Good Saturday, everyone. We have one more ugly weather maker rolling across parts of the region today, and then it’s game on for a springtime pattern. It’s a pattern that can bring very mild weather and rounds of thunderstorms our way. Our thunderstorm season looks to kick in a little early this year.

A cold front is pushing into the region today with scattered showers. A wet snowflake may even mix in early today. The best chance for showers is across central and eastern Kentucky into the evening hours. Situations like this have produced some small, soft hail mixing in with the drops. Winds are going to be very gusty as a healthy temperature gradient sets up. Readings across northeastern Kentucky will be in the 40s with mid and upper 50s in the west and southwest.

The setup into next week has a very mild and potent look to it. A huge ridge of high pressure anchors itself across the southeastern coast. At the same time, a big upper level low spins slowly across northern Mexico and southern Texas.

The flow between these two will tap some DEEP tropical moisture. The models are indicating this plume originates from the Pacific Ocean. It then picks up additional moisture from the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, and then heads right up the Mississippi River Valley…

GFS 3

That is absolutely wild to see for any time of year… let alone in early March. The end result will be an increase in showers and thunderstorms with the potential for repeat action that can lead to heavy rains. I don’t know exactly where that sets up, but there is a “wow” look to the setup.

I will have another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.