Good evening, folks. Our prospects for a White Christmas continue as we track an arctic front toward the region Wednesday night into Christmas Eve. This looks like it will drop some snow behind the boundary before some light snow and flurries kick in well behind it.
Some fresh thoughts:
- I have no changes to my earlier thoughts. 😎
Here’s the map I made earlier for the snowfall possibilities right behind the arctic front…
The new WPC chances for at least 1″ of snow by 7pm Christmas Eve matches that well…
As a matter of fact, the WPC even has eastern Kentucky in a Slight Risk for 4″+ of snow by that time…
Some late afternoon data suggests areas farther west have a little better chance of seeing some snow…
NAM
NAM snowfall
This is something the SREF (10-1 ratio) was already showing…
The latest from the GFS Ensembles(10-1 ratio) also hint at this…
That’s actually more than the late day operational GFS shows…
Here’s the EURO Ensembles average of 51 members…
Canadian Ensembles…
Here’s an in house computer model I get at work. This is known as the RPM and only goes through 1pm Thursday…
The EURO continues to be the most progressive model, but shows eastern Kentucky getting in on a nice event. Here’s the map through 7am Christmas…
Again, how much snow any one location gets from behind the arctic front depends on just how fast this system is moving.
All of this will then be followed up by a period of light snow and flurries Christmas Eve into Christmas morning as frigid air sweeps in here.
How awesome is it to be talking about just the chance for snow around Christmas? This doesn’t happen often folks, so think positive and enjoy whatever snow you get outside your window this week. ❄🎅
I will have the latest on WKYT tonight at 11 then with a full-blown update here later tonight. Have a good one and take care.
Nelson County still looks to be in the running for SOMETHING….I’ll be happy with anything white & fluffy falling from the sky and cold temps for Christmas. My luck, a flock of Canadian Geese get slammed by a UPS plane…don’t tell my hubby I said that!!) Anything would beat the non-Christmas-y type wx we had last year! We just have to keep hoping! It is 2020 after all! 🙂
I like our chance here in the Louieville area. Let’s hope this system slows a bit and let’s the cold air catch sooner. Thanks Chris…
This is looking pretty darn good!
Thanks for always posting data
The models are all trending less and less with each initial run. I know exactly how this plays out…heavy rain followed by a backside dusting as per usual.
I live in the area for possibly a few inches. I am so excited. BUT !!! If it happens that those festive flakes don’t fly. It’s going to be COLD !!! And that means a lot to me. I am hanging in there and believing for a lot of festive flakes will fly.
Have a great evening everyone. I’ll talk to you.
Snow totals keep creeping up on the GFS for EKY.Looking at the long range models coming in hot as in snowy hot.Nothing like a -NAO with multiple lows beneath us.