Good Saturday, everyone. Clouds are thickening quickly across the state as our messy system rolls into the Ohio Valley. This will bring winter weather into parts of Kentucky this evening into early Sunday, with another round of snow waiting in the wings starting Sunday night. In between those two will be some plain old rain for a spell.

Here’s a breakdown of how things look to play out through the opening few days of February.

  • Rain works into western Kentucky this afternoon then the precipitation moves into central and eastern Kentucky this evening and overnight.
  • The leading edge of all this is likely to be snow or a wintry mix, with the best chance from north central Kentucky through the east and southeast.
  • Accumulations are likely in this area, but heftier amounts will likely be confined to the far north and northeast. It’s a fine line between snow and NO snow.
  • The far southeastern mountains may get in on some of the action, too.
  • Rain takes control from the southwest Saturday night and early Sunday as low pressure works right across the region.
  • That low then moves into West Virginia and gives up as a monster storm develops on the east coast. This is when colder air surges back in from the northwest, changing the rain to snow.
  • Wraparound snow bands may be a little stout from time to time through Monday night. That’s when snow showers and squalls kick in across the eastern half of the state.
  • Accumulations are likely with the wraparound snows with lighter amounts in the west and heavier amounts in the east. Some pretty good totals may very well show up.

By map making program isn’t cooperating tonight so I’m going to keep this map out for this front end setup…

I do think areas north along and north of the darker blue can get in on a few inches of snow, with lighter amounts south of it and heavier amounts north.

If we look at what the models are suggesting for the front end snow potential, we find a similar overall theme, but with a few differences in the details…

EURO

NAM

 

GFS

Canadian

The wraparound light snow, snow showers and snow squalls kick in Sunday night into Monday morning for most of the region. This action then hangs around the eastern half of the state through early Tuesday…

Check out the EURO total snowfall from today through Tuesday…

Much of what that model sees across Kentucky comes from the wraparound stuff from Sunday night through early Tuesday. I will get you guys two different First Calls (program willing) out by early afternoon.

Temps climb behind all this by the end of the week, but the overall pattern signal is for cold to continue to overwhelm the pattern across the country. This is average GFS Ensembles temp departures from normal from the end of this week through Valentines Day…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Until then, here are your radars to follow the action in from the west…

Enjoy your Saturday and take care.