Good Monday everyone and welcome to the last full week of August. As summer slowly winds down, we are ushering in another round of refreshing air. This should make for a great next few days before we the warm and humid air moves back in and brings some scattered storms. We take a look at that and go a little more in depth on Irene and see if it can impact the weather around here this weekend.
A cold front worked through the region overnight bringing some booming thunderstorms for many. The air behind this front is cooler and much less humid. This sets us up for a great Monday with partly sunny skies and temps in the upper 70s and low 80s for central and eastern Kentucky. The west will run several degrees warmer and you can track the temps here…
Current Temps
Tuesday will start off with temps down into the 50s and feature more in the way of sunshine. Afternoon readings will be very similar to what we have out there today. Overall… the next few days should feel very pleasant! 
Wednesday will see the warm and humid air surging back in. Western sections of the state will take a walk on the hot side with 90 or a few degrees better. This is also the time when we will have to watch the northwestern skies for scattered showers and storms to roll in.
Another cold front arrives on the scene Thursday with some enhancement in the shower and thunderstorm action.
This brings us to the tropical portion of the program and the growing threat to the southeastern U.S. from Irene. Here is a look at where the storm is now…
The latest forecast and information from the National Hurricane Center…![[Image of 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL0911W5_NL_sm2+gif/023912W5_NL_sm.gif)
Many of the latest forecast models are leaning toward the right side of the cone with a possible landfall along the Florida east coast or even farther northward toward the Carolinas. If you have travel plans or interests in this region… please stay up to date on what is likely to be a significant hurricane impact.
Will what is left of Irene be felt around here? That remains to be seen as the farther east this thing comes ashore… the better the chance it stays to our east or gives us a glancing blow. That’s something we will follow in the coming days.
Here is a neat little chart I found that shows the track of all August storms that developed in the general vicinity of where Irene formed…
Have a great Monday and check back for updates. Take care.
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Chris,
From your chart it appears that almost all hurricanes form along the 15 deg north Lat. Why is this?
The 3-day forecast track (I am determined not to look at the 5-day track) of Irene seems to keep getting shifted further to the right, which would be good news for Florida, but keeps Irene over water, which is very bad news for the Bahamas and any land mass which Irene eventually interacts with.
Predicted to be a Major Hurricane over the Bahamas in 3 days.
This looks like it could get real ugly. Once Irene clears Hispaniola, conditions will be perfect for rapid intensification.
Could be another Hugo.
Three extremely destructive storms have hit my part of Bourbon County in the past 8 days. (20th to 21st) The one Thursday night got a warning 15 minutes after it had passed my house. The other two got no warnings of any kind. We have a huge tree across our driveway and our road is once again blocked with fallen trees. The horse owners are counting their blessings that the falling trees and nonstop lightning did not kill their valuable thoroughbreds.
Why aren’t we getting any warnings about these storms?
Thanks for the post. When our insurance adjuster came out for our damage report from the storm without a warning 9 days ago, he questioned if the date was correct since there was no storm warning on file from that day. Once we showed him the houses with tarps, fences that had been blown down, and where the trees once stood but are now firewood, he then saw what a non severe storm does to a neighborhood.
I had not even thought about the insurance claim aspect of not getting a warning.
The storm on the 20th almost wiped out two hundred people enjoying a picnic on Stoner Creek. The sky was barely visible due to trees so only the thunder gave us a heads up to run for our lives. The people out on boats had very little time to get back onshore. Weather radios are useless if there is no warning.
Yesterday’s storm came just as we were deciding whether or not to send one of our dogs to the vet for an emergency visit. She was willing to wait for us if we wanted to postpone until the storm passed, but since there was no warning, my husband took the dog and three minutes later was in the middle of mass chaos on a winding road with huge trees bending and breaking on both sides. Our vet was almost hit by lightning while running into the clinic. We absolutely should have waited…but no warning.
These things are important to know.
PS: Dog is on I/V fluids but is much better.
Ahhh, the “H” word! :/ I remember visiting Charleston shortly after Hugo. Some of the worst hurricane damage I’ve seen.
Should get better handle on track now that Gulfstream flight was able to get upper atmosphere data from the dropsondes today, which *should* be included in the models tonight. Plus, there’s the issue of how much interaction Irene has with DR today/tonight. Too many variables still on the table – I do not envy the NHC at all.
hey BAILEY im see a possible strong winter far as snow goes this year, with possible thanksgiving snow. cant wait for ur winter forcas
CB got few extra tickets for sum games, well my brother who got them. if u like to go to one big home games ill see if i get u a couple im sure he love to hace u set by us for a game!!!
luv ya man.
Looking out the window, it’s way too nice of an evening outside to still be working. 🙁
HH’s found Cat 4 winds in Irene within the last two hours. Don’t be surprised if it is a 4 or 5 in the morning. Looks like big trouble for somebody (and a given for the Bahamas)
Irene is showing signs of RI. I think Cat 4 is a given by morning, though Cat 5 is definitely possible. Not good for the Bahamas at all. :/
Cat 4 with the 8 a.m. advisory.
You keep saying toy’s, are you meaning Story’s. Just checking.