Good Tuesday, everyone. This may be an historic week of weather across the commonwealth of Kentucky. Record high temps, heavy rain, thunderstorms and high winds will combine to make this Christmas an unforgettable one. This could go down as the warmest Christmas week on record around here.

Buckle up and let’s get after it.

Rain and thunderstorms will exit the region from southwest to northeast as the day wears on. Highs today could reach record levels in some areas if we can get some afternoon sunshine.

Additional rounds of showers and storms will fire up late tonight into Wednesday as winds really begin to crank. Highs Wednesday will reach the mid and upper 60s for many. Again, records may fall. Showers and thunderstorms will continue ahead of a cold front into Christmas Eve. Heavy amounts of rain are possible through this time. The Hi-Res NAM shows some local 4″ amounts…

NAMCan we get some strong thunderstorms Wednesday into early Thursday? That’s a possibility and something we will have to watch closely. With or without storms… winds are going to be an issue. Gusts of 40mph + will be possible during this time.

The NAM is checking that front up on top us for Christmas eve. Winter really isn’t that far away from us. Check out this temp map…

NAM 2Some of the other models are a little more aggressive with the push of chill and keep our Christmas Day temps into the low and mid 50s. Rain and thunder moves back in later in the day from the southwest. Heavy rain then carries us into the early part of Saturday as even warmer air fights in.

The Canadian Model looks a lot like the map I put on here last night with the total rainfall…

Canadian

That would cause all kinds of high water issues if that comes to pass. Let’s hope the warm air pushes that band a little farther north. If it does so, highs Saturday and Sunday may push 70 degrees or better. Record highs could be in serious trouble… again.

The actual storm system doesn’t move through here until Monday and Tuesday with more heavy rain and some thunder. Temps finally come down behind that system.

Looking for winter? The Ensembles are trying to flip the pattern

EuroA huge flip is going to come at some point in January. I just don’t know that it’s as early as the Ensembles are showing. As always… We shall see.

I will have another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.