Good Tuesday, folks. While we track a few more showers across the state today, it’s Old Man Winter waiting in the wings for the rest of the week. We have cold air on the way and this will bring a few snow chances back to the bluegrass state. We may even put some of the white stuff on the ground.
As is usually the case, let’s talk about today before we get to the tomorrow. A few showers continue, but this won’t be all day rains and we may even see some breaks in the sky. Temps spike deep into the 50s and may flirt with 60 in the south.
Here are your radars to follow any shower near you…
The outlook from late Wednesday through Saturday continues to look rather wintry, especially for the winter we are about to wrap up.
A cold front works in here on Wednesday with rain ahead of it and, as temps crash, some snow behind it. This could bring the potential for light accumulations Wednesday night and early Thursday. That’s when snow showers kick in on a pretty strong northwest flow.
Behind that will come a couple of clipper looking systems dropping in from the northwest. The first arrives Thursday night and early Friday, with the next one Friday night and early Saturday. Both of those can also drop light accumulations.
Let’s see how the models are handling all the action.
The NAM only goes through Thursday night, but it’s picking up on what we’ve talked about…
The GFS goes through the whole scenario…
Here’s the snowfall from that run through Friday night…
The Canadian Model has a similar look…
Same for the EURO…
This wintry pattern will go away quickly as we flip the calendar to March on Sunday. Temps rebound quickly and next week looks flat out mild. Temps may reach well into the 60s on multiple days with a potent storm system we will need to keep tabs on as the week wears on.
If we look farther down the road through March and into early April, we find the Euro Weeklies skewing warmer than normal during this time…
Keep in mind, that warmer than normal average includes the well below normal temps coming this week into the weekend. Obviously, the model skews very mild after to overcome that.
Oh and it’s also forecasting well above normal precipitation…
Are you really shocked to see the wet weather bullseye right on top of Kentucky? We need average well above normal to fight off the Drought Monitor. We are entering the time of year when it routinely shows us in a drought, even as we get stuck in the mud.:) I kid, I kid… Kinda.
I will have updates later today, so check back. Have a good one and take care.
I would just like to see a week of dry weather with modest temperatures.
For all of you that were preaching it up in December about how winter was even officially here and that we would get plenty of snow in Jan and February….how does that crow taste?
Winter 2019-2020…The winter that EVER Meteorologist (and armchair MET’s) got wrong!
Chris’s bold prediction of a Severe Weather Event did indeed come to fruition.
The Jan 11 2020 outbreak. Including EFO/EF1 tornadoes in mainly western areas of both Kentucky and Tennessee. Including an EF1 that toppled 13 stored railroad cars near Hopkinsville KY.
FWIW…
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/02/16/experts-predict-near-above-average-tornado-activity-this-spring/
When?
Still not over yet:)
Anything else you want to bloviate about?
When is the pattern ever going to flip? At least in the past when we had disappointing winter’s we had a week out eye candy to not come true. The models couldn’t even tease us with a chance of accumulated snow this year. Now we are going back to day after day of miserable rain. Got to love this new Kentucky climate. I’m glad for the warmer temps coming up, but not looking forward to leading the nation in rain this spring.
The winter storm that was predicted to hit Chicago today through Wednesday morning has continued to shift further SE and has weakened, though a Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for Chicago and all the counties to the south through Wednesday morning,
2 to 4 inches is forecast through Wednesday morning for Chicago and the S and SW suburbs. Looks like the heaviest snow from this storm will be in Northern and Central Indiana.
Go figure the 18z off run models actually was on to something yesterday.
Thanks Chris. So, winter is going to try and make a little noise before we hit March? I’ll rake it. I wA in hospital for almost 6 months and missed half of summer, all of fall, and a big part of the winter season.. although it’s not been a snowy one, it has been cold and dreary. When I see Chris talking about warmer temps and drier weather for a few days , I’ll tKe that, too. Guess I just love all kinds of weather. I enjoy Chris thoughts on what he thinks may happen. He’s still the best around! Have a great day all.
Amen c-Biv….see ya next year winter.