Good Wednesday, weather weenies. It’s another cold day for many of us as we turn our attention toward a storm system rolling our way for Thursday and Friday. This is the bowling ball system that rolls eastward across the Ohio Valley into the Carolinas and brings a swath of light snow across Kentucky. This continues to be part of a pattern skewing more and more toward winter with the potential for some harsh winter weather as the month wears on.
Parts of central and eastern Kentucky picked up a coating of snow overnight and a few morning flakes may still show up. The best chance is across the east and southeast. Here’s your regional radar to see if it picks up on any of the flake action…
Clouds are going to be stubborn today across the eastern half of the state, keeping temps in the 30s again. Farther west, some clearing may show up from time to time.
Our bowling ball storm system has been on the blog radar for a week now. This system rolls across the Tennessee Valley Thursday and into the Carolinas Friday. How much of a light snow maker this is in Kentucky is still a bit in question, but these systems can offer surprises.
It appears one band of snow moves into western Kentucky early Thursday then weakens as it moves east during the day. A second band of light snow then develops that evening and may impact areas farther north across the state. As the low strengthens to our south and southeast Thursday night and Friday, areas of southeastern Kentucky are going to be very close to an area of decent snowfall.
Here’s my initial look at the odds of seeing snow…
This will likely require a First Call For Snowfall later today.
We really need to keep a close eye on southeastern Kentucky as they may very well get in on some heavier snows. This is something the EURO is now showing…
The Canadian Model has a similar view…
The NAM has trended farther north than earlier…
The GFS tries, but it’s still the GFS and jumps the surface low around like usual…
The GFS Ensembles suggest something a little farther north…
As far as the potential for the another system to follow this by early next week, we continue to see a healthy model split. As a matter of fact, each model looks different than their earlier runs. The new EURO brings back to back systems in here…
The GFS absolutely crushes this system with clippers dropping in from the northwest, instead.
I have no changes on the middle of the month setup, but I feel like I’ve talked this one to death of late, so I will spare you this go around. I make no such promise with future updates. 😉
Those updates will come your way later today and may include a First Call For Snowfall map. Make it a great day and take care.
Thanks Chris, I think you have done a great job in your forecasting. Your blog is very much appreciated.
Glad to see a few more new commentators on the blog. I think you need positivity here lately.
I agree that Southeastern Kentucky may receive the best chance of seeing the most Snow out of the next Southern Slider. The rest of the state will have to wait on a more complete and widespread snowstorm which may occur in the near future.
The Arctic continues to freeze over, but there are signs of a weakening Polar Low (Polar Vortex.)
Thanks Chris, I think you have done a great job in your forecasting. Your blog is very much appreciated.
Glad to see a few more new commentators on the blog. I think you need positivity here lately.
I agree that Southeastern Kentucky may receive the best chance of seeing the most Snow out of the next Southern Slider. The rest of the state will have to wait on a more complete and widespread snowstorm which may occur in the near future.
The Arctic continues to freeze over, but there are signs of a weakening Polar Low (Polar Vortex.)
Just a little NW shift and would be a nice hit for parts of EKY.
Nam looks like it went back south some.Hopefully the Euro will show what the off run showed but a little more NW.
Finally some sun showed up today here in the Chicago area after five days in a row of clouds and lots of fog. The temp even warmed up a bit to the mid and upper 30s, but there’s still a few inches of snow cover.
No sign of any major precipitation here for at least the next week.