Good Wednesday, folks. We have another busy day of weather taking shape across the bluegrass state. This is a day that’s a smaller version of what we went through on Saturday with a little bit of everything in the works. Buckle up because this is all part of an action packed pattern.
Here’s a breakdown of the day:
- Rounds of rain push across the state today and may cause some issues. Rainfall may average from 1″ to 1.5″ across many areas. That may cause local high water issues.
- Winds today may reach 40mph or a little greater at times.
- Temps hit the 50s ahead of the cold front and may reach 60 in the southeast.
- Temps behind the front crash through the 30s and into the 20s.
- A period of wet snow is likely along and behind the front, but the duration of this snow isn’t likely to last more than a few hours for any one location.
- Light, slushy accumulations may show up in many areas of central and eastern Kentucky.
- Icy roads may develop into Thursday morning, leading to a few delays and cancellations.
Here’s the latest call for snowfall…
Again, the duration of the snow is the limiting factor in the accumulation forecast. If the cold catches the precip a little earlier, then take the over. š
An arctic front arrives right behind that on Thursday evening with a period of light snow and snow showers. That will likely put down additional light accumulations. Another system then dives in behind that by Friday night…
Temps behind this first arctic front are frigid and may hit single digits in some areas by Friday morning. Wind chills may go solidly below zero…
After that, hard to time systems will be diving in from the northwest, each bringing renewed arctic air and snow chances with them. There’s no real use to keying in on any one system on any one model run, because you will see them keying on different systems with each run…
A couple of those systems are really going to dig, but it won’t be until a day or two before that you really see it happening. What looks like a light snow maker could easily turn into something greater. Why?
Say hello to the Polar Vortex entering the country next week…
Wow!
I will have updates later today. I leave you with yourĀ regional radar to tack today’s rains…
Have a good one and take care.
Latest data shows Harlan nearing 2 inches of rain for today and tonight! Of course, I actually ended up with less over the weekend than what the models averaged for me but still saturated!
Meteorological winter-to-date rainfall is already at 11.62 in. Another 20 inch plus 3 month period in Harlan??….you bet unless February is much drier!!
If you know anyone with a legitimate email address at EVV – tell them to check the airport email and watch this video.
Facebook is pointless. Twitter is useless. I can at least depend on fellow trained weather spotters to relay this message.
https://youtu.be/uSWZwmcqArk
I have feeling a feeling the great Polar Vortex will get pushed out of the way and ran over. By the warm wedge and the rain train. The cold has been too late and too weak to produce much snow.
I dont want to be negative but that is what the longer range models for both Euro and GFS hint at over 10 days out! Of course, models are a grain of salt more than 10 days out but it looks like February will trend warmer and wet after the 5th for at least a while. I hope this isnt the case but would match teleconnections. Interesting though, Judah Cohen mentioned a possible late season PV split again! Great, a cold late February into March is NOT WHAT I WANT but we dont get what we want in the world of weather very often, do we? If it is going to be a miserable March, I want a 93 blizzard as that was about the only late season snow I have ever seen not flash melt in one day!
If we are going to get some snow, IMO, I think it needs to happen during this next so-so favorable days!
Thoughts?
Wild how itās been even wimpier than last winter, so far. Still seems we should get at least one 6 to 8ā snow. It will need to be a trend buster though.
We have been reading and hearing about the Big Arctic Outbreak, and Polar Vortex since Christmas. I will believe it when I see it. Play it safe and get the rain boots out.
Here comes the rain again.
Falling on my head like a memory.
Falling on my head like a new emotion.
I want to walk in the open wind.
I want to talk like lovers do.
I want to dive into your ocean.
Is it raining with you.
Really??? The Eurythmics
“In the cold Kentucky rain” is more like it.
Thank you, thank you very much. Gimme a jelly donut.
“It sure looks like rain”
Love it
This is my second attempt to respectfully ask a question of someone I trust and respect.
My phone carrier working with another company a partner to steal advertising revenue are they doing this to you also Mr. Bailey?
https://youtu.be/Z0UdVhCUdl0
Mr. Bailey I know that you generate advertising revenue from this website and I appreciate you having it out here for us. I have information Iāve been sharing on YouTube and I have evidence that my own views are being suppressed and someone is stealing advertising dollars from me. Who with and WKYT would like to see some of the evidence that I have been accumulating thatās going to lead to the largest antitrust lawsuit this nation has ever seen? Former AT&T employee when itās time the world knows exactly what kind of company they are. Google Apple Facebook I hate to tell you folks. Your darkest hour is nigh. My own account Chris since 2009 with thousands of personal photographs weather anomalies chasing events videos that account has disappeared just like it never existed and I can get no one to look into it or help me from Facebook AT&T Apple or anyone. Since they think they can steal my memories Iām gonna steal everything that they have ever worked for and my apology to the innocent people at those companies who had nothing to do with it. But your employers have demonstrated that they are a threat to Best Interests of people globally. And they will either change the way they do business or they will go out of business Mark my words
https://youtu.be/Z0UdVhCUdl0
Amazing! Letās watch it rain again, then get a coating!!!!!
This stinks, and I just donāt see anything that going to change. Proof isnāt in predictions, itās in whatās reality.
My thoughts on this winter Terry is that the polar jet has been mostly positive and the subtropical jet which is always positive and weaker are repelling rather than ” hooking up “. I notice here lately that Alberta Clippers are beginning to come into our weather world which indicates maybe we are on the edge of a very weak La nina development. As we get into February and March the winter could get more interesting if the Polar jet stays negative and with the subtropical jet positive. But it’s where the phasing of the two jets takes place. Will it be over the southern plains or northern Georgia or along the eastern sea board as Nor’easter’s ? My guess the two will phase somewhere along the eastern sea board and give the coastal areas many winter events. While we get light snows or flurries and cold dry Arctic air. That’s the way it’s been over the past several years hasn’t it ?
Thanks
SHUT UP RALPHIE !!!
Thanks
Warming up just enough to have a lot of rain followed by a cool down with a few flakes and dry air is not in the winter contract. Lol
Thanks Chris. So our 1-3 is now a coating to 2…. oh well we are due for a good one at some point. I do not look forward to the cold rain today again as we have certainly had our fill of that in the past little bit! I want to see a good snow like we got two or three years ago. I only ask for one GOOD snow a year. Iāll take ankle biters after that (because everyone I work with seems to dislike snow), and be happy. I just love to see snow and watch it falling. Weāll see I guess. Have a great hump day everyone.
Just not looking good…that’s all
What a wasted cold snap. If this is what it’s going to be like the rest of winter then bring on spring. I am tired of all the rain as many on here all. At least we are above normal on snowfall here in Louisville. So we can’t be that upset. LOL.
Everyone says this winter is a bust, but I say it is average with above normal rainfall. The cold is coming and will hang around through Masrch with a few warmups. It is the warmups that will give us are best big snow potential, or will it be just plain rain.
Got eight inches and still snowing where I’m at in Ontario. Beautiful š
Especially since I do not have to shovel it š
Ice fishing??
Nope. On work trip š
“or” is correct
Ice fishing??
Does anyone actually think that parts in eastern ky will actually see the higher end of 2 inches?
Black Mountain maybe….. otherwise, very doubtful.
Do you even think we will see a coating of snow and slick roads? Im not sure if we will even get that; however, I am hopeful!
Two things you know CB is probably not thinking snow is looking that good- Using words like action and wild, or referring to snow for higher elevations. š
Yep still looking for a true snowfall as the rain train makes the rounds on an AWOL winter…..which I still say RIP.
Snow on the ground late tonight and a chance for it just about every day for the next seven days. There’s still a small chance one of the systems digs and gives us more than an inch or two–if the negativity of the energy here doesn’t drive it all away. Sometimes I think that’s what some of us secretly want. No point in overhyping things either, though.
I will maintain we get a little snow on the ground tonight and we will add to that with a snowpack over the next week, so we’ll have snow on the ground for that long as it’s not likely to go anywhere.
About 1.5 weeks away from the last month of meteorogical winter and a large part of Kentucky doesn’t have a snow bigger than 1 inch. 2/3 of winter gone and nothing. It would have to be one heck of a February for this to be considered an historic winter. I’m personally looking forward to the middle of February where average highs hit the 50 degree mark here in the southern part of the state. Spring is just around the corner.
February is going to be below average temperatures and it’s usually very snowy in Northeast TN and Southeast KY. People on here have given up on Winter since before it even began. Snow lovers are still in the game no matter how much anyone hopes for an early Spring. Not to mention, it sometimes snows in Spring. Doubt that Mother Nature cares about what we consider “Meteorological Winter.”
Iām so sick of well next week. Things look interesting next week. Then look what we get. This time last week. The polar vortex is coming down. System after system. Itās currently raining again with lots of wind. This whole winter has been the same story. As the systems they see start coming. The closer to the event it keeps going away from there thoughts until itās a day out and donāt even have a confident forecast out. Not just Chris. All Mets. Is the models that bad this year. I see the gfs get dogged a lot but to me itās been the most consistent
preach
In 1959-60 while living in southwest Indiana as a boy, that winter was mild, sunny and dry especially February. When March came it got cold and foggy with drizzle. On the fifth of March I was watching the late GREAT METEOROLOGIST MARCIA YOCKEY out of Evansville, Indiana and she forecast that it was going to ” SNOW BUCKETS ” two days away. Two days latter we got hit with one of the deepest snowstorms I have ever seen up to forty eight inches in two separate snowstorms and the temperature plunged to minus fifteen to twenty below and the snow was on the ground for almost a month. That April we had a huge hail storm before going into a beautiful spring. The climate has most certainly change to a more calm and less exciting scenario. #CLIMATECHANGEEVENT !
Cycles. It’s all about the cycles.
Thanks
A side note to the above, as far as I know weather models were not around in 1959-60.
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