Good Monday, weather weenies. We are coming off a fantabulous weekend of weather across the bluegrass state. That’s been a far cry from what the rest of the month has given us, and appears to be a far cry from what’s ahead. Scattered storms get ready to return today, with a greater storm risk as the weak progresses.

As mentioned, today’s stuff is scattered in nature. Still, any storm can put down some locally heavy rains…

Humidity levels keep increasing through the next several days, as seasonal temps from the upper 80s to low 90s settle in.

The greatest storm risk may come on Thursday as a potent cold front drops in from the northwest…

Canadian

Severe weather is possible with that type of setup.

The models check that front up across the region over the weekend. That could mean additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms working in from the west…

GFS 2

That happens as our temps come down behind a decent trough digging into the eastern part of the country…

GFS Temps

That keeps the heat away over the weekend, but the models continue to try to bring it in here during the second week of any run…

GFS Temps 2

Let’s assume that’s correct (and that’s a big assumption), the core of the heat stays west and gets pushes even farther west a few days later…

GFS Temps 3

That setup would bring thunderstorms diving into the region from the northwest.

I’ve said all along I thought this summer would have some heat during the second half of the summer. A few spells could be hotter than anything we’ve had in the past 3 summers. Of course, that isn’t saying too much considering how real deal heat has been largely absent since 2012.

Some fall and winter talk comes this week. Make it a great Monday and take care.