Good Saturday evening and welcome to our new digs. It’s a different look, but the same friendly weather dude behind the scenes pulling the strings. 🙂 I hope you guys are enjoying all the new goodies on the site and I should be adding more in the coming weeks and days.
I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the big change to winter heading our way next week. This will be an abrupt and rather harsh change for the second half of next week into next weekend as the arctic express dives in here.
Check out the deep trough showing up on the European Model by Friday morning…
That map shows the 500mb Height Anomalies and has the deepest part of the trough centered across our region. You can also see how the positive anomalies across western and eastern Canada try to hook up and keep that trough from moving much. That allows for a heck of a shot of arctic air sweeping in here behind a deepening storm that moves through on Wednesday. Here’s how that same run of the European Model looks…
The cutoff low across the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes is likely to have disturbances rotating in here from the northwest. These could be snow producers and there’s a chance for one of these to develop into something a little bigger. That’s something for us to keep an eye on over the next few days.
By the way… can we get NCEP to just go ahead and put the GFS out of its misery? The putrid model has basically very little cold anywhere in the eastern half of the country for the end of next week. There is NO other model that is remotely similar to showing what it shows, yet the boys and girls at the local NWS offices continue to take it hook, line and sinker.
I will have a full update later tonight. Enjoy your evening and take care.
Where is that low off the Baja going to head?
I’m beginning to think the same thing about the gfs! The 18z continues the same warm weather pattern. While the euro seems to think polar bears will be seen at laurel lake soon!! LoL!! I guess we will see. Hopefully SNOW!
I think we should start a campaign to abolish the GFS and collect signatures!
Yeah, the Weather Channel has only one night below freezing for Louisville in it’s 10 day outlook and has highs back in the 50’s by the weekend. I guess they get their weather forecast from the NWS too. I’ll stick with what Chris is saying as well as what Brian Goode, Kevin Harned and John Belski are all saying. Bring on the snow and cold!
Love the new look CB! Bring on winter.
Love the new look and feel of the blog. Can’t wait to see you prove the NWS wrong yet again. Keep up the good work.
I love the new look but I always stay up to date on the blog with the emails sent out. On my email it only showed the first two paragraphs and then it showed a (…) and that was it. I had to come to this page to read the whole blog. I would like to continue to get the whole blog in my email.
Love the new look of the blog. I’m crossing my fingers in high hopes of some decent SNOW. Keep us posted can’t wait till you post the first snowfall total forecast.
I know a lot of kiddos that would LOVE to extend their long weekend!
Love the look of the new site.But I hate cold and snow so I hope the gfs hangs on to life support and is right for a change.
Actually the GFS/DGEX keeping up the southeast ridge allows another system to track across the south next weekend gives us better chances for snow. The DGEX has a favorable track for accumulating snow with just enough of the cold in the region. As luck would have it the DGEX is awful but still it’s something. The ECMWF mega trough would suppress everything and only give flurries although being colder. The baja low feature on the ECMWF should be watched I don’t think it has a good handle of that.
Are you back in Ky Mitch?
yup. By the way the new 00z gfs goes along with the above comment.
I love the new look! I have been following you for years and I check your site daily! Thank you for your dedication to the site!
The nws is advertising colder temps toward the end of next week so I’m just curious chris as to whether or not you are thinking that they should even be colder with their numbers. I believe they are advertising highs in the 30s and considering it’s still 6 days out, I see nothing wrong with those temps. Are you thinking 20s for highs? BTW, nice new look. You should update your profile picture. 🙂
Accuweather and weather.com has 50s until Thursday and then 40s after that! Holding on to the warmer temps as long as they can!!!
Seems like weather.com is always too warm for our area and when it’s a few days out, nws it usually a little warmer. I usually take the nws temp and chris’ temp and avg. the two.
Still looks like the end result next week is sporadic hit and miss alls and maybe some more consistent light snow for some. As far as a little bigger event, that would be a relative thing, so not a big snow.
BTW, the new site seems more resource intense for phones and tablets. Seems that way, at least.
Referring to when leaving messages and trying to edit. The site itself is nice.
LOVE the new website CB. Keep bringing it and bring on winter. I am a fellow snow lover. Thanks for all you do.
Bring on that cold, snowy weather…..like the new look of the site as well….thanks for all you do!!!
Like the look of the new site.You are the only weather I ever check,thanks for all you.Bring on the snow!!!!!!!
Poor GFS…it’s so sad that so many meteorologists base their forecasts off of it and then have to go back and clean up after it as time grows closer.
This site looks so great Chris. You’re time and effort you put into this is so appreciated. Can’t wait to hear your latest thoughts when I check the blog in the morning. It’s always my wake-up routine!
Nice looking new site. Bring on a big storm to test the site.
I’m trying REALLY HARD, not to get my hopes up! :/
Nice site.
I am one who loves checking this site. This is my first time and I like the new look. I really appreciate the time you put in for us to enjoy.
A+ on the new site. I’M PAST READY FOR SNOW!
If you’re likin’ it Chris, I’m likin’ it!!