Good Monday everyone. Let me begin by saying a big thanks for all the reports and tweets about the weather where you live and the kind comments for my coverage. I appreciate all you do for our rapidly growing weather community. You guys are the heart and soul of this thing and your reports are valuable to forecasters across the state. We are really going to rely upon you over the next few days as we continue to see a dangerous situation unfolding for many areas.
A recap of our weekend finds…
– Dozens of severe weather reports.
– Several confirmed tornado touchdowns.
– Flooding rains of greater than 6″ for some.
In looking at the setup for the next few days… I have to ask one question. Is the worst of this yet to come? I believe the answer to be yes as this is a VERY potent situation capable of several rounds of severe weather and more torrential rains.
Here is breakdown of what I expect…
– The greatest risk for heavy rain and thunderstorms will be across western and far northern Kentucky today as the axis shifts a bit farther north. Still… scattered storms will be possible anywhere.
– Severe storms will be a good possibility once again today… especially in the west.
– Temps in southern and eastern Kentucky can really take off today with a bit of sun. Readings can soar well into the 80s with a nice case of the muggies.
– Things will REALLY begin to crank up for the entire state Tuesday into Wednesday as our front inches a bit eastward. This happens as waves of low pressure track northward along the front. The setup can produce a significant outbreak of severe weather for much of the Ohio Valley into the Tennessee Valley. This wouldn’t be one and done storm action as several rounds of severe storms will be likely.
– These storms will also bring more flooding rains to the region with several inches being likely. This may encompass more of the state than what we have seen so far. Here is the HPC rain forecast for this week…
– This would create more flash flooding and will only add to the serious river flooding already in progress. Moderate to Major flooding is forecast along some points of the Ohio River. From Paducah to the Mississippi River… the Mighty Ohio is forecast to approach record levels. Farther upstream toward Louisville and Covington… minor to low end moderate flooding is forecast. Toward Maysville and Ashland… the river is expected to near flood stage. River forecasts are subject to change based on actual rainfall verses forecast rainfall.
Here is what you guys need to track things today…
Rainfall Since Midnight
Radars…
Today’s Severe Storms Outlook
Current Watches
Tuesday Severe Threat
Wednesday Severe Threat
I will have updates as needed and will send out quick thoughts and warnings through twitter. Follow me at Kentuckyweather or follow along in the twitter feed on the right side of the blog.
Take care.
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From the looks of the radar, the greater portion of KY can rest easy tonight. The only rain appears to be in the northern 1/3 and western 1/3 of the state for the next 8 hours. We’ll see what tomorrow brings. That doesn’t eliminate the chance for a light or moderate rainshower for any part of the state from Louisville to Pikeville down to Harlan and west to Bowling green–but—that’s about the extent of it right now.
WOW is all I can say….this pattern is unbelievable and thanks for all you do to keep us informed on all things weather around here 🙂
Second!
I meant second like I agree…not second in line…lol
This is truly the go to place to stay up on all things weather.
Thanks Chris!
look like a squall line this morning moving east/ne instead of n/ne get ready ahead of this line as the sun is out and the juice is in the air.
Chris, you are truly an amazing weatherman. And all you do is greatly appreciated. I know that you are on top of things and will keep us informed as this thing unfolds. After Wednesday, are we (hopefully) expecting any kind of a break form all the severe weather action around here?
I’ve noticed the same and it isn’t heading north at the point the others in the past few days have…..wonder if it’ll make it to EKY?
Thank you Chris for your dedication. I have been reading your weather blog since your WKYT days. You are very much appreciated by so many. What dedication to stay up all night following the weather to help so many of us! God bless you and your family.
Wettest April ever recorded. Now, if the forecast verifies, we could reach the wettest MONTH ever recorded. Wow..just insane numbers there. The OH River valley is going to go into catastrophic flooding by Wednesday. This is going to be evening news-worthy unfortunately.
Thank you for keeping us informed Chris.
Wow is all I can say. Everyone try to stay safe this week.
Is there ant place other than email to send pictures.? I sent a picture off Fridays wall cloud in Woodford county to your email. Thanks for all you do Chris.
I actually signed up with Twitter, just so I can follow you like that during the night, much easier I must say, good idea, and way to go, I know most of us and your “tweets” are way out of your viewing area! Thanks for keeping us safe and well informed 🙂
Flying from Lex to Madison, Wi tonight at 6:30 and coming back Wed. afternoon. I don’t like flying to begin with, I’m super excited!
Flying to Madison, Wi tonight at 6:30 coming back Wed. afternoon. I hate flying, can’t wait! Dang moderation!
Just wondering if anyone can tell me if the storms and HEAVY rain are expected to be an issue for eastern Kentucky.
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