Good Sunday everybody. What a weather weekend we are wrapping up. The temperature spread on Saturday was nothing short of crazy with a nearly 40 degree spread from north to south. Large hail producing storms slammed a few parts of the state as the day wrapped up. The upcoming week is going to be dominated by warm temps and rounds of storms.
Today will feature another nice temp swing across the state as a warm front slowly works back to the north. There will be the threat for a stray shower or thunderstorm as the warm air FINALLY begins to win the battle.
This will set us up for temp pattern that may threaten record highs before the week is over. As a matter of fact… it’s not out of question that a few spots can hit 90 degrees. Yep… I said it. Take a look at the numbers coming off the GFS…
Those are some toasty looking maps and if we throw some humidity into the mix… you will be talking about a summertime feel across the state.
The other thing to keep an eye on will be the thunderstorm threat this week. It’s an environment that is ripe for a few rounds of booming storms and some of these can be strong or severe. The SPC has far western Kentucky in a slight risk today and carries that risk a little farther north and east on Monday…
This same pattern looks to continue into the upcoming Kentucky Derby Weekend. I will be talking more about that forecast over the next few days.
Have a great Sunday and take care.
I wonder what the 2 week rainfall totals across the state look like right now…
Thanks, Chris. Sounds like a interesting week for sure. We didn’t get the storms last night but I am sure we will see some before weeks end.
Thank you Chris! Enjoy your Sunday.
Thanks. Chris. Looking forward to this weeks warm temp swing, but I hope the severe weatther is not in the picture. Have a great Sunday!
Storms look ready to fire soon in southern Illinois, bootheel of Missouri, and parts of western Kentucky. These should be heading off to the northeast.
Actually, scratch the bootheel of MO out. Things don’t look as unstable there as first thought.
Would like to know why SPC did not extend the SLGT risk further eastward to include parts of southern Illinois, Missouri (except the bootheel,) Indiana, and western Kentucky. The stationary front is in this region, which was a focal point for storms yesterday. The setup, at least from all the severe weather parameter standpoints, looks similar to yesterday. Dewpoints in W. Kentucky are increasing in some places, plenty of available EBS, lift rates are supportive, and RH values are also supportive of storm development. The entire area in central Missouri they have highlighted at the moment for SLGT risk doesn’t even look that supportive. Not sure what type of dynamics they are factoring into their equation here, unless they expect some type of rapid atmospheric destabilization… do know that yesterday all the storms were well north of all of the dynamics in place to activate severe weather. Could we be dealing with bad model data?