Good Monday and welcome to the busy Thanksgiving holiday travel period. Things are looking very busy with two storms that will impact the region through Sunday. Thanksgiving Day will be sandwiched between the two and that will result in some great gobble gobble weather. The storm coming after Thanksgiving continues to look awfully interesting.
Rains have been locally heavy since Sunday and that trend will continue today into Tuesday. A few strong or severe storms are possible today. It’s into Tuesday and Tuesday night that things may really fire up as strong low pressure works across the Ohio Valley. High winds and a greater threat for severe thunderstorms will be with us during this time.
The Storm Prediction Center shows the severe threat…
Winds should be very gusty with or without storms. If these boomers do get going… damaging winds will be a real possibility.
Showers will slowly work out of here on Wednesday as a chilly wind blows. Our temps will come way down behind the departing storm.
Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday continue to look fantastic with temps into the upper 50s to low 60s with a gusty wind blowing. Skies should be mainly sunny for both days. As I mentioned… these days are wedged in between two storms.
The next bad boy is slated to arrive on the scene later Saturday into Sunday and should bring another round of heavy rain and thunder in front of it. This one will have a nice push of cold air to work with and we should see a fairly dramatic temp drop at some point this weekend. This could set the stage for some snows to fly late in the weekend or early next week.
Many of the models are going toward the extreme solution the European was showing a few days ago. Check out the monster of an upper low on the GFS…
That would certainly produce snows underneath a system like that. The Canadian is showing something similar a day or two later…
It will be interesting to see how this plays out in the coming days as my analog years have indicated something like this being possible. That doesn’t mean it will happen, but the models are sensing the potential.
Speaking of the models, don’t get caught up with any one run. They will likely handle all this differently from run to run. With energy ejecting out of the southwest… this is not something to totally trust the European Model with. It has issues leaving too much energy behind in the southwestern part of the country.
Time will tell how this turns out… but we have something to watch. 
Let’s get back to tracking the weather of today…
I will have more updates as needed. Have a wonderful Monday and take care.
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looking lucky again as the weather moving due east this morning or we be in it, heavy stuff in TENN all way back tho ark.
still some rain here but nothing majior at this time.
ty CB and goooooooooood morning KY!! anf VA, and TENN and ohio cause i know this blog is TRI STATE!!
in case im not a r ou n d, the CLARK HANDICAP this weekend at KEENELAND bet MISTER MARTI GRAS and u be very happy.
ok it time SONG OF THE DAY!!
LOSE YOURSELF by eminem this one of greatest song ever folks. just play it and bounce along, hell i almost did the VINNY Jersey Shore fist pump.
The Chrysler commerical during the Superbowl last year that used this song was probably the best SB commercial ever made. Loved it…sent chills up and down the spine. It probably helped though that I spent the 1st 6 years of my life in D-town. Good memories…but would probably never move back….I’m a hillbilly now…wouldn’t fit in.
The models do appear to be going to a storm which brings hvy rain to the mid-atlantic and rain to wrap-around light snows for KY early next week. Would not be surprised for you all to see some light accums. the 12 ECMWF looks pretty similar to the 12Z GFS now.
I still think the severe weather outbreak potential for this weekend is being underplayed.
Curious to everyone’s thoughts on this. Personally, the personalities on AccuWeather kinda tick me off due to an overabundance in bias and double thinking. That’s just me. Keep up the great work, Chris!
http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/meteomadness/why-so-warm-in-the-east-severe-wx-and-snow-in-the-forecast/58066
It was pretty striking to see how all the major models jump on the mega trough idea during the 12z runs. I wonder if this will hold up as we approach next week?
boy the fog has been bad all day by 3pm it was so thick and getting dark out that you would have thought it was 6 or 7pm. bring on the SNOW!!!!!