Good Monday, folks. We’re finally getting in on some winter weather across the bluegrass state. A strong northwesterly wind will combine with a weak disturbance to produce snow showers and squalls. The bigger story continues to be the potential development of the week two harsh winter pattern.
Today’s snow showers and squalls will be concentrated across central and eastern Kentucky. These will cause reduced visibilities and can cause slick spots to develop on area roads. These can cover the ground quickly with light accumulations. If you happen to get under repeat snow squalls… local 1″ amounts will be possible.
This isn’t much snow at all, but it may have a decent impact on travel at times. Your tracking toys in a bit.
A quick hitting system moves in here by Thursday and Friday with mainly rain. That action could start out as some frozen stuff before temps come up a bit. As that goes by, colder air comes in behind it with another storm system developing along the boundary. That tries to move our way later this coming weekend with the potential for winter weather. The latest European Model…
We will have to wait and see how that low wants to track. My early gut tells me its a little farther east than what the European is showing. One thing I know… the GFS and it’s different solution with each run isn’t really worth looking at until it agrees with some other models.
Arctic air then pours in here behind that system with the potential for another winter weather maker along that boundary.
I will get more into all that with the next update. For now, I leave with your tracking toys…
Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington
I-75 @ Winchester Road Lexington
US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort
US 127 @ Frankfort Frankfort
US 60 @ US 460
Frankfort
I-75 MP 127
Georgetown
I-64 MP 97
Winchester
Mountain Parkway near Slade
I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
Bluegrass Parkway Bardstown
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway
Louisville
I-64 @ I-264
Louisville
I-24 MP 7 @ US 62
Paducah
I-65 @ 234
Near Bowling Green
I will update things later today. Take care.
The El Niño was hyped, but correct me if I’m wrong, this winter is looking a lot like last. Minus the absurd December warmth. Last winter we really didn’t have any measurable snow until late January and then boom. Shutdown storms across E and SE KY. If anyone can answer, including you CB, if you find the time, how exactly is this “super El Niño” supposed to affect our winter weather. I’ve seen several diagrams, but still unsure on the validity. Thanks for the time and devotion you put into the only weather center for the Big Blue Nation CB.
Yes. It does suggest that December should not define the remainder of winter, but also means we should not expect a carbon copy of last winter for the snow. Those were historic setting and one middle system away from burying a lot of the state. Thankfully the system in between the two biggies was rain.
Yeah, it’s just hype. Things are really just like last winter, except, you know, for that one lil’ thang. Nothing unusual at all. Nope, just a lil’ bit of warmth for that one month.
OLD SCHOOL A COMING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
We’ve heard this before.
Keep yelling, Rolo
Sometimes we wish too much when it comes to snow. But bring it on !!!!!
I still have not recovered from the last two biggies. In my nature to remember the good stuff and not the bad. This was apparent with the last two 😉
Every winter is different. El Niño plays one role in the overall pattern, but only one. Comparing El Niño years is silly because it’s only one factor.
Yep.
… and as pointed out many times before by CB and others, no two El Ninos are exactly the same (and no two La Ninas are exactly the same).
Mr Bailey seems to be getting more excited about the coming cold (and snow??) chances. Models, particularly the GFS, are changing every model run. As always, snow chances in the lower Ohio Valley hinge on many factors. When they all come together, BINGO! When they don’t, UGH! Rodger in Dodger will stay tuned in!
Sorry, don’t mean to interrupt the flow, I just learned a new word in my techno-challenged little world, the petabyte.
There’s a research database called the National Centers for Environmental Information that has over 20 PB of digital info. That’s like over 20 million gigabytes. And this database is changing long held national weather records that I grew up with. It may still be on the books but will always have that little asterisk beside it.