Good Tuesday, everyone. A developing system will bring wintry weather into Kentucky tonight into Wednesday, likely bringing a messy mix to the region. What types of precipitation you see will depend on where you live. The farther north, the better the chance for mainly light snow. The farther south, the better the chance for rain. In between could be a fun little battle for a while.
Let’s get straight to the headlines:
- This is not a big storm system hitting Kentucky.
- Still, the timing on this could mean issues for the Wednesday morning commute for much of the area.
- Low pressure works into the lower Ohio Valley/Tennessee Valley and gives way to a stronger low along the east coast.
- Cold air is in place ahead of this, but this first low may edge the temps up just enough for that messy mix and rain may take over for many.
- A few inches of snow will be possible for areas staying all snow or mainly snow. A touch of freezing rain will also be possible.
- As the low works to our east, watch for light snow to increase Wednesday night and Thursday for central and eastern Kentucky. Light accumulations will be possible from this.
Here’s a look at the areas I’m highlighting for this light event…
I will get a First Call For Winter Weatherfall out in my midday update.❄☔
In terms of the models, here’s the HI RES NAM through 7am Thursday…
This really likes northern and northeastern Kentucky for some wet snow…
So does the NAM, but it’s not as excited…
Here’s the minor freezing rain from that run…
And the snow forecast from this run…
Keep in mind, the above map includes the light snow Wednesday night and Thursday.
That’s a little system that’s showing up better as we get closer. Here’s the future radar from the NAM…
Here’s how the GFS sees it all…
The Canadian…
The EURO is actually the odd model out at the moment with mainly rain and no light snow on the backside…
By the way, this storm in the east is going to absolutely crush many areas in the northeast over the next few days. The snow amounts are staggering from the models. Look at the Hi Res NAM in Pennsylvania…
😲😲😲😲😲
Here’s the regular NAM for the entire event in the northeast…
Socially distanced road trip, anyone?
Another system rolls our way later in the weekend, but this doesn’t look like a big deal at the moment. We continue to watch the trend for a deep trough digging in here Christmas Eve and Day…
EURO
CANADIAN
Looking much farther down the road into January, it was interesting to see the control run of the EURO Weeklies to come in with this look for the month…
I will drop by for updates later today. Y’all have a good one and take care.
Hey Chris, any idea when the Snow could start for Reey WV from the Tues-Wed storm? I am so looking forward to some SNOW!
I mean Reedy WV.
Hey Chris, any idea when the Snow could start for Reey WV from the Tues-Wed storm? I am so looking forward to some SNOW!
Northwest West Virginia has a Winter storm watch out now for Wednesday, as does the rest of the state. Hope it snows big time for all the ski areas in the state.
That would be good for the upcoming Christmas Holiday and thereafter.
My Brother lives in Adams County Pa near Gettysburg and their expecting up to 38 in of snow.
Yeah, we’re looking at a very impressive snowstorm for the Northeast with each weather model run.
It could be a record breaker ?
The models continue to get warmer & warmer as the event draws nearer to us.
Which comes as no surprise to me.
I always assume that any moisture event in Ky. during the winter will end up as mainly rain.
The models continue to get warmer & warmer as the event draws nearer to us.
Which comes as no surprise to me.
its called the northwest trend we always see in winter as we get closer. ok debbie downer rolo says what is the criteria for a firsr alert weather day. fact is this system not near a first alert day from redneck bunker sights. only thing to fall be sleet and rain thru tomm.
Might as well be content with the slop that falls here in central Kentucky.
Five year snow drought shows no signs of ending at least the rest of this month.
Hope that Arctic air predicted does not overachieve and cut off the Gulf moisture.
Nothing worse than frigid, dry Arctic air with the high heating bills to go along with it.
Folks, experts say the real reason is the “shrinking of the Arctic Sea Ice.”
Check out the Arctic region now. Just north of Hudson Bay the current temperature is -62 degree.
However, last Summer melted a lot of ice in Greenland more than it did back 100 years ago.
Therefore I will have to agree with this theory.
Ok I’m going to say it….RIP Snow 2020
Little too early to say that Russell, but you may be right ?
As the years have gone by I think Kentucky is just to far south for big snowstorm.
Our average snowfall for my area of central Kentucky is about 13 inches. Since I been living here (13 years in July 2021) the most impressive Winter event was in late January 2009 with a devastating / major Ice Storm.
We had a couple of Snowstorms in late February and March in the years 2015 and 2016 and they each topped a foot of snow.
To this date 12/15/20 hardly any Winter events to report.
Kentucky is not too far south, it’s the Polar jet Stream is too far to our North anymore and the Southeast Ridge is more dominant than it use to be which keeps Snowstorms out of our area.
Will it ever change ? I think yes, but probably not in my lifetime.
Formerly From Ky, needless to say their probability of a white Christmas is at 100 % right now. I pray that all stays safe.
I remember in March of 1993 we had 32-36” of snow here in eastern Ky. It was beautiful and also crippling all at the same time. Some were without electricity for weeks.
6” of wet snow puts parts of our area without power. Every one stay safe and healthy.
Merry Christmas
Merry Christmas to you and your family. Last time I saw a snow that deep was in March 1960.
A different local met just posted on twitter about the above normal heat coming for Christmas. Will I need summer or winter attire next week? Maybe flannel shorts?
I don’t know. All I know is that a long distance model is basically a crapshoot. And if that model depicts snow I would ignore it and plan on a cold rain.
I kind of wonder if scientist have the technology to increase the freezing point of water to 52 degrees F.
Kentucky would then get tons of snow. LOL