Good Sunday evening everyone. A cold night is in store for the bluegrass state as temps drop well into the 30s for many areas. This will set us up for the potential for widespread frost, but weak system working in late tonight has other plans.
We do have a FROST ADVISORY for the northern half of the state tonight…
A weak system is going to be working our way late tonight and early Monday. This will throw additional clouds our way overnight and may even bring some chilly showers into central and eastern Kentucky. I think tonight is going to be hard pressed to produce widespread frost because of this.
The High Resolution NAM shows the Monday morning shower threat…
Highs Monday should stay in the 50s again as skies clear out during the afternoon. Monday night is the night that looks the coldest with temps making a run toward freezing or below.
Another cold front arrives Wednesday as our rather active October pattern continues. I’ll talk more about that with the late night update.
Take care.
I hate it, but I think I’m going to have to turn the heat on in the house tonight. There goes my utility bill to the moon…
PILE ON THE BLANKETS LOL
Looks like the rain was so far a big miss. This has easily been the best ugly (expected) weekend ever. Not a sign of rain, sunny skies and nice football weather. Well, not for a few KY teams this weekend, but has been at least for the weather part of it.
Looking ahead, seems that regardless if we see much snow or not this winter, it should be a lot colder than last winter.
Much as I hate to say it, because I’d love to have lots of snow– I will take ‘a lot colder than last winter’..
Fighting the bugs on my peppers & tomatoes this year was near insanity, that and the drought made for some bland tasting tomatoes.
I am really looking forward to freezing weather to kill the nasties. Hope I’m not disappointed.
I am ready to get my grain of salt out. I backed off a camping trip with my family this weekend due to the rainy and cold forecast, and, what a beautiful weekend we had! Spring and summer forecasting seems to be spot on but – winter and fall, not so much. That’s where my grain of salt comes in to play.
Is cold weather forecasting really that much tougher? What do you think?
Looks like the mets even missed the rain this time. Accumulating snow forecasts for this area has been a a comedy of errors for many years. The models look good and then the they either go away or are a fraction of expectation. Being a met in this area is hazardous duty during the winter.
Frankly, you could pick any met and they will be within the same error margin for outlooks. Heck, even less than 24 hours away is more miss than hit.
That is the nice thing about this blog, since CB posts his rolling thoughts and model methodology. We cut him slack in the winter because NOBODY has a lot of luck with outlooks for this area if more than 48 hours out. Sadly, the outlook accuracy for ice has been high. Boo!