Good Sunday, everyone. We have another upper level low spinning across the Ohio Valley and into the Mid Atlantic states into early next week. That’s something you don’t typically see for this time of year and we have several similar systems likely to impact us in the coming weeks. All of this leads to additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms.

In addition to the near-term outlook, I’m also going to focus a little more on the fall ahead. 🙂

As always we begin with the precious present. A mix of sun and clouds will be noted with the chance for scattered showers and storms going up. You know the drill…

Watch how our upper level low slowly spins across the region and into the Mid-Atlantic states into the early part of the week, with another system moving in from the west…

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop in that scenario. Shocking, I tell ya!

Rain chances will then ramp up even more for the middle and end of the week as that next system wanders across our part of the world…

This likely introduces a deep trough across the eastern half of the country that could very well deliver a nice shot of early fall air…

Did someone say fall?

In terms of Autumn, I will be releasing my personal outlook over the next week or so, but it’s fun to see how the seasonal models are playing things. Here’s what the CAS Model is cooking…


That’s a cooler than normal and wetter than normal start to fall.


It keeps the cooler than normal look, but turns things a little dry.


That shows temps returning to normal or a little above with an active storm track into the plains states.

Again, that’s just what one seasonal model is showing for the fall. With a developing El Nino, a lot of how the fall evolves will depend on how quickly the El Nino can get established, and just how strong it can get.

Guess what I’m going to talk about in tomorrow’s post? WINTER!! 🙂

Have a great Sunday and take care.