Good Monday, everyone. It’s a wild weather day taking shape as we start things out with some freezing rain in the north. From there, rounds of heavy rain and a few strong thunderstorms are on the weather menu later in the day into the evening. This means we have to be on guard for local high water issues and gusty winds from storms. The system following this up is likely to bring some snow in here by Wednesday and early Thursday.
Freezing rain may be an issue through early this afternoon across the north. This is where a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect. For the rest of the sate, the focus is on the threat for local flash flooding issues. Rain and thunderstorms become common as the day wears on. Heavy rainfall of 1″-3″ will be possible through early Tuesday…
Again, let’s watch for flash flooding issues to develop. That’s a lot of rain possibly falling in a short amount of time.
As this low pressure works right on top of us later today into tonight, it brings a surge of unstable air just ahead of it. This could fire up a few rounds of strong or severe thunderstorms. The Storm Prediction Center has much of central and western Kentucky in the low-end risk for severe storms…
Damaging wind is the primary threat with any storm that goes up through tonight.
The setup for Wednesday and Thursday continues to point toward a snow maker across much of the state. How much depends on the track of the low and how fast this thing moves. The GFS and Canadian are both pushing this through a little faster than before…
The EURO continues to be just a little stronger with each run…
The faster this zips through, the less time is has to produce snow. At the current pace of the above models, a 1″-3″ snowfall would be in order for many.
I will have updates later today, so check back. Here are your storm tracking toys for the day…
Current watches
Possible Watch Areas
Have a good one and take care.
Winter Storm Warnings are out for all of Northern IL, including the Chicago Metro Area, from the Monday afternoon through Tuesday midday time frame. Computer models are pretty consistent, showing 5 to 8 inches across the area by the time the snow ends Tuesday. Where I live in the SW suburbs of Chicago it’ll probably be closer to 5 inches, but I’ll take it considering this has been such a tame winter so far.
This is the first Winter Storm Warning for the Chicago Metro Area this season, and here it’s late January.
Mike, I hope it “Snows Buckets” taking the words from a Meteorologist I knew from years ago.
Here where I live it is very uneventful. The predicted heavy rains have not made it to my area of the state, but in meteorologist there are no promises.
Is the weekend storm going to be stronger and make the Wed system weak? That would be just our bad luck. UGH!
RGEM, which has done very well this season, has WSW totals for SE KY. I’m sure I’ve jinxed it, since I now that I posted that…
Western KY would gladly take 1-3″. We’ve had next to nothing this season.
Good soaking Rains this morning and still coming down. I’m satisfied, as we really needed this kind of Rain.
Even had a rumble of thunder earlier.
Dry slot to our Southwest behind the warm front. Temperatures are expected to rise tonight. Just like a Spring time event.
Unfortunately, the chances for accumulating Snow on Wednesday doesn’t look likely for my area. Maybe a weak Snow shower or Flurry.
It’s just too warm and we are just too far South this Winter for one of those block buster Snow events, but Rain is good too going into the growing season.
Only thing that worries me is since we didn’t have any real Winter weather, will we have a devastating hard freeze like we had last Spring ?
I would say there is a 50/50 chance unfortunately.