Good evening, folks. We are rolling into the final hours of the year with colder winds blowing. These winds may also blow up a few flakes into New Year’s Eve. Later this week, we see another big rain maker for our region before winter takes control for a bit.
We continue to deal with flooding issues across several areas of the state. Here are the latest warnings…
As we’ve talked about, a rain shower or two is possible this evening with some flakes possible from late tonight through New Year’s Eve. Here’s regional radar to keep ya company…
The next big thing is a heavy rain maker for Thursday into Friday. This system is likely to end as some snow by Saturday and Saturday night…
Here’s the Euro rainfall forecast through Friday…
The ICON has even higher totals…
The setup for early next week is for another storm system to develop along a cold surge coming into the region. The models will be all over the place with this one. The latest Euro does what the Euro does in wrapping it up too far west…
The GFS is doing GFS things in being too progressive with it…
Enjoy the rest of your evening and take care.
I guess a little chance for some wet snow is better than no snow. I know it want be cold enough next week to sustain a prolonged ground cover, but I would be happy just to see any accumulation, given how wet/mild things look.
WOULDN’T IT BE NICE FOR ONCE IF THE MID TO LONG RANGE ACTUALLY DIDNT WORK OUT AND WE WENT INTO A COLDER PATTERN WITH SOME BUT NOT EXCESSIVE PRECIP INSTEAD OF WHAT LOOKS TO HAPPEN?! Models and the oscillation trends actually fake out and the opposite happens…oh that would be a dream, if only!
Well, this is our first model showing a snow thumping for KY next week. Seems the earlier models showing a more NE flow, and Ohio getting the main action instead of KY makes more sense. That due east flow is odd and makes no apparent sense.
All be it pretty rare, I think the EURO there is trying to predict “phasing” which Chris already mentioned and is an instance were a rapidly strengthening low allows the cold to quickly overtake the moisture as some northern energy dives in and is phasing the system both enhancing the low and allowing the cold to quickly out pace the moisture…kinda like a super fast cold chasing the rain but actually winning, unlike 99% of the systems we see.
One good example of this was the wet snow storm the week before Christmas 2010 in East KY. The system phased and quickly overcame the moisture changing to snow with areas farther east seeing the most as the cold outpaced the precip shield where the heavier rain to turned over to a long duration wet snow event. Places further east in VA and WVA received up 18 inches . I received 6 inches from that event but the mt tops got over 10 inches, a rare hefty December treat!
Local met (the Ville) said tonight that there really was no worries of significant snowfall until the end of January. He didn’t say what YEAR….lol! 🙂
Good one, Debbie.
They seem to fake out and do the opposite the other way but never in a snow lovers favor but we can dream seen to many times winter is a week or two away but all the sudden it just disappears
The slugs around my pet food went away in November, but I’ve noticed today they have came back out of hibernation. Even they have a hard time figuring out Kentucky winter’s. (and yes meteorological winter is (Dec-Feb ).