Good afternoon, everyone. It’s another mild day in the Commonwealth as we continue to focus on our weekend storm system. This brings some ugly weather before Old Man Winter rolls his way into town for the closing days of the year.

We are seeing plenty of clouds today and those clouds are spitting out a few drops of rain. This action is rather limited, though…

The weekend storm system is going to bring a lot of different weather our way. Here’s a breakdown of how things may play out:

  • Windy and mild weather will be with us on Saturday. Highs are deep into the 60s with some late day showers and storms possible.
  • As our low cranks across the plains and rides into the upper midwest, it drags a cold front toward the region. Watch for another low to pop along this front.
  • Widespread showers and thunderstorms will develop from Saturday night through Sunday. Some of the storms may even be on the strong side, especially in the west.
  • Heavy rainfall of 1″-3″ will be possible across areas of the state. The best chance of that may be into central areas.
  • Cold air crashes in behind this with a break in the precip initially. After that, a period of light snow and snow showers wraps in from the northwest later Monday into Tuesday. A few flakes may continue through New Year’s Morning.

This is something the GFS has been showing very well and very consistently…

Here’s the rainfall forecast from that model run…

With or without thunderstorms, gusty winds could pose a few problems…

The Canadian is coming around to what the GFS is cooking…

Here’s the rainfall forecast from the Canadian…

This kicks off a super-active pattern with cold shots diving into the country and an active southern storm track…

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and with another KWC update this evening. Have a good one and take care.