Good Thursday Evening gang. All eyes are on the massive weather change blowing into the region over the next couple of days and the possibility of an extreme event early next week. The European Model has been the one model that really hasn’t wavered much with the track of Hurricane Sandy.
This model shows the extreme scenario of a landfalling hurricane with a snowstorm on its western side. The Euro takes Sandy to just off the Carolina coastline by Monday then whips it almost due westward into Virginia by early Tuesday…
That setup would bring a swath of heavy snow into the Ohio Valley and that would impact Kentucky. Here is a look at snowfall maps from this run of the European. This shows snowfall accumulations for 3 hour periods and there are some 3 hour periods in between the maps from below…
Again… that is ONE run of ONE model and you should not fully trust it… yet. If it’s still showing something similar a few days from now then we can talk more seriously.
Many of the latest Hurricane Forecast Models do suggest the European Model is onto something with the Mid Atlantic landfall…
The new run of the GFS is in and it is very similar now to what the European is showing…
This could get VERY interesting in the coming days!!!
The odds of us seeing the first flakes of the season next week are pretty high. Will it be something more than just a few flakes? Time will tell.
Have a great evening and take care.
We might see a stray flake or 2 out of it, but I’m not gonna get my hopes up like I have in the past.
Does the storm have a “flake” of a chance
of hitting the Louisville area?
Let me guess hmmmm…. Central Kentucky there will be a sharp cut off of precipitation/ accumulation ?
You know it. Just look at those maps. Extremely sharp cut off between Eastern and Central KY. Makes me mad.
Chris, it just gets more and more interesting, doesn’t it? Can’t wait to see what the runs are over the next few days! Gonna be fun to watch, wherever it goes.
never seen aanything like this, there will be deaths, power outages for weeks with this for EAST COAST. prayers needed for our brothers and sisters to our east/neast.
Remember my new winter snow forecast mantra? After eight years of personal experience: “I will believe it when I see it.”
i knew something was wrong when i seen those squirels carrying my snowshovel up the tree in the back yard !!! …lol…
Thats hilarious!
NWS Louisville’s LMK radar is back in service as a dual-pol radar, well ahead of schedule, well ahead of the possible effects of Hurricane Sandy:
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=lmk&storyid=88704&source=0
Perhaps the dual-pol upgrade of JKL radar at NWS Jackson KY could be put on hold until this “Frankenstorm” runs its course.
Anyone notice the picture in the link seems to be an dated pic of an old WSR-74 radar? Not a WSR-88D radar unit anyway, even if a nice rainbow.
Maybe we could get a “dusting.” 🙂
“Oh what fun it is to ride in a one-horse open sleigh!”…Chris, we snow-lovers anxiously await the next update. My husband is a non-believer in the snow, hope it snows in “feet”…love the Blog!
As long as you do not mind no power for a while 😉
are the numbers at the bottom of the euro model precipitation numbers for water/rain or snowfall amounts?
2012 ? lol
Anyone thinking KY will any snow from this needs to take a reality pill.
As I said earlier today. This storm will bring some snow to eastern ky. If it makes a quicker move to the west the entire state could see some snow…..Flurries at least. Not getting my hopes up as this is still four/five days out. Someone NE of Ky is going to get the storm of the century. I hope they are prepared. Unlike New Orleans and Katrina!!!!
Folks should not want any part of this. IF it were to pan out, it would be power out for tons of folks, especially due to high winds. Factor in the snow would melt quickly, it would be a slushy, flooding mess with little to no fun time.
This seems to be one of those all or nothing events. IF, there is accumulating snow, it will probably mean nasty stuff. Seems no middle road- all or nuttin’ if accumulating snow were to get involved.
Too extreme of conditions that combine for a middle road event, IF it pans out. Three capped IF words in this post.
12zz EURO has it moving in south of ATLANTIC city tuesday. so it starting to trend back to er the GFS has been. hmmmm GFS been right on this one path?????
anyway it good to watch how the models do with storms and we might find a trend for how winter going go model wise.