All Eyes On Our Weekend Storm

Good Tuesday, fellow weather weenies. We continue to keep a close eye on a potential wild setup for the upcoming weekend. This will come from a powerhouse of a storm system that can bring high winds and strong storms, before unleashing a winter pattern.

Before we make it to the weekend, we have one more cold front to go through. This arrives on Wednesday with a quick increase in gusty showers during the afternoon and evening. Rainfall amounts could top a quarter of an inch in some areas…

This front passes through here Wednesday night and knocks the temps down several degrees for Thursday. The NAM shows a healthy high temp gradient, with some areas struggling to get to the low 40s…

This brings us to the weekend and a powerful storm system taking aim at the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. The models continue to have their usual differences, with the European being especially bad. It sometimes struggles with energy ejecting from the southwest, and it’s doing it right now.

The GFS has been fairly consistent, but the Canadian shows the same thing run after run…

That setup brings the potential for strong to severe storms Friday night and early Saturday. With or without strong storms, winds are going to be a major player. Gusts of 40-50mph will be possible during this time.

Temps crash on Saturday as the coldest air arrives Saturday night into Sunday. That’s when we have the chance for a few flakes, though that all depends on the exact wind flow.

The Canadian continues to show a few flakes around here through Monday…

Again, that all depends on how much of a true northwesterly wind flow we can get.

This air is frigid and the winds will be very gusty, regardless of the exact direction. Wind chills are going to be way down there from Saturday night through Monday. Teens look to be a safe bet at times for wind chills, but a few models give us a fighting chance at single digits…

Another shot of cold arrives as we head into Thanksgiving week. The models go back and forth on whether or not to develop a storm system in the eastern part of the country. Some of the latest runs show this system centered on Thanksgiving Day…

We know the cold shots are coming, but can they produce flakes across Kentucky? That’s the question going forward, but you have to like the odds of, at least, seeing flakes fly at some point through next week.

I will have updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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28 Responses to All Eyes On Our Weekend Storm

  1. Bernard P. Fife says:

    Comments have been a little sparse the past few days, Thelma Lou is confident the cold CB sniffed out is coming for the weekend, big question is will it last through Thanksgiving week? For those who do the whole black Friday thing, a few flakes would be nice.

    • BubbaG says:

      Folks could already be in “Show me the snow” mode. Last year was so bad CB went into only one semi-threat mode. All storms were “a week out” and never even got into the threat stage. Literally more salt than snow last winter. Slugs were not happy at all.

  2. Schroeder says:

    Jeff, you are right, I can’t stay away. The addiction I have with weather events is seriously strong, and besides that I want to be part of Chris’s gang. The storm forecast to arrive late Friday may be a significant event, but I am not going to push the panic button yet. The colder air behind this storm, does not look to be long lasting. If any one wants to bash me for this you are welcome, I deserve it, and besides I am use to it. Hope this brings you some more comments today Chris.

  3. Jeff Kidd says:

    Schroeder that just shows that no one on this site can believe you at your word, your word means nothing now. You have promised to go away multiple times only to come back in roughly a few days. I don’t have a problem with you posting, I have a problem with your know it all attitude here. The last time you went on hiatus you came back very condescending towards all of us basically saying this blog was nothing without your knowledge and insights. You basically say you won’t change because that’s how you were taught to type, so you need to be prepared to be constantly called out on a daily basis over it. You are the only one I have a problem with on here because of your past and your attitude on here. Are you supposed to sounds smart by saying the cold air won’t last long after this front? It’s November, not January. Quit acting like your breaking unknown weather news.

  4. Prelude says:

    Well the GFS 12z run was a intriguing run if your a snow lover.

  5. Schroeder says:

    The storm coming is a Pacific storm and the colder air behind it originates form the North Pacific. These storms are wind makers no question. As far as it’s severity too early to forecast. For a snow maker we would need Arctic air and a well organized low pressure originating in the western Gulf of Mexico and slowly moving northeast towards east Tennessee.

  6. Schroeder says:

    I don’t ever recall of any lake effect snow falling in my area. Now areas to our east in the Appalachian Mountains, if the Arctic air is just right coming off the lakes, can accumulate quite a bit of snow in eastern West Virginia. I am sure these folks are waiting for this to occur because of the ski resorts in that area. Good luck this winter.

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