Good Tuesday, everyone. We have some nice calm weather across our region over the next couple of days. This isn’t going to last very long as things turn active by the end of the week and the weekend. It’s the weekend system we have to keep a very close eye on for the possibility of winter weather. Then… arctic cold settles in.
I’m not going to get too wordy on you guys as I anticipate a few more updates coming your way later today.
The first system moving in late Thursday into Friday is primarily a rain maker, but could start out as some frozen stuff. From there, colder air settles in for the weekend as a front slides in here. Low pressure develops along this front late Saturday into Sunday. What happens to it after it develops won’t be known for a few more days.
The forecast models continue to show a different solution from run to run. There is just so much going on, that it’s tough for them to handle. Don’t get too attached to any single run.
The Canadian Model for the weekend shows a potent storm system developing…
You can almost see the model trying to figure out what which initial low pressure to key in on. The same can be said for the European Model as it really seems to be struggling with 3 lows coming together…
Until the models figure out how they want to bundle all the energy, and which low to develop, you’re going to get a lot of variance.
One thing’s for certain… the arctic air coming in behind that system is stout…
The arctic wave a few days later continues to show up well on several of the models…
For you true weather buffs… that’s -30c air showing up at 850mb. That translates into the possibility of some ugly cold for much of the country…
Look at the 5 day average temperature departures showing up…
Let me say that again… those are 5 day average temperature departures!
I will update things later today. Take care.
About time we have winter around here.
I have a close family member that has an appointment in Lexington on Monday. I live 3 and a half hours away in Eastern Kentucky. When should this system hit in those places?
I hope this is a joke post.
Rodger is seeing nearly every run of the GFS model with a different solution for Sat/Sun. The other models all over the place too. His oldest son has to travel to northern Ohio and back this weekend so a little concerned about that. He thinks at least there’s a good side (safe travels for son) if we don’t get much or any snow.
CB, good luck forecasting snow this winter. Seems with all the combined system activity, you might have shorter windows to figure out solutions.
No further updates yet….that’s usually not a good sign.
Like someone once said its call “WAS”
Week away storm
That won’t materialize
There will be one coming soon… I’m sure
This National Weather Service is not seeing a potential winter storm. They’re calling for all rain this weekend and by the time the cold gets here Sunday night it precipitation will be gone.
Polar vortex ready to plunge- CB is right on point. The 10th through the 17th look interesting and already raising eyebrows of National Meteorologist sites.
We’re is the next whether update anyone
Relax! The models will flop around all over the place. The NWS will not mention anything this far out. Don’t want to risk losing cred! I saw a bunch of geese 22 or more busting butt heading South last night! The must know winter is finally on its way!