Good Thursday everyone. We continue to bask in a summertime pattern across the bluegrass state. Temps on Wednesday hit the 90 degree mark in some spots and that’s a feat that doesn’t happen that often in early May. The warm temps remain and now we say a big welcome back to the threat for thunderstorms. We missed you while you were away for one whole day.

A nice moisture plume extends northward out of the Gulf of Mexico into the Tennessee Valley today. This will edge a little farther northward in time and should bring some scattered thunderstorm action to the bluegrass state. A strong storm can’t be ruled out and there is plenty of juice to produce heavy rains. Temps should held down some compared to Wednesday because of the scattered stuff.

Friday and Saturday are very important days as we have the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby taking center stage. The weather both days looks similar with temps in the 80s and the threat for scattered showers and thunderstorms. A few strong boomers will be possible during this time.

The warm air and storm threat should hang tough into early next week. That’s when some of the models begin to show a cooler change across much of the country. You can see this showing up on the European Model…

The GFS Ensembles show much different look from the next 7 days to the following 7 day period…

It has been very hard for any one temperature pattern to completely set up shop around here this spring. Odds favor that balancing act to continue into the upcoming summer months.

Have a great Thursday and take care.