Good Wednesday everyone. Our middle of the work week is here and it continues to feature more in the way of chilly weather. The days of the chill are numbered as our much hyped warm up is about ready to kick into high gear just in time for the weekend. Enjoy it… a big change lurks by early next week.
A weak system is diving southeastward across the state today and is sparking some scattered showers (say that 3 times). Those showers are few and far between and we will have several dry hours today. Temps will stay in the 40s for highs today.
While we have some dreary weather at times today, it’s nothing compared to what areas of the east coast will be going through. The same areas devastated by Sandy will be getting pounded again the next few days by another nor’easter. This one will have more of a wintry aspect for those areas. Take a look at the snowfall forecast from the NAM…
We have one more chilly day around here on Thursday before the warmth kicks in. Highs will be in the upper 40s and low 50s Tomorrow and then warm toward 60 by Friday. Saturday and Sunday will be very mild with temps well into the 60s and flirting with 70 degrees on a southwesterly wind.
Those same winds will blow a big change into town by Monday and Tuesday as a strong cold front blasts through here. Will it include a secondary storm blowing up along it? That’s very possible and something the Canadian Model is latching onto. Here is what it looks like on Tuesday:
The GFS has more of a simple frontal passage with a line of showers and thunderstorms with a touch of rain or light snow behind it…
Check the temp spread with that front…
We will see how that all plays out, but don’t be surprised if the stronger low scenario wins out.
Have a great day and take care.
Arctic Oscillation for October was Negative
During the past five years, AO- in October means above average snowfall for the upcoming winter, at least for Louisville. That means we should see snow amounts >12-14″, much better than the snow desert amount of 7″ last season (Dec-Mar).
This is just one aspect of my upcoming winter weather forecast for 2012/2013. Last year’s dart ended somewhere on the other side of the room.
ATHENA has been born!!!!! Sandy one week and Athena the next.
Mike S – Hope yourt analogs work out for us. It seems that everthing is starting to line up for a cold E N/E with many storms to roll through. My location in Lou. had only 2.5 inches all year until the last one when we had 2.5 for the event. Anything is better than what we had last year.
Thanks Chris for your time.
Last winter, we here in Nashville TN only got 0.6 of an inch! Average yearly snow is closer to 10 inches.
The calendar winter begins dec 1, ok Chris you better have that winter forecast out before then or it will be considered a now cast winter forecast 🙂
Our ole Buddy Mitchell Gaines…”MITCH” just did a live report for TWC.. for the NWS in se Pa…covering the snowstorm…good report mitch…glad to see your doing well !!!
Way to go Mitch!! i miss seeing his input on here
We’re proud of you, Mitch! As a fellow WKU graduate, nice to see where your WKU meteorology studies have taken you.
Even after he moved to the Philadelphia area to work for Mt Holly NJ office of NWS, Mitch has still posted here a few times.
WKU ? Do they actually graduate students still? I thought the only University in the west of KY was Murray? By the way EKU rules!