Good afternoon, everyone. We are rolling through a Frigid Friday here in the bluegrass state with the coldest air of the young season, so far. As we head into early next week, a bigger blast of cold is on the way and this one may be accompanied by winter weather.
Let’s start this party by looking back at our cold morning. Several Kentucky Mesonet sites made it into the upper teens…
The setup for early next week continues to look the same with an arctic front working in here on Monday. That front may not get in here until Monday afternoon with rain ahead of it and snow behind it. We’ve been talking about the wave of low pressure along the front and that still looks good. Can we get a couple of lows to actually develop along the front? That’s possible. It’s also possible to see that energy consolidate into a bigger storm system.
For us, this continues to look like rain to snow on Monday with snow showers and flurries behind this into Tuesday as bitterly cold air pushes in. Record cold will be possible.
Here’s how the latest GFS sees it playing out…
The Canadian…
Can we get a light snowfall out of this Monday night into Tuesday? That’s possible, but not a certainty. That said, its fun to track the possibilities this early in the year.
The WPC shows the track of this high from the Arctic to right on top of Kentucky in the coming days…
The cold Arctic air mass for next week has it origins from the Arctic Ocean, and is set to bring the coldest temperatures of the season for much of the eastern U.S. pic.twitter.com/vCKDV04kJ7
— NWS WPC (@NWSWPC) November 8, 2019
Again, record lows are into the low teens during this time and we could challenge those in some areas. The Canadian would blow those records into bits and pieces with the numbers it’s showing for lows…
Likely too cold, but dang!
Watch another system to try and move in here behind all that later next week with another deep trough likely the following week. Old Man Winter ain’t holding back to start things out.
I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 4 and back here on KWC this evening.
Have a fantastic afternoon and take care.
I’m surprised nobody has mentioned the latest ‘drought’ monitor report…oh, wait for it, what drought?
Hopefully no ice storm, since the drought of over a month was at prime time for weakening root basis of weaker trees. Save the laughing please until after winter 🙂
Drought hyper.
Driest September no hype, Lexington no measurable rainfall for 39 straight days, burn bans, brush fires. Maybe you need to get out of your cave, hammy. Oh, that’s right, you were in California during some of that nonsense. So, I’ll just consider the source
Yet another lousy take from the likes of you.
Coming from a fake like you, I would expect nothing new.
I haven’t forgot my bank account is gonna struggle this winter Christmas at our household is not gonna be as great as normal but that’s the life of a farmer the ups and downs
I wonder if this cold pattern will continue or if it will get mild in the month of December?
The way it’s going I’m thinking we mild up in January after a cold November/December. Heck, I have no idea.. I’m just throwing it out there…
It will be great to actually see record lows for a change, given all the record highs of the past decade.
Interesting run of the Euro for next Thursday..Only a week out like all other systems..Sigh…Starting out like last winter with all kinds of head fakes from the models..Reading some other Mets thinking gonna be a mild winter..Then again 99.9 percent were wrong last winter so there’s that..lol..Maybe when December rolls around one might have a better idea..Times they are a changing..
Analogs are good. As long as we stay close to neutral to weak El Niño and no SE ridge we could carry this through the month if not longer. Might just get a few historic storms here in Kentucky this winter.
On a brighter note, it can’t get any worse than last year. 🙂
TRUTH!
Last year on Nov. 15th it snowed about 2 inches here in Richmond!