Good Thursday evening everyone. The threat for severe thunderstorms will be increasing this evening across the western part of Kentucky. This is an area already under a SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH until 11pm CDT. Here’s a look at the watch outline and the current warnings…
Damaging winds are the main threat with large hail also possible. Don’t forget to hit the radar link at the top of the page and track the storms on First Alert Defender. Here’s the more general regional radar to follow the storms progress…
I will have updates as needed and will send out warnings and additional information via twitter. Follow me: @kentuckyweather .
Enjoy the evening and take care.
Chris, how far east do you see these storms going?
Is it me or does it look like the storms are coming a little quicker than forecast, they are not that far away from Louisville area and they are forecasting a midnite fade in central KY! NWS might need to watch this line for a earlier arrival with stronger storm chances in the western half of central KY if not all of it?
Todd, I think (at least for now,) the severe threat in central KY will be lower due to the lifted index and the relative humidity values, along with weak to moderate CAPE not very supportive of severe thunderstorms. However, a lot of this is going to depend upon how quickly (if at all) the dynamics of the squall line itself alter the atmosphere around it. If CAPE values, lift, and relative humidity are increasing rapidly ahead of the line, then we might need to keep a close eye on it. Right now it looks like mainly a western half of the state type of squall line. Just my opinion! 🙂
There could still be an isolated severe wind threat due to any potential storm downbursts as these thunderstorms collapse, if they do collapse over this area.
Good Info Aaron, A gust front will probably make to Frankfort area, we really need the rain but more wind than rain might be the case!
CAPE values, RH, and lift are increasing moderately towards the east; bulk shear values are also high across the northern half of the state. The area will need to be monitored over the next hour at least, to see how this line evolves.
When and how bad will it hit the Corbin/London area?
Misty, it doesn’t looks like the severe threat is going to make it that far south tonight.
a decent line of rain with thunder and lightning 30to40 mph winds about 25 miles west of Frankfort, let’s watch it weaken as it approaches! That has been the trend so far this summer!
Todd, I’m going to wager your chances of this completely falling apart and you getting NO rain at all are about 3%. lol just dont invoke Murphy’s Law.
The mesolow involved with this complex of storms is spectacular.
The western ky storms are holding their own, north and east of that is much weaker and fading as it moves east, if Frankfort area gets more than .25 inches of rain I will be surprized?
Just had our usual 30mph gust of wind, the signs of storms falling apart, some moderated rain on radar might give us a little drink over nite hopefully??
Just as I thought the storms have faded to almost nothing in Frankfort area, the radar is overdoing what is going on at the surface, not a big surprize the drought has returned to Frankfort area!
It’s okay, Todd. When this winter hits, we can have the thumper of over a foot we’ve been waiting for. 🙂 And considering how many times we’ve been missed, odds are favoring it bigtime.
Like the positive outlook, maybe the snow gods will be nice to all snow starved folks in KY?
8″ + snowstorm from Paducah to Pikeville! 🙂
and from Owensboro to Ashland. lol Paducah to Pikeville’s kinda on the southern end of the deal there