Good Thursday, everyone. Old Man Winter has returned to the bluegrass state with a seasonal brand of temps and some snowflakes filling the air. These flakes are part of a strong northwesterly flow that can put down some light accumulations at times through the weekend.
Temps today will be in the 30s with a strong northwesterly wind blowing. Some snow showers and flurries will be scattered about the region, but shouldn’t amount to anything…
We should see a ramp up in the action tonight into Friday. This is when we can get some light accumulations as temps drop into the 20s. Some slick spots may develop on area roads, and there’s an outside chance at a delay or cancellation.
A few more flurries and snow showers carry us into Saturday, but the focus continues to be on a stronger system showing up Sunday into early Monday…
This type of system has the potential to lay down a 1″-3″ snowfall across our part of the world. Is that a snow day I smell for Monday? Maybe. 😉
The GFS snowfall estimates(not snow depth) through Monday…
Again, that’s cumulative over a 5 day stretch. Most of that falls Sunday and early Monday.
The trend on the models for next week continues to go toward the ideas we have been talking about for a while now… Cold with snow chances. Up until yesterday, the models had all been showing a massive warmup for much of next week. I never once mentioned it because the pattern I was reading looked just the opposite.
Let’s see how the models look for Tuesday through Thursday…
GFS
Looks cold to me with some snow showers and flurries.
Canadian…
Looks cold with a better snow chance that what the GFS is showing.
What about the European? Here we go…
Yep… that looks cold with a couple of light snow systems showing up. Just a few days ago, the European Model had a furnace. With so much energy ejecting out of the southwest, the European will likely have some issues over the next few weeks.
I will have updates later today. Have a great day and take care.
Thelma Lou & I are pulling for your take on things, we’d love to see the cold win out. There are some out there (mets at Jackson) that have said a more persistent warm up “could” begin next Thursday. I’d love to get at least a snowball maker out of this winter.
This blurb from the NWS Louisville this morning for Sunday. Gives us snow lovers some hope:
The latest round of model runs has trended higher with precipitation in the 0-6Z time frame Sunday evening. This would mean a transition back to all snow during the evening hours. Some light snow accumulations
would be possible with this scenario, possibly Advisory level, so
this will be a system to keep an eye on over the next couple of days.
Here’s to hoping that trend continues! 🙂
I would be just fine with a warm up!
It’s been warm
How warm do you want it to get in winter…ITS BEEN WARM!
So warm in my area that 40 degrees with wind actually feels brutal today….I feel like I am from Florida (LOL)!
That explains why the local weather man here said it will be back into 57ish next week. This is why I only listen to you sir. You tell all you know and only what you know for sure and don’t drum things up. Thanks Chris.
It very well could hit the 50’s next week for about a day before another cold front comes through and knock temperatures back down.
GFS analog shows 60-70% chance for snowfall to exceed 2″ for Sun/Mon time frame. Last week, there was about a 40-50% chance by Jan 29-31.
However, only other non-festive snow chances lay in a Feb 5-7 window, but no brutal cold expected makes me wonder. Still no sign of an AO- pattern, but EPO- trend suggests a modest chance for snow opportunities. Why can’t all of the teleconnections just align for the ‘whopper’ this season?
January looks to finish above normal for temperatures, adding to the normal/above normal December. It all falls on February now. What sayeth thou Old Man Winter?
The NWS out of Louisville thinking the same for the Sunday clipper a possible Advisory level snow if models continue with the more moisture scenario.
As of right now, general 1-3 inches for eastern ky Sunday into Monday?
Yeah as of now
Snow spotters are out. If you see more than 3 flurries report them to the NWS. There could be a heart attack warning for all snow lovers issued. Beware while driving.
Thanks Chris. We snow lovers are thanking you for at least a chance to see a little white stuff! While it isn’t “the big one” it is snow! This is a good thing. RIght now, I would just be happy to see some cold for a few weeks to freeze out some of the nasty germs many of us have been dealing with. one of my granddaughters has had something since November. (She’s 5 months old so its been rough) I for one will not even complain too much about a higher electric bill, if some cold would kill some of this junk. Sorry, off the soapbox now. Looking forward to the next update already! Have a great Friday Eve everyone.