Good Sunday, folks. As the wettest year on record for many draws to a close, we have another big storm system rolling into the region. This will bring heavy rain and high winds back into the bluegrass state. This will bring the potential for wind damage and local high water issues.
Here’s a breakdown of our latest storm system…
- Rain moves in tonight and will be heavy at times as a warm front lifts northward through the state.
- Warmer air moves in for Sunday and temps surge into the 60s central and eastern Kentucky.
- A squall line of showers and thunderstorms will sweep eastward across the state during the afternoon and evening.
- Heavy rains of 1″-3″ will be possible during this event, especially in the west and central parts of Kentucky.
- Some, at least, local high water issues will be possible.
- High winds are going to be a major player and could reach between 50mph and 60mph.
- Another round of wind damage is possible with this event.
- A few strong to severe storms are possible in the central and west.
The Storm Prediction Center has this area in a low risk for severe weather…
Much colder air sweeps in behind this system to start the new year as we watch another southern stream storm system. If you’re a regular reader, you know the models were showing barely any kind of system well to our south and east. I’ve talked about how they would correct themselves as we got closer and they would increase this system and show it farther west. Well, that’s what’s happening.
The GFS had a whole lot of nothing until the overnight run, then it decided to find the storm…
So did the new version of the GFS…
The Canadian Model is going bonkers with the system…
The European Model appears to still be dragging its feet with the upper low…
What does all this mean for Kentucky’s weather? It’s still way too early for specifics, but rain and snow will threaten the region Thursday into Friday. That’s about as good as I can give you from this far out. 🙂
I will have updates later today. Have a great Sunday and take care.
If the Canadian model pans out we will definitely see flooding down here. The stream beside my house has been running full for the past month.
I feel like a blend of all of those models would put us in a good spot for a winter weather event here. I’m ready for a good one to track!
No matter how you put it CB, you’ll get the usual drivel in the comment section.
It is time for me to buy another umbrella.
Well I’d say having rain is better than being in a drought….but I did get my nieces and nephew sleds for Christmas….looking like they wont get to break them in anytime soon….
http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sn10_acc&rh=2018123006&fh=114&r=us_ov&dpdt=
Maybe the GFS will be right..Sure it will change unfortunately.
Ok, now that’s frustrating. I have been using the data from the Mesonet site, and I have found math errors, including the Harlan county site on Black Mtn. Monthly summaries and Yearly summaries aren’t quite matching up. I believe the yearly total may be higher than the 86.22″ stated.
It was over before it started.
Get ready for the blowtorch, say the ensembles.