxman? Not arguring just wondering since Chris didn’t seem terribly concerned with it in his post.
if you live in southern ky you basically have nothing to worry about central ky oh boy!!!! i expect like 4 or 5 in of snow and more than .25 in of ice. Ill say i wont have electricity tommorow night but oh well no school then for the week but hey i have a dirt bike and a go cart!!!! can always go to the farm!!!!
I agree! Make sure you know what you’ll be able to eat without electricity. And have your candles, etc. ready (but be careful for goodness sake!). I believe that what we will receive will be about what you all got in 1996. I lived in the Portland, Oregon back then – we had massive flooding in 1996. They got it again this year…. hmmmmm. Sure seems like the weather is shadowing 1996 quite a bit. Be safe everyone. I’m back to getting my paper ready to print!
Wrong thing to say Buco like i have already said it is possible for there to be significant icing and until it starts happening we don’t need to say that people don’t have anything to worry about
As a Lexington resident in 2004 I clearly remember the ice storm. That is what has me a little fearful now, because I now leave in rural Western Kentucky with a 2 year old. Ice Storms are the one negative to having all electric heat and appliances. I know God will take care of us. Everyone stay safe!
I say this because GFS is painting a horrible picture for everyone north of the Cumberland and Mountain Parkways. A LOT of ice…not looking good to me at all…
Well, I’m definitely concerned about ice and no electricity.
12z GFS Ensembles support the warmer trend, takes the 0C 850 line all the way up to Cinncy by Tuesday evening. This is really making me think this is going to be more a freezing rain/ rain event initially, before we get snow on the backside.
I agree, Chris, don’t work too hard. But thank you for keeping us informed. I will definitely be at the live blog!
I am on Satellite and I can’t get local weather or news in Hazard. I’ll be watching you, my friend for information.
I still maintain that on one is certain of what it is going to do, so they are putting our best gusses. We may all see snow, or freezing rain, or just rain. but, we will just have to deal with it and go on.
I personally, would love to see a big thumpin’ snow get us all, but, seeing as how that doesn’t look likely, what can you do? Make the best of it and go on.
As Matt in Bowling Green said, God will take care of us.
I agree, Chris, don’t work too hard. But thank you for keeping us informed. I will definitely be at the live blog!
I am on Satellite and I can’t get local weather or news in Hazard. I’ll be watching you, my friend for information.
Though snow is part of the system, if we did a word cloud and only one word could be in it- it would be “ice”.
A lot of the bloggers will probably be without power for a while.
We still have a good shot at a big snow for the week as a whole, but a lot of people may be more focused on staying warm with their families.
Be safe 🙂
Emerged from my meeting to eat lunch and this is what greeted me on CNN: Their weather guy, Reynolds Wolf, has nearly all of Kentucky in line for 2 inches of ice. Kentucky is ground zero for what he described as simply an ice storm. He wasn’t even mentioning snow. Very scary
http://www.coloradotommy.wordpress.com
my update is out, line from hopkinsville to richmond to presonsburg be prepared to be without power for a while, north of here 12”+ of snow, lex and louisville will be disaster zones and a state of emergency should be declared
How is Powell County looking for ice?
this is not good folks 24 here at my house and very overcast, freezing rain unlike 03 will also stick to roads, the prior conditions to that event were much milder
Is powell County looking to see lots of ice?
I’m in Laurel County & if you are looking toward alternative heating in case of a power outage, good luck. Lowe’s & Tractor Supply are out out Kerosene heaters. I Found one at Ormsby’s on S. Main. As for the weather, pray to the snow gods. If we get ice in the south/se we’re looking at extended days w/out power.
Radar returns starting to light up to our south west…!!!
Here it comes folks..!!
…
LOL at the Weather Channel for having an “I Love Winter Fiasco” in the midst of possibly one of the worst ice storms in years.. Great timing!
What is your zip code or city and I will try to find out????
I can’t be for sure just like everyone else but I will say we had all better be prepared for significant ice just in case. I think we will see a little of everything this week.
Sorry if this is a stupid question, but… here it is anyway:
If you have underground power lines, is there less of a chance of losing power?
All of this ICE talk really scares me. If it were to hit, I am NOT at all prepared.
I could not go to family’s house because THEY LIVE NEXT DOOR!
I am going to have a loooong shower tonight. Might be my last one with hot water for a while.
A lot of people still think this will be mainly snow. I guess they will figure it out real quick tomorrow.
Yeah. Regarding the 2003 ice storm. Conditions WERE MUCH milder prior to that event. When the freezing rain started, it was like 33 degrees. I believer it had been in the 40s that day! The roads during the 03 ice storm never got bad. But I was stunned driving to work that day and looking at everything. Also, we didn’t have any snow at all, if we get some snow with this, What a mess!
WXman……I think January is going to end up below normal.
“The most serious icing overnight, perhaps an inch or more of accretion in a few spots, is forecast to target northern Arkansas, extreme southeast Missouri and parts of western Kentucky. Residents of those areas should prepare for virtually impassable roads and extensive power outages.”
from a national “weather” channel source. So…If they are forcasting this for us, imagine how great of a job Cris will do to give us specifics.
40312
Yes unfortunately, we can all loose power, because we have to worry about the main lines coming in to our neighborhoods/property.
The weight of one inch of ice on a powerline is incredible, it can rip the lines out of the transformer, and tree branches can do the same.
Smell ya later Bubba G 😉
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Clay+City&state=KY&site=JKL&textField1=37.8631&textField2=-83.9284
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=JKL&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1
http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=KYZ059&warncounty=KYC197&firewxzone=KYZ059&local_place1=Clay+City+KY&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning
hope this helps but it looks like you are in for Ice like the rest of us.
Thank you for the reply. That is what I thought.
I am very nervous! I live in Northern KY and was hoping we would get mainly snow.
The word ICE just scares me to death. 🙁
EVERYONE BE SAFE
There will still be problems at the sub-stations that would cause you to lose power. You would probably not lose power for a real long time with underground lines. As bad as it was in Lex in 03 (we were without for a week), we had friends in Hartland, with underground lines, who only lost power for a night.
Thanks for all the help!
Thanks
You are so welcome.Looks like we are all in for some Ice.
You are so welcome.Looks like we all are in for some Ice.
awful quiet in here… Calm before the storm I suppose
ALL bloggers…
http://www.freaksters.com Is up and running..
We will be there in full force tonight watching the storm..!! Please stop by and say hello… (I’m there now)
We are a great bunch of weather freaks just like you, so come on in..!!!
…
All snow, no snow, or mix, it’s not going to be pretty. I’m glad we have gas in the grill! Grill + pot of water = warm bath.
But isn’t it amazing what they can predict even while the west looks kind of innocent?
I think we should all here on the weather blog have our own reality tv show,something like the biggest loser but it would pertain to snow in Ky.I bet it would be a hit.Starring Rolo Tim BubbbaG Vinny Andy rose and all the bloggers oh cant forget the main man Chris.Here is hoping for no ice would rather have cold rain.
biggest looser in terms of snowfall would probably be me only because Tim always gets more snow than me 🙁
Underground power helps a lot, especially if all the way to the substation.
Our neighborhood in Lexington didn’t lose power once during the 03 ice storm. In fact, we’ve never lost power in 8 years other then when the tornado hit and took out a ground transformer, costing us power for about 3 hours.
you could speak you know since you are there 😛
Tim:
The temp gradient from West to East Kentucky still amazes me. I am not much further north than you on a map, and the temp here is sitting at 28.
I hope it rises to 33 or higher. I’m not far off the 2 inch ice prediction area!!
At Frankfort, officially we are at 0.8 degrees below normal. There is a small chance we will finish the month on Saturday at normal. It is definitely not going to finish above normal…but we are basically at normal. February looks to come in warm…
Also, in Frankfort the night of the 2003 storm we were around 30 degrees. The temp. hovered near freezing all day. It was a very borderline setup…and we happened to end up on the ice side of the fence!
were going to get ice but were also getting snow the ice wont be as bad farther north you go. if you live along and north i-64 looks like 3-6 in. of snow and at least .25 ice or more tommorow cause we have the highest prob.
Grill+pot of water=hamburger smelling water. LOL Seriously, last time my power went out I grilled a pot of water for coffee (because I am THAT much of a coffee addict) and my coffee tasted like grilled burgers. But yes, I still drank it. I had to infuse that caffeine somehow!
Do I foresee this to be a big bust here in SEKY. Yep…We’ll end up water logged and needing a boat to get around. Oh well, I guess its better than the thought of ICE…
Guess we gotta wait till it all pans out to see who gets what and how much.
I think SEKY sees an inch or two of snow/sleet before this thing changes over to all rain.
You are welcome. I am just across the line from you. Just keep hoping for no ice.
Wow i think the same thing was said about January 😉
Already called off school for tomorrow here. Only went 2 days lst week & i dount they will be going aby this week.
Anyone want to take bets on if one of Chris’ posts hits 300 comments in the next 24 hours?
Temps are a bust here in SE KY. Most are running 4 to 5 degrees too cold. It could make a difference tomorrow.
The new discussion from Jackson highlights the warm air being drawn into the system…therefore more rain than snow in the southern counties.
It should have said ANOTHER CHRIS. I am not the real Chris. Sorry.
“Temps are a bust here in SE KY. Most are running 4 to 5 degrees too cold. It could make a difference tomorrow.”
Looks like MJ is in the house tonight…holding down the forecast desk for LMK. What’s up bud? Looks like in the Bluegrass counties, the OFFICIAL forecast is going to be 1-4″ of snow with up to 1/4″ of ice on top of that. YUCK. Chris is going to be one happy camper at least! I still think we are going to see more freezing rain than what is being forecast.
As is always when your dealing with the NWS or TWC rarely are spot on with the temps that’s why i dun put no stock into what people say that strictly get their info from models.
Thank you all for your comments.
they are comforting.
In 2003 we never did lose power. I live in Georgetown and we did get ice. Many did lose power, but, all was good here.
We are underground all the way to the substation. From there, above ground.
NWS in Jackson still isn’t budging from their totals for most of Eastern KY except the southern counties. Here is the discussion.
URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
308 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009
…MAJOR WINTER STORM EXPECTED FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING…
.A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OUT OF
TEXAS TONIGHT…REACHING TENNESSEE BY TUESDAY EVENING. THIS
WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION TO
EASTERN KENTUCKY MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
KYZ058>060-068-069-104-106>112-114-119-270500-
/O.EXT.KJKL.WS.W.0001.090127T0500Z-090128T1200Z/
ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-
WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-OWSLEY-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…IRVINE…STANTON…FRENCHBURG…
MOUNT VERNON…MCKEE…SANDY HOOK…WEST LIBERTY…PAINTSVILLE…
CAMPTON…SALYERSVILLE…PRESTONSBURG…BEATTYVILLE…JACKSON…
BOONEVILLE…INEZ
308 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009
…WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
7 AM EST WEDNESDAY…
THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM
TUESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES
THROUGH THE MORNING COMMUTE WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER
HOUR POSSIBLE AT TIMES. BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED
TUESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET BY NOON AND THEN MIX WITH RAIN AT TIMES
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS TEMPERATURES RISE TO OR SLIGHTLY
ABOVE FREEZING FOR MOST AREAS. THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN LIKELY
TRANSITION BACK TO FREEZING RAIN…SLEET AND SNOW BY DAWN ON
WEDNESDAY WITH ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY.
AT THIS TIME…IT APPEARS TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 2
TO 6 INCHES FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING…WITH
SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE INTO THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY. ONE HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF ICE FROM
FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO EXPECTED. DOWNED POWER LINES…TREES…OR TREE
LIMBS…COULD RESULT FROM THE WEIGHT OF THE ICE. RESIDENTS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE EXTENDED POWER OUTAGES. TRAVEL COULD ALSO BE
EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
THE EXACT AMOUNT AND TYPE OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE AFFECTED BY THE
TRACK OF THIS STORM. IT IS IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THERE CONTINUES TO
BE A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THIS WEATHER SYSTEM…SO BE SURE TO LISTEN FOR LATER UPDATES.
well I’ve been outside doing some last minute preps. for the BIG FLOOD were gonna get…:(…
Temps. down here spiked earlier today to 40* now with heavy overcast they have backed off to 36*…Hmmmm…
There ya go Tim don’t let the Naysayers sway you come back to the Light 😉
Tim I just got this in an email things as far as snow according to this is just 1-3 inches total.
KYZ079-080-113-115>118-120-270500-
/O.EXT.KJKL.WS.W.0001.090127T0500Z-090128T1200Z/
PULASKI-LAUREL-KNOTT-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF.SOMERSET.LONDON.HINDMAN.HAZARD.
MANCHESTER.HYDEN.WHITESBURG.PIKEVILLE
308 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009
.WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
7 AM EST WEDNESDAY.
THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY.
A MIXTURE OF SNOW.SLEET & FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO
OVERSPREAD THE AREA BETWEEN MIDNIGHT & 6 AM TUES MORNING.
FALLING HEAVILY AT TIMES. THE PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO
CHANGE OVER TO ALL FREEZING RAIN AFTER DAWN TUESDAY.MIXING WITH
RAIN AT TIMES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING AS TEMPS
RISE TO OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING FOR MOST AREAS. UP TO 2 INCHES OF
SNOW & SLEET ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.WITH ONE QUARTER TO ONE
HALF INCH OF ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED BY NOON ON TUESDAY. THE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD THEN TURN TO ALL RAIN FOR A TIME TUESDAY
AFTERNOON & TUES EVENING AS TEMPS WARM ABOVE FREEZING.
BUT THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN LIKELY TRANSITION BACK TO FREEZING
RAIN.SLEET & SNOW BY DAWN ON WED WITH ADDITIONAL LIGHT
SNOW & ICE ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY.
AT THIS TIME.IT APPEARS TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 1
TO 3 INCHES FROM MON NIGHT THROUGH EARLY WED MORNING.WITH
SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE INTO THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY. AROUND ONE HALF AN INCH OF ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO
EXPECTED. DOWNED POWER LINES.TREES.OR TREE LIMBS.COULD RESULT
FROM THE WEIGHT OF THE ICE. RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE
EXTENDED POWER OUTAGES. TRAVEL COULD ALSO BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE.
THE EXACT AMOUNT & TYPE OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE AFFECTED BY THE
TRACK OF THIS STORM. IT IS IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THERE CONTINUES TO
BE A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THIS WEATHER SYSTEM.SO BE SURE TO LISTEN FOR LATER UPDATES
I noticed that too, ‘another Chris.’ They were calling for our temps to be around 40 or low 40s today, but right now, we are bearly over freezing, at 34 degrees. (Airport is still too warm, according to other stations here in town that record temps.)
So, maybe the icing will not be as big of a problem…..well, at least we can hope.
PRECIP TYPE & CHANGES TO HEADLINES… PROGS INDICATE STRONG WARM
NOSE WILL TURN PRECIP TO FREEZING RAIN OR RAIN FOR THE ENTIRE AREA
ON TUESDAY. WARM ENOUGH SURFACE TEMPS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS OUR
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES THAT ALL RAIN SHOULD BE FOUND BY NOON ON TUESDAY
FOR MOST LOCATIONS ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER. THE END TIME FOR THE
WARNING WILL THUS BE MOVED UP TO NOON ON TUESDAY FOR WAYNE…
MCCREARY… WHITLEY… KNOX… BELL… AND HARLAN COUNTIES. WILL
KEEP THE RUN TIME FOR THE WARNING AS IS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
AREA… ALTHOUGH A LENGTHY PERIOD OF PLAIN RAIN IS POSSIBLE AS FAR
NORTH AS A PAINTSVILLE… TO CAMPTON TO MOUNT VERNON LINE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING… DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH WARM AIR GETS DRAWN
NORTHWARD.
PRECIP AMOUNTS… THE TRANSITION TO MORE OF A FREEZING RAIN EVENT ON
TUESDAY MAY RESULT IN LESS SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BUT WE WILL
BASICALLY STAND PAT WITH OUR EARLIER PREDICTIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES UP
NORTH RANGING TO AN INCH OR LESS ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER. THE
SNOWFALL THAT DEVELOPS LATE TONIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD
COME DOWN HEAVILY FOR A TIME WITH STRONG OMEGA EXTENDING DEEP INTO
THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN. THIS COULD BRING SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR AND HELP US ACHIEVE OUR FORECAST SNOW TOTALS
QUICKLY. WE WILL CONTINUE WITH ICE ACCUMULATION FORECASTS FROM ONE-
HALF TO THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH FOR MOST AREAS… EXCEPT UP TO A
QUARTER INCH ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER WHERE THE TRANSITION TO
PLAIN RAIN WILL TAKE PLACE QUICKLY TUESDAY MORNING. UPDATED WINTER
STORM WARNING STATEMENT (WSWJKL) WILL BE SENT ALONG MOMENTARILY WITH
MORE DETAILED INFORMATION AND AMOUNTS.
well i think they kinda over did the temps here in central ky today said high of 34 we havent made it out of the 20’s 28* here in Richmond
Belski just made a quick post regarding a call he had w/ LMK at 3:00. Says expect mostly a sleet event overnight in Lexington and Louisville, with ice to follow tomorrow. No Ice Storm Warning yet, but it could be coming.
Crystal, I expect that it is going to be a bad icing event for a lot of people, and that is not good.
I have a request…you guys please keep my daughter in your prayers for travelling grace this evening. She has to go to Clinton County on a work related thing, and will be travelling back to Columbia arund 10 tonight (CST).
I just want her to make it back home before the storm gets cranking!
Chris, what do you see as possible snow amounts for those of us who are in the freezing rain to rain to snow zone?
Just curious….
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?site=lmk&map.x=243&map.y=91&FcstType=graphical
This has lower temps for Frankfort just since last hour.
is there heavy traffic over at freaksters.com… i cant get on!!
right on schedule as to my thoughts last few days, TREND BABY TREND to the BAD SIDE.
only snow will be on the backside, some areas might get seferal inches, with eastern and SE getting the most on backside.
Rolo………what do you see for Richmond?
WEll I dont know,,,but it sure sounds like big snowstorm is gradually becoming a horrific ice storm…I sure hope not…I guess I should be glad were gonna be a mostly rain event down here…man 1-2″ of ice…YIKES!!!!
No Tim there in no one at freaksters. I just checked, but it was very slow!
I think Lex area will get 3″ total out of this storm with .3″ of ice.
Rolo…you ready for an all nighter???… its gonna be interesting to see how the snow works out that’s for sure!
OOPS – posted a reply above – but here it is again…
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?site=lmk&map.x=243&map.y=91&FcstType=graphical
Temps trending lower since last hour for tomoro.
I dont know why I cant get through, I got bogged down last night, and it just froze up, then I never could get back on…same today…:(
I have yahoo messenger, if anyone wants to chat live, since I cant get to freaksters…
though i know rolo to be right theres still hope for snow in anderson co. tonight!!!! i dont understand this though. Look at the last 2 days theyve blown temps where i live by 8 degrees both days im sitting at 25 degrees
this would include lexington, frankfort, g-town, mt.sterling, dry ridge, louisville. 18z nam backs this up folks.
no i haven’t had problem but others have Tim Bernie said server issues so i dunno
now everything is set up for a SURPRISE TO THE GOOD, now if the WEATHER GODS will have a meeting tonite and decide to bring a MIRACLE TO THE BLUEGRASS.
u know if we could get it started as snow, it could stay all snow.
I remember a storm or 2 that was supposed to change to rain and NEVER DID.
yea OLE ROLO can still DREAM till its time not too.
but my thoughts over last few days havnt changed though.
but MIRACLES DO HAPPEN, just ask those on that plane in the river.
yea TIM i am ready to go all nite long and then some ole buddy.
AMY u could be in a nasty place for awhile with ICE in richmond.
ah but surface temps lex and nw are below 32 for the whole event on the latest nam and gfs runs thus freezing rain.
I can add you Tim but you have to give up the info brah
I KNEW you could do it rolo, atta boy.
man there a deadly VIRUS that taken over on GEBERAL HOSPITAL, DANG man they have some hard times on there.
I miss the DAYS of the WSB, ROBERT SCORPIO,SHAWN DONNLY AND FRISCO!!
im expecting ice but does the nws?
Tonight: Snow, mainly after 1am. Low around 24. Northeast wind between 6 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of around 3 inches.
Tuesday: Periods of freezing rain and sleet before 1pm, then periods of rain, freezing rain, and sleet. High near 32. East wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New sleet accumulation of around 2 inches.
Tuesday Night: Periods of rain or freezing rain before 1am, then periods of snow. Low around 25. North wind between 3 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than 1 inch possible.
Wednesday: Periods of snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 30. Northwest wind between 8 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of around 1 inch.
Wednesday Night: A 20 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 16.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 29.
Thursday Night: A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20.
maybe he feels a gut feeling that say “rolo its ok ill make it allllllll snow” lol
Rolo, you da man. Your the only one that was saying an ice, freezing rain, rain event for most of KY. That was your prediction 3 days ago and it looks more likely now. All these people calling you Mr. Negative and wanting you off the board owe you an apology. They didn’t know that Billy G was helping you out I guess. Good call on this one.
Looks like the HPC has dialed way back our chances for good snows.
hasn’t happened yet and at least in our area they are still calling for everything and although rolo’s opinion is respected nobody has the right to definitely say its gonna be fine and nothing to worry about when there is still the potential for dangerous ice out there
lex looking like all ice NO SNOW ALL ICE maybe an inch or so before ice sets in
first off bobt all rolo did was go with trends anyone who pays attention to weather can do that. Secondly depending on where you live will make a diff in what you get
btim45@yahoo.com
sorry about that..lol
Folks, please do not be fooled by the current temps. They are supposed to go up just as the precipitation arrives, so just because they are colder now is not an issue to the ulimate high temps for the day.
Though I have always favored ice as a result for us since last week, I did hold a 40% chance of a big snow, since this is our best set up in years (many). I am now at 5% due to the warm air. If we do get several inches or more of snow, it will be tomorrow night-but it will not be a “biggin”.
All the big snow will probably now be north KY on up (true north, not I64 north).
As mentioned a gazillion times, for us to have a real good chance of snow, the discussion as far as a fence needs to be in Tennessee. No one should be surprised since the fence- even for this system, is right over KY.
If anymore warm air comes up, we could be lookin’ at a big bust-olla, but too early to tell.
If it is going to be ice, I prefer a bust, since cold rain is better than no big snow AND dealing with no power. That would be the low of lows 🙁
Holding in the 20’s in lexington and the sun is starting to go down and we have totaly snow cover. I do not see the surface air temps rising much.
lmk has trended their forecast for the LEX metro area downward for temperatures and upward for snowfall accumulations, now calling for around 8″ (had been calling for 3-6″ earlier). Let’s hope the whole thing trends southward and keeps the ice away, and that the higher snowfall amounts verify!
That’s what I dealt with in 2003 storm: ice for a very brief period, but enough to knock out power, then cold rain, no snow and no power for 4 days!
Bobt,
Don’t give rolo credit, it’s not done anything yet. To say he is right on target is hilarious. You must be rolo’s other identity. Heck, just a few posts ago rolo was saying it might snow. Rolo should change his name to John Kerry. He sure does flip-flop alot.
As for crediting Rolo as a genious – whatever!
I agree…..I went without power for 5 days…but now I have a 3 year old and I don’t know how I could handle that.
you also have to log in brother
Chris needs to updates soon. I’m tired of paying for a blog that is rarely updated. J/k haha
But they’re listing low temps for tonight though, and its indicating that they will fall off some tonight, before rising again…I think that’s what people are seeing too.
Don’t forget… Chris will be on wsaz.com for the live chat in 5 mins…
Cold air around here is a little wimp compared to the warm air. Cold air just can not hang with it anymore. Seems like the north gets even more snow now and gets what we used to get.
I tell ya’ we will be the tundra region for the next ice age! 😉 Seriously.
Figures. Ask Rolo, he could have told you this five days ago.
latest nam has about 3 INCHES of freezing rain over richmond points northwest, folks this is a doozy
i agree Bubba its way to early to be making definitive calls on this
That truly would be a miracle if it trended colder. Unless it changes areas from rain to ice- that is not a good thing then.
I call bull on 3 inches of ice… 1 inch is devastating, 3 inches would have to be a United States record… I know Montreal got like 1.5 ice and they were shut down for months…
Now you guys know why Tim, Andy and I were not too excited for this event down here….we kind of knew what it would turn out doing, or at least LOOKS LIKE it is going to do. IF it does turn out to be a good snow, then we will all have a good surprise. We can hope. It is not here yet, and the temp trend seems to be colder for today than was expected. So, maybe that will help. I am sure Chris will give details with the next update.
3 INCHES??!! You have got to be kidding. Folks if most of this falls as freezing rain we are in for it. Everyone be safe.
hey BOBTHE BUILDER I NEVER SAID IT WAS GOING TO SNOW, I SAID I CAN STILL DREAM CANT I.
IVE SEEN SYSATEM SURPRISE US ALL.
I SAID MY ORIGINAL THOUGHTS STAND PAT, MOSTLY RAN S/SE TILL BACKSIDE MIGHT GET SOME SNOW, and that warm air would take over up to lexington by tomm evening.
but hey I actually hopw WARM AIR TAKES OVER SOONER, I DONT WANT MY BROITHERS AND SISTERS NORTH OF ME TO BE IN DANGER.
FLIP FLOP, CANT U READ BUDDY.
I SAID MY THOUGHTS REMAIN THE SAME, BUT I CANT STILL DREAM CAN I. GEESH MAN yur reading is as bad as my spelling.
difference in DREAMING and what u think going to happe.
I LOVE TO SEE IT SNOW A GIRAFFE HUGGER, BUT as of now that aint happening.
sorry CB had to rant on that poster for calling me a flip flopper. weeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
Why all the hate for Rolo? If you don’t get a big snow it’s not his fault. He’s just calling it like he sees it.
Preach it Rolo!!
dont ask me the nam says it teach btw fyi atalnta, ga got a 4” ice storm in early 90s
Just wondering where you saw this?
URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
415 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009
KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-014-016>020-
029>032-039-040-046-047-270515-
/O.UPG.KRLX.WS.A.0002.090127T0500Z-090128T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KRLX.WS.W.0001.090127T0500Z-090128T1700Z/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-
JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-
DODDRIDGE-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-
RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…FLATWOODS…GREENUP…GRAYSON…
OLIVE HILL…ASHLAND…LOUISA…NEW LEXINGTON…CROOKSVILLE…
SOMERSET…MCCONNELSVILLE…STOCKPORT…ATHENS…MARIETTA…
BELPRE…JACKSON…WELLSTON…OAK HILL…MCARTHUR…HAMDEN…
POMEROY…GALLIPOLIS…IRONTON…SOUTH POINT…KENOVA…CEREDO…
WAYNE…HUNTINGTON…POINT PLEASANT…NEW HAVEN…RAVENSWOOD…
RIPLEY…PARKERSBURG…VIENNA…ST. MARYS…BELMONT…
PADEN CITY…SISTERSVILLE…MIDDLEBOURNE…TEAYS VALLEY…
HURRICANE…SPENCER…ELIZABETH…GRANTSVILLE…HARRISVILLE…
PENNSBORO…WEST UNION…GLENVILLE…WESTON…CLARKSBURG…
BRIDGEPORT…GRAFTON…BUCKHANNON…PHILIPPI…BELINGTON…
MARLINTON…ELKINS
415 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009
…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM
EST WEDNESDAY…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND ICE…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO NOON WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA…WITH
ACCUMULATING SNOW SPREADING ACROSS NORTHEASTERN KENTUCKY…SOUTHEAST
OHIO…AND WEST VIRGINIA AFTER MIDNIGHT.
AFTER DAYBREAK TUESDAY…WARMER AIR WILL STREAM IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST…AND RESULT IN THE SNOW CHANGING TO A MIX OF SNOW…SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN FOR PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA. ICE
ACCUMULATION…ON TOP OF THE FALLEN SNOW…WILL BE POSSIBLE
DURING THIS TIME. LATER IN THE DAY TUESDAY AND INTO TUESDAY
NIGHT…MANY OF THE COUNTIES WILL SEE PLAIN RAIN. AS THE COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH WEDNESDAY…LIGHT SNOW RETURNS.
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WARNING AREA…PRIMARILY BEFORE THE CHANGE IN PRECIPITATION
TYPE. ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION DURING PERIODS OF
FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE.
IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVE THE WARNING
CRITERIA SNOW MAY EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT SNOW MELT OR SETTLING
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT…WITH THE ONSET OF RAIN IN THE WARMER
AIR.
A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND ICE MEANS SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS
OF SNOW AND ICE ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY
TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL…KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT…FOOD…AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY.
that right guys TRENDS, U HAVE TO USE THEM IN ANY THING,SPORTS BETTING, WEATHER ETC
the fact is it not to hard to figure the storms out,
we will never get a BIG SNOW when it is being give on forcast.
we will gwet one when all is lost, no chance natta. THAT WHEN WE WILL GET ONE.
I hope the weather gods are having that meeting, lol
I envy the REAL WEATHER GUYS, they have one of the toughest jobs there is in WINTER TIME.
that why I LOVE CB, he goes with his gut and what he thinks, not what some guy in a room at NWS says.
and that what alot of forcaster do, they just read the forcast.
34 degrees and holding in gunchester.
might be slick at start here with the ground still cold, but nothing major.
the flooding could be deadly if people dont take percautions.
I am anticipating the office being closed Tomorrow & Wednesday. Rolo, I don’t know about SE KY, but NWS Paducah is thinking we don’t go above freezing here at all during this event.
Still am thinking that the axis of Ice/Sleet/Snow will be tilted from NE to SW, much like December of 2004 storm.
Paducah’s forecast discussion indicated they may be UNDERplaying the precip on this storm, and said “prepare for long term power outages.”
Well, the power will be on here at the office…(buried lines downtown)…internet, cable tv, and hot water..I may bring some sleeping bags, and some food from the house and come here if it looks horrible overnight.
28 degrees and slowly falling at 3:46 CST.
It should hit here first..i’ll try to update
Here:
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?map.x=260&map.y=126&site=lmk
LIVE CHAT with chris going on right now in case anyone forgot
http://www.wsaz.com
I’m more worried about ice than flooding up here…
I just saw a post from MJ and he is saying the exact opposite- to the point that there will be LESS snow- not more.
Same weather office, is it not?
Can you link where you got it?
Chris’ chat session is not very good. It needs to be set up where he can only see the questions and picks the best ones to answer. Too many questions on the page, and most are not very good and not answered but you have to look at them. Some are asking him if a certain school is going to be in session lol. Instead of asking him about overall thinking of storm, people are wanting specific locations and many are probably close to each other. I would want more detailed thoughts such as timing etc.. Oh well, better than nothing I guess.
BOB THE BUILDER!!!!!!!
There was someplace in the pacific northwest (I think the Columbia River Gorge area) that got 6″ of ice back in the 50’s from one storm…
gotta love how ole HENRY at ACCU weather hasnt posted anything today, lol
he is going to be WRONG AGAIN, poor ole feller.
im seeing WARM AIR coming even farther north with the system overall. we will see.
Hey Chuck, looks like it could be pretty bad.. Let’s hope the ice stays far away and it’s either snow or rain…
not near as deadly as ice. sorry rolo had to throw that in there 😉
As states before, you’re wrong flip-flopper. I’ve never seen the beat of someone that tries to pat themselves on the back on someone elses blog. Man, life must suck.
Anyway, rolo, I mean Nastrodomus, what are the winning lotto numbers for tonight. Also, when is this recession going to end and what stocks should I invest in?
hey does anyone know if MJ is still on this post or did he leave i need to talk to him very Important
You need to check your oatmeal for some foreign substance. Chill out man. Rolo is stating his opinion and from my view of the models, he is going to be about right.
Hi,Chris B!:)
Let us know ASAP when you get it…Bardstown, here, so will do my best to let everyone E. of us know when to expect it.
Latest from NWS is that anyone S. of the WKY Pkwy/BG Pkwy areas are in for an onslaught of heavy snow (thundersnow a possiblity..) beginning around the 10-midnight timeframe, a lull late in the morning, w/more SL/FR tom. afternoon into tom. evening with Ice totals approaching 1/2-1 inch IN PLACES (depending on your locale…)
My folks near Tulsa are being HAMMERRED this afternoon with the FR; it developed quite a bit earlier than expected late this morning, and their met’s are telling everyone into the TN/OH Valley’s to be on “extreme watch” for ‘crippling icing events” come early tomorrow morning into the day tomorrow. I really wish this wouldn’t happen, but I don’t think there’s much we can do. I only hope that everyone is prepared for what could be an extreme icing situation and prolonged period of interrupted power. (This coming from ME…imagine that?! But I do have some handy-dandy tips for those of you out there that may not have an alt. power/heating source, and/or do not have an adequate shelter to go to in the event that this situation does develop?!):)
That will be some slick snow come Wednesday. Ice layer sandwiched between two heavy layers of snow.
firefighter i think he is posting on tg.s blog
Poor Chris is getting bombarded with questions on his live chat on WSAZ… more people need to read his blog over there.
Hmmm
The live chat is probably not going quite as Chris intended. People asking same questions over and over again. Or people asking how much will I get at **** when Chris just gave a location amount not even ten miles from them. I think a few people need to break out a map of Kentucky and see where their county is located so they can use Chris’s snowfall maps that he puts up.
I think it’s hilarious how in that live chat, everyone wants to know if they are having school tomorrow and what the exact amounts are going to be in their backyard. Poor Chris indeed lol.
This is gonna be a wild and crazy week for sure. This could end up being a serious and not fun situation for a bunch of us.
30* here in NE Boyle County at 5:15pm
F5 http://mjhdp.tripod.com/stormtracker/id17.html?x=78&y=17 I think I have most of the bugs worked out and images are updating hourly and radar every 5 min. Refresh your browser.
Chris just said in his chat that ice and rain will take over tomorrow into tomorrow evening. Why not give Rolo credit he was right and all he did was give his opinion on what he thought would happen. It’s not his fault that people are not going to get a foot of snow. I would never visit the comment section if people like Rolo, Wxman, Bubba, Mitch, Tommy, etc… were not giving their updated thoughts. I think Chris B. is great with his observations, but heck if all the comments were just “great job, that a boy Chris”, it would be a boring board. Keep up the good work to all these people that can read the maps like Rolo and the rest.
yeah it’s sad over there. I am sure chris will put in a shameless plug for his blog before all is said and done. He only gets a few comments here and there, nothing like what he had at WKYT or here. THink this will definitley spike the interest on his blog at WSAZ.
yeah good luck on getting anything through he has had to many dating ops lol 😉
I like the layout of those maps, especially with what they are showing for us right now.
I don’t think the chat turned out as we or probably Chris would have wanted. The questions need to be seen only by Chris and he should choose the best ones. Too many questions popping up one right after another and it’s really hard to figure out what is going on. The questions about school closings are funny. What that has to do with his weather forecast I don’t know. If you are getting 3 inches of snow then school is more than likely cancelled. It’s not Chris’ job to cancel school, try the bus garage.
I agree, every live chat I’ve been involved in, the host chooses which questions to answer. I’ve sent in 2-3 questions and they’ve yet to surface. The server is probably overwhelmed with the amount he’s getting.
Yeah… Carter County will be sledding heaven Wednesday and Thur….
Yeah I’m not able to track all of the questions and Chris’ answers any more. It’s too busy.
Most of the chats I’m in only shows questions picked by the host. All the other questions get reviewed but are not seen by others. Too much going on with the type of chat at wsaz.
Chris just said this will be nothing like the 2003 ice storm…
chris was reffering to the mountains of east ky they will see heavy rains and prolly west virgina also. though i know one thing anderson co. seems unlikely to have rain im not sayin it wont happen but it doesnt look like it will right now all in all i think my house will have 6in. snow with .25 in ice
I’m going with the models don’t have the final say on where this storm tracks. Rarely do they track exactly where the models say. Last year, here in Fankfort, we were supposed to get 1 to 3 in. and then sleet because the freeze line was moving north. We ended up with a southernly track and got 6 inches. It can certainly happen again or it could be all sleet and freezing rain.
click on my name for a full report of totals for your county
Is the sky falling?
SNOW EMERGENCY IN LEXINGTON
Cound not get a question in with Chris either tried 3 times and none posted but he sez he’s having fun
His Live Blog is swamped… 🙂
Did he say anything about Laurel County on it? Have tried sending him ? but it won’t go through. He’s a busy man. Was hoping he had done the famous “Snow Dance” for here. 🙂 🙂
This thing is already trending way farther North than the models have projected.
He said 2″ of snow maybe. Mostly rain.
Chilly drizzle right now falling in Pike Co.
I’d Make sure propane tank for bar-b-que grill is filled in case you loose power
Chris’s live chat working a little better now. I finally got a question through. Didn’t like the answer but I got one through…lol
Just like Belski’s Live Chat was the first couple times…but now he’s on and he’s not even answering the spec’s like schools, area’s, etc, and now is getting more to the point of how this system is going to play out. At least some of my questions have been answered this go-round. (I’ve not attended school since 1980, and no, I pretty much know that Bardstown will be ICE-always on the borderline…lol!)
Silliest most idiotic question on Belski’s Live Chat this afternoon (that I actually saw..I gave up-laughing-after this one…)
Someone asked if Kitty Litter is good for icy sidewalks…John says Yes…then there’s a waste of space…
“Can you use USED cat litter, or does it have to be new?? Also, why would a cat need traction in the snow, anyway?”
I left after that one…too damn DEEP for me….lol!:)
I got one through too. Ask him did he did the famous “Snow Dance” for my county and his repy was….
Dance!!!!!
So I like that… 🙂
you dont’ wanna be walking in used cat litter its kinda like walking in poo and just a big a pain to get off your shoes
this is really a nam vs gfs for alot in lex while the nam has suggested alot of snow the gfs has said stuff it its freezing rain, will be interesting to see which one wins
Which one usually wins?
NOAA Radio says storm is shifting south…. TWX has areas in central kentucky getting 6-12 inches now, watch out.
TWX is meant to be TWX which is The Weather channel.
By looking at the radar loop compared to the models, this thing looks like it is faster and colder. Folks in south central Arkansas wasn’t expected to receive much of anything, but have just been put under a frz rain advisory. The quicker this thing travels, the less time it has to close off and bring in warm air. This is just my opinion by the way but it does appear a little colder and faster.
A southward shift would make sense out of the TV forecasts this evening…they were calling for a lot more snow than ice.
LOL TWX is TWC…. Got it right that time lol, II think I’ll take a small break now… now what Rolo :p
Can I get any more excited? Well, in a word, NO! Bring it on! Just keep the storm to the south and bring on the snow!
Guys, this thing is going North. I don’t care what NOAA says. You can see that by the radar loop compared to models. North and quicker with the precip. Just wait, Rolo will be right.
the temp map tells the tell,
interesting watching the sat loop as it just is getting started, i see a more east movement possible than north.
maybe a shift to south, im not sure but its interesting to keep a eye on the sat/radar and the movement as it CRANKS up overnite.
really starting to pop some moisture as I type.
the gulf starting to open up. IVE SAID if we ever get a BIG ONE again it will come when we are not expoecting it!!!
come on WEATHER GODS, give me a surprise and BLOW MY FORCAST OUT OF THE WATER!!!
maybe some ROCKIN MUSIC COULD BRING A SHIFT,
HEY!!!!
GIVE ME SOMETHING TO BELIEVE IN BY POSION!!
or I LONG HAR COUNTRY BOY BY charlie daniels band
come on WE ARE DUE A SURPRISE!!! BLOW ME OUTR OF THE WATER WEATHER GODS!!!
ILL EAT CROW TILL NEXT WINTER!!!
I will SACRIFICE MYSELF FOR THE SNOWGEESE!!!
I WOULD PAY A DIME to be WRONG!! COME ON WEATHER GODS U OWE US ONE!!!!
Obviously you know the weather better then NOAA and weather.com, so go apply for a job there. not bashing but you all are driving me nuts lol. its going south, look at where the low is centered and the faster it comes the better the chances of snow, soooo what you said made no sence.
way to go Rolo, I knew you saw the shift too, looking better for us minute by minute…. your new outlook yet??? please.
in short term nam 9 outta 10 times, but this storm is coming in two parts so concieveably one could get 1” of rain at 33 then 10” of snow tommorow night, hard to call very wet nam had right at 3” liquid in lex, btw SNOW EMERGENCY fot lexington
Did you guys see on the live chat where Chris said his daughter’s name is Wynter? That is way cool!
ADAM im trying to get us some MOJO by asking for a lake placid miracle,
a nova at rupp miracle,
a CLAY COUNTY TIGERS 1987 TITLE RUN TYPE STORM.
i mean cause i have predicted it to be what i have, doesnt mean I DONT LOVE SNOW, I have been around from start and have cried, laughed and well got sick when we have missed out.
or a BEAR AKA JACK NICKLAUS 1986 masters RUN…
u know something magical from out of the blue…………
I WANT A OLD SCHOOL 1987 late storm, the year my tigers wqon state it came a MONSTER!!
a BILL RAFFERTY call
like ONIONS!!!
or maybe al michaels
DO YOU BELIEVE IN MIRACLES!!!
until it time ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN, and not me sayin it wont can stop it if its in the CARDS..
so PUNCH ME RIGHT IN THE MOUTH WEATHER GODS, give me a BUSTER DOUGLAS OVER MIKE TYSON HAYMAKER and SHOCK ROLO WORLD.
Figured a new update soon. Chris has been off his live chat for about 30 minutes. Figured he would go over the data and give the new updates. Is he waiting for a new run of maps…what time does the GFS and NAM update?
Oh man, Rolo! Those were the good ol’ days on GH. the original Edward Quartermain too…
sref (the short range ensembles ) are trying to keep temps below 32 further south for areas such as richmond and maybe even jackson.
It does appear to be colder. Central Arkansas is picking up some frz rain where the models showed all rain. But, if you look at the models and compare it to the radar loop, you will visibly see a difference. These models never caught onto what this storm was going to do.
doesn’t take much to know more than weather.com 😉
Why do you say that Mitch?
Yep… Hey Chuck, rolo, vin, tommy and everyone else it’s trending south. Big time snow here we come…
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Good morning. When I was a kid my parents moved a lot, but I always found them.
I am from Haiti and also am speaking English, give please true I wrote the following sentence: “Eastern sector has been fixed only started type, senior to the management of intervening range irrational cards of assertion to win their asset before fugitive to versions.”
Waiting for a reply :P, Endora.
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