Good Saturday, everyone. It’s another pretty ugly day for many across the bluegrass state as one storm system slowly pulls away. As it moves to our northeast, the next one rolls in from the west late Sunday. This will bring one heck of a temperature spread and a shot of winter weather for some.
Let’s begin with today’s rain as it pushes across central and eastern Kentucky. As low pressure deepens to the northeast, the air gets cold enough for a few flakes in the northeast. Later in the afternoon, the action becomes more scattered from west to east…
Sunday starts quiet, but ends with a bit increase in the action as our winter storm targets the Ohio Valley. Rain, snow and a mix of precipitation works from west to east late Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. The north sees mainly snow, with the south seeing mainly rain. In between will be a mixed bag. Here’s the early look at how that may play out…
Accumulating snow is a good bet across parts of the north during this time.
As the low works into Kentucky and West Virginia on Monday, we are going to see a mega temperature spread from north to south. We may see a better than 30 degree difference from northern Kentucky to far southeastern Kentucky. Rain will be the primary precipitation type on Monday.
Once the low goes by to the east, much colder air swings back in from the northwest, giving us some wraparound snow Monday night into Tuesday.
The GFS Ensembles show the whole scenario pretty well…
Here’s the snow map from the GFS Ensembles through Tuesday…
The European Model is similar in bringing our swath of accumulating snow into northern Kentucky. It’s also a little flatter and farther south with the low, keeping the mixed precip line close to northern Kentucky through the entire event. It’s also beginning to see the flakes behind the system…
Euro Snow Map…
The Canadian is similar to the above models and looks a lot like the GFS Ensembles with some wraparound light stuff. Once again, check out the stripe of decent snow across northern Kentucky…
It’s been pretty cool to watch the GFS do what we thought it would do and come way south. A few days ago, the model had a low near Detroit. Now it’s crossing eastern Kentucky instead…
The GFS snow map is coming in line with most of the other guidance in targeting northern Kentucky…
As expected, Northern Kentucky is in the best zone for snow and winter weather with this system. Can it still come a little farther south? Yes, but I don’t expect some major deviation at this point.
My midday update may be a little delayed because I will be ringing the Salvation Army Bell at the Fayette Mall today from noon-2. Come on out and say hi and put some money in the kettle and do a little good this Christmas season. 🙂
Have a good one and take care.
If it were my choice, I like real winter to start around Christmas and run through Feb. Usually, if Dec is brutally cold and snowy, after that, winter is over. As for the flash pop-up: I’ve noticed that as soon as the page loads, you see the right side Twitter feed try to load….it doesn’t, then it takes you to the flash screen completely away from kyweathercenter’s website. If you just refresh the page then it brings you back and it’s fine from there. Why this is happening, I have no clue. But at least I’ve found a workaround for me.
Alert to everyone the Adobe flash has once again has pop ups on this web site. I have to restart to get back to Chris’s blog page. I afraid this site has been hacked. It is just too bad that these days a person can’t behave when we have a great tool of information as the internet. It is as annoying as all those daily robo calls. A month ago my e-mail address was made available to the world on this site.
I’ve gotta second or third this. I can barely get on this website anymore. Sometimes refreshing doesn’t help for me. I get on and have the feeling of “I’ve got 3 seconds to skim read before adobe gets me”.
I am trying to be positive and the trend is there for slightly colder weather overall after next week. I am going with a higher chance for a white Christmas than the past few years. My bold prediction is at least a mix or some snow showers on Christmas Eve or Christmas Day. Just a bold prediction and hope it comes true:)
It now shows SE KY approaching 70 Monday with a low risk for severe weather! May see over an inch of rain and strong storms down in my little corner of the state just Monday alone to go on top of all of this rain. I am nearing 4 inches of rain on this month already.
Thunderstorms to the south will rob a lot of moisture from this impending weak snow / rain event in the Ohio Valley as we are still under the high pressure ridge. Rainfall total in my back yard last twenty four hours 0.40 inches with temperatures in the low 40’s. The plug is half way out of the wall as far for any snow for Christmas Day in my county of Taylor. I can’t find any records of any significant snow on the ground on Christmas Day here in Taylor county since records have been kept anyway.
Really? I beg to differ on many counts. You mean to tell me one could be under a area of high pressure and experience a low pressure system that delivers a 1-3 inch rainfall at the same time,?? fascinating. I think not, that makes literally no sense. This scenario must only happen in your backyard in Taylor County. NWS in Louisville calling for 1-3 inches of rain from this “weak” system you speak of. There not the only one’s that paint a broad 1-3 inch inch rainfall scenario.
Yes, we are under the influence of the southeast ridge, but the high has weakness to allow weak weather makers to develop from time to time.
One to three inches rain over a wide spread area really ?? How would anyone know ? It’s just a guess as it always has been and always will be.
Leave it to the troll Schroeder for completely insulting meteorologists much as he did the school teachers a couple years back. To think colleges charge hundred of thousands of dollars over a four year period just to offer guessing degrees in meteorology, what a complete insult and a jerk comment.
Please go away Schroeder, you’re drunk.
Just remember folks will be under the influence of a high pressure ridge with which will allow 1-3 inches of rain for late Sunday-Tuesday. I hope that makes sense
I’m glad that I live in Northern KY near Florence! 😉
Looks like Central and West-Central IL are in the bullseye for the heaviest snow, as there are Winter Storm Watches for those areas from Sunday afternoon through Monday evening. Some ice may even mix in.
Just light snow is predicted for here in the Chicago area from Sunday night through Monday, and we may get an inch or two if we’re lucky.
A piece of Arctic air is beginning to make it’s way south to around Chicago before retreating back northeast. We, here in Kentucky will in enjoy the cold rain.
Remember Illinois Mike that’s Schroeder’s best guess after all weather it’s just a complete guessing game always has been always will be.
Prelude you are really running out of ways to insult my intelligence. Me a Troll ? I think not, your the one who started all of this from the day one. It’s all about nothing. Please don’t respond to my comments anymore and we will have peace on this weather forum.
Schroeder the common denominator here is you it’s just that plain in simple. You’re are right on one thing I need to quit responding to your comments. You just can’t fix stupid.
What happen we were good for a long time Prelude and now at Christmas the insults start up again. I don’t understand your behavior. You are acting like a child. Is there something wrong with your Harley ? If so please don’t take it out on me. Oh, I know what it is, it’s not 80 degrees, with low humidity, with a gentle breeze, so you take it out on me. You can say the same thing about me as I want snow and lots of it before the hot and humid weather returns.” Stupid is as stupid does ” Have a Merry Christmas. I’m done on the comment section for the day and done responding to your insults for good. I still like most of your weather comments though. However an investigation is on going into how my e-mail address got into one of your comments. I wrote Bailey but he chose not to respond to said e-mail thief. It sounds to me like some criminal has hack his blog with all the pop ups here lately and probably is connected to my e-mail being stolen ?
This is known as a CMS. Cincinnati market snow 😉
All a board the train!
Well I am watching closely and this is the only time in the past 13 years of me visiting the KWC that i will Say STAY NORTH SNOW……My wife and adult children surprised me with a trip to Dallas, and tickets to the Cowboy/Rams game, for my 50th Bday on Thursday. This was a life long dream of mine. Flew out yesterday and fly back Monday morning. I have six properties that I do Snow removal for and it won’t be good if this storm materializes any more and moves South. So Mother Nature please help an old man (not really) out here. After that, bring on winter.
Man you have ad junk all over your site. Google play virus or something. Cant even click on site without garbage showing up!
Yeah, I get the Google play pop up when I’m on my phone, get the Adobe Flash Player pop-up on my laptop. Found that if I hit the refresh button about three times, the site finally loads.