Good Saturday everyone. This is going to be a very busy next several days here on the blog as we track several winter systems across the region with the possibility of a storm by the middle and end of the coming week. Let’s get after it.
The first system today is following along the winter trend of storms being stronger and farther west than the models thought. We are getting two lows working in tandem to bring precipitation our way with the lead low working right on top of us as another low works up the east coast. With the low overtop of us… much of central and eastern Kentucky will see light rain and a light mix early today with some wet snow late. Areas across western Kentucky northeast along the Ohio River to Covington will see the best risk of a 1″-3″ slushy snowfall. That said… the heaviest snows will likely fall to our west and northwest on a line from near St.Louis to Indianapolis.
Temps today will range from the low 30s west to near 40 in the east and southeast. Snow showers and flurries will then wrap in this evening and overnight with temps settling into the mid and upper 20s.
Track the precipitation and temps here…
Current Temps
Live Cams
Paducah
Northern Ky/Covington
Louisville
Super Bowl Sunday will find strong cold front and associated low pressure rolling into the region from the west. Temps ahead of this will spike up into the low 40s with an increase in afternoon clouds and winds. Sunday night will see our front moving through here with a round of rain and snow. Much colder air will surge in from west to east Monday as another low pops just to our east. Any leftover mix will change over to light snow and snow showers and should carry us into early Tuesday morning with some accumulations a good bet.
You can see this transition on the GFS…
All eyes will soon turn toward the Wednesday through Friday period of next week as the overall weather pattern continues to point toward a big winter storm forming across the eastern half of the country. I can’t tell you anything more than that and I can’t say what impact this storm will have on our region. I can tell you the pattern does favor our part of the world as seriously being in the ball game. 
Many different model runs over the past few days have shown this and many continue to do so right now. I will stress to NOT live and die by each model run as they will all show something different from this far out. The Canadian Model is beginning to get a bit of consistency in what it is showing…
The GFS was showing a massive storm up until Yesterday when it got lost in the woods. That is the nature of the model and is expected. The latest run is like the little engine that could… “ I think I can… I think I can… I think I can” …
Just sit back and relax and enjoy the tracking we will be doing in the coming days because the second half of February may feature an outbreak of spring fever.
More updates will come your way later today so check back. Have a great Saturday and take care.
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First?
Sweet.
What a joke! 33 & rain in Frankfort? 4 in. snows have moved 100 miles further north than any MODEL forecast yesterday! Yep, SNOW DOME LIVES in Central KY! SPRING Where are you?????
Good advice, CB. Plenty of time for the models to work this out. Although I would think by late Super Bowl Sunday, a predominant pattern will stand out in more than one model. That would be our cue to suggest a preliminary outlook for the region.
06Z Run of the GFS brings our Wed/Thur storm a bit farther north. We are also on the edge of the 2m 0C line for the storm coming in Sunday night/Monday. The 12Z runs of all the models will be interesting later today.
Look at the Monday morning model, among a 200 mile radius wall of precip, there is a speck of white over Central KY. That is proof of the snowdome. These ankle biter snows stink, even if we’ve had 10 of them-bring on spring.
Man… I sure would hate to be the guy that has to put that 32 line on the maps lately. OUCH!
34 and rain in Shelbyville.
Again this ongoing event proves to me that this is not our year in central ky. I suspect next weeks so call storm will avoid the area or be warm enough for a cold rain. I cannot trust any model even 24hrs out. I cannot blame any met for incorrect forecast. This area is Bermuda triangle for snow. (snow disappears even when it is showing up on the radar.
Thought I’d have some snow today…just rain and 35′. Yuk. Really, the models just tell us that precipitation (in any form) might be in our area. Even 12 hours out, they can’t seem to include any accuracy of note this year. The ‘big storm’ this week…wonder what that will do 🙂
How bout a foot of snow next week, then when it starts to get sloppy….60’s and sunshine!!!! I am ready for spring. My electric bills have been brutal. I would love to prop the door open, listen to the birds sing, and let the sunshine warm my bones. Throw a few supercells in the mix too. 🙂
What is BM (short for bowel movement) saying bout the potential for next week? Nothing I bet…prolly wait until the radar returns are showing a impending blizzard, then run around saying the sky is falling. Then he will pat himself on the back, and tell everyone I told ya so!!
And people scoff at me when I say that models 5-7 days out are for entertainment purposes only.
Moderate Snow In Hebron, KY (Near Cinti Airport)
I’ve seen quite a bit of that type of forecasting on this blog lately.
Hey Joe T….
You mention your electric bills have been brutal. If so and for others in the same boat….I would suggest the KY Home Performance Program listed on this site. They have rebates or below market rate loans for energy efficient improvements and can help with paying for EE HVAC. Your utility provider might have additional rebates and there are state and local tax credits still available. You just go to the site and do the free home self assessment or just select a contractor Good luck!
Ol’ Henry says that our area(Eastern)could get 1-4 inches Sunday
into Monday, and he also has the whole state in the winter storm area.
Looking at the latest DGEX it shows parts of western tenn. with a foot of snow,LOL.Which may be a good thing for us.At least there’s a storm to track,better than not having one to track.There’s allways a chance(slim)we could at least get somethig IMO.Now,with next week’s storm will the cold air suppress it farther south or will the storm track more inland(Good for KY),any model expert’s out there like to comment?
Does anyone know what today is?It’s “National Weatherperson’s Day!”
So would like to wish Chris a Happy “National Weatherperson’s Day!”
The 06Z run of the GFS Snowfall Map shows a large area of 6 – 10″ snow for S. MO and N. AR. This would run through 1 a.m. Thursday morning. I don’t know how much of this total would be associated with the early storm.
That begs to ask the question…’then why are you here?’
Look at the 12Z NAM. It is once again showing cold and snow for Sun night/Monday. It performed horribly for our current storm, so take it with a grain, or two of salt. It is only one model, so we’ll see if the 12Z GFS and other models align with it. I did hear last night, (won’t mention who) that tomorrow nights storm was trying to trend colder with the models.
Bubba….where are you?? We NEED your thoughts!!
As I stated in the last post. Kentucky will not see a major snow this year. Temps are not in our favor. The DOME forbids it.
No Win… The 06Z GFS Snowfall Map shows a large 6 – 10″ swath of snow for northern AR/southern MO through hour 120. I think some of that is with the Sun/Mon storm, but there is a lot of snow being put down to the southwest by this model.
Also, the 12Z NAM is coming in a lot wetter and colder for Sun night/Monday. It missed the boat on this storm with the surface air temps, but it seemed to have a handle on the QPF (decent amount of rain at my place).
The other 12Z model runs could be interesting over the next 2 – 3 hours.
He is practicing light saber twists and turns… 🙂
sorry to tell you but your wrong…this is the week my friend
Mod check!
Just as I expected this morning when I left for work…no snow. It was 36 and it looked like the sun was going to pop out for a minute. Rain rain and the birds were singing. It is really cloudy now but all rain.
It IS NOT going to snow next week. Don’t get your hopes up.
NO rain, warm and trhe sun is even managing to peek through at times in Louisville. Snow? What snow?
He’s even thinking big storm…or he was. Sorry Chris, couldn’t find the remote.
No scoffing here, in these parts, the models are for entertainment purposes only, even at 5-7 hours out…(or even 5-7 minutes!) 😉
Here in Critt. Co. we only got a very light dusting.
12Z NAM is wetter and colder once again for Sun/Mon storm. It totally lost us on this storm, so we’ll see what the other 12Z Model runs say.
Actually, Chris and others give pretty detailed outlooks several days in advance, with the appropriate “cautions” dictated by the science. We’re here exactly because this blog is NOT the same.
The models for our overnight system into today was right on track for he Lou. area to receive 1-3 of snow. Hell when I went to bed last night it was still on. Woke up to light rain with snow from the Paducah to Indy. Once again 100 mile shift overnight. We should now cast all events for now on.
He is to busy preparing the ship. He is going to have around 300 of us moving over to the DARK SIDE. The KY SNOW DOME lives forever.
Not to be a pessimist, but with the 100-150 mile jump from what the models were predicting in less than 24hrs., unless they are showing next week’s storm hitting east Tennessee, its gonna be the usual miss for us. Of course if they are showing that, it’ll probably be the time the models are right (a miss either way)…
NAM shows some precip for south central KY.
http://ready.arl.noaa.gov/ready2-bin/jmovie.pl?id=NAM/Eta&mdl=grads/nam&file=panel2&nplts=29
Im in no way an expert but to my untrained eye it looks like the models have shifted more souteast.Even the Euro shows a southeast track.So i would say the trend has started to the SE.cold air wins again and ky is the loser.Like i said earlier 20 phenomena’s need to align perfectly for ky to get a decent snow.
Everybody complains because 5-7 days out we’re in the bullseye for a big storm, then it shifts north, west, etc. and we’re left with very little compared to the early model runs. Now people are mad because the models 5 days out don’t have us getting hammered, I don’t want to be in the bullseye yet, give it time, the trend all winter has been NW shift, just what we need from what I can tell from the models. CB has said this over the last few days. Out of all the storms this year(which have been plenty), I can only remember one going south, have faith, think SNOW, it will all work out, if not lets bring on spring and play golf.
Happy Weatherperson’s Day to Chris Bailey. Thanks for all you do and all the time you spend putting this blog together so that we may all enjoy it.
I think there is one thing that all of us on here agree about……We appreciate you Chris.
Happy Weatherperson’s Day Chris! And I agree. We appreciate you!
BM has been accurate for the second half of the winter. In fact, his snow calls have been about right. There is a big difference from blog outlooking snow and the actual results 😉
This is why CB always cautions folks and rightly so. Blog outlook and actual forecasting is not the same- hence a misperception.
For December though, most local mets were terrible and CB was one of the few to get them close to correct.
Chris, Happy happy weatherman’s Day 🙂
Thanks for all you do for this blog and the long hours you put in for us weatherjunkies.
Here in western Pulaski Co. the wind is blowing and it’s raining, then the sun come out…it’s kinda like the Twilight Zone. :0
About the storm potential for next week being suppressed further south…..I was asking myself why the blizzard didn’t get suppressed south AT ALL. There was PLENTY of arctic air……Someone had mentioned because of the strength of the low pressure was the reason…..So then, if this storm next week is going to be STRONG like forecast, why would it be suppressed at all?
please people don’t get hyped up over this storm next week, just to be let down again. i have finally learned after years. it’s not going to happen. no big one that is.
If this week brings snow, I hope that is the end of our winter weather for this year. That would mean classrooms could actually get back onto a regular schedule again! These snow days are wreaking havoc!
12Z GFS run is drier and warmer than the 12Z NAM for the Sun/Mon storm.
London, sunny and 45 degrees …. did he say spring, I can’t believe he actually mentioned spring coming the second half of the month … yippeeeeeee!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I understand the need to protect oneself from a letdown, but let those who will hope, hope.
The fun is in getting there, near miss, dead on, ‘big one’ or not…weather is fun. 🙂
It was 42f at my house with rain and now the temps have dropped to 38f and pouring a mix or sleet. It’s not accumalting since the ground is so warm. I have never seen a mix or sleet fall so hard and the wind is bad as well.
Jake
“…because the second half of February MAY feature an outbreak of spring fever”
Slow down, breathe, read slowly and get the full meaning. 😉
Balmy 39 in Lawrenceburg this morning. If this next system misses us totally, Bubba G has a convert. I will no longer quote snow totals either.
Okay im so tired of these storms trending west. I cant even get an inch out of the little storms like today. Boo Winter, bring on the summer!!
Well, bless my soul..heavy snow in Lawrenceburg at 39 degrees. Now this is an unusual occurance.
It’s snowing on Westport Road in Louisville.
I hope I am wrong but history says it won’t happen .
Snow and windy in Spencer Co. KY… 6 mi E of Mt. Washington.
It looks like each of the models is trending a bit south with the midweek storm. I’m sure the path will bounce back and forth, but I suspect this storm will be confined to east Kentucky with only small amounts in the central and western portions of the state. My pessimism is the result of all of the storms that have done the same so far this year.
I love to watch the GFS worship that goes on other places, though. It’s kind of sad. What’s really sad is the idea that model is the best the US can do. When is a GFS replacement coming?
Strong west winds and heavy, heavy sleet in NE Jefferson County (Lou)
Let it go south. Trends on our last four bigger events(that missed us including the current one) from the south have been more north west when we start now casting. Models are only showing possible senerios of the storm track.
EB I have been saying for the past three days let the models ride there current track. Northwest trend has happened on four straight storms coming from the gulf. I too would rather not be in the bullseye at thie moment..
You know I’m always talking about trends.
I’m seeing a trend that says ‘Bust’ all over the next two storm systems…and that includes the ‘big one’ coming up.
Hopefully, we’ll get one of these right.
I’m assigning a ‘Bust Potential’ for the next couple of systems to affect us.
No-Brainer, Low, Medium, and High.
I think the comedian George Carlin was on to something with his forecast one time…
Good point!! That is why the current track to the south is perferct for the northwest shift for all of KY to have a decent snow. The Sun/Mon event will usher in the cold air and as long as it does not get as far down as ATL we should be good to go…
Snowing BIG FLAKES in Lawrenceburg at Noon. Happy WeatherPerson’s Day Chris! This blog is nothing short of awesome.
Man, another bust. The trend is this: the next couple of weather systems will be a ‘bust’.
I’m coming out with the ‘Bust Potential’ for the next call-for-snow forecast.
Yep, also note that there is no arctic blast behind the systems. Last nights Euro was the same…no major arctic outbreak either.
Back end or Feb into March will be brutal cold for the time frame. Spring will only tease your for a couple weeks at most. March will give us a snow storm. Always does….
folks how can the snow dome be back when we’re 150% of normal for the season with snowfall?
stay calm the gfs will come along. look at the trends storms stronger and further northwest, no reason to see why this doesn’t continue. as it stands now any major model not named GFS has a decent snow around here perhaps over 6 in southern KY.
Upper levels now getting cold enough to support snow in Frankfort, flurries starting to fall but, the best moisture has already passed! Plenty of rain this morning when it was to warm for snow 🙁
Indy was only forecast a dusting this time yesterday, 4to5 snows today!
At 11:45 the temp at the Nicholas Co. Mesonet site was 41 with 16MPH winds… At 12:00 the temp is 38 with 40+MPH gusts!!!! WOW
Just got enough hail in Mercer to cover the ground, now the sun is shining!
Around 11:30 I got hit with a heavy band of rain/snow mix and strong wind. Then sunshine and blue sky. 30 min. later heavy sleet to light snow. Now blue sky again. Wind is really whipping. Crazy.
As far as next week goes…whatever. I’m tired of thinking about it. The rest of the country has historic snows, but here in the “Cold Rain Capital of the World” we’ll get just that, or brutal cold and no snow. The radar will light up like a Christmas tree but nothing will hit the ground because the air will be too dry. Give me sunshine and green grass.
NWS just sent a weather advisory for high winds 15 – 25mph gust to 40mph will reach northeast ky around 2 – 3 pm.
precip has changed to snow in north Lexington
Took the dog out and the hail started falling. Poor thing pulled me back to the door without doing her business lol. Madison County.
Rain and occasional sunshine in Berea this morning. It looks like the weather is in the middle of trying to decide what to do today 🙂 Well, if you are going to see a movie today, I highly recommend Sanctum! Here is my review: http://helenbukulmez.com/2011/02/05/sanctum-movie-review/
The wind is crazy in Fleming Co!
Agreed…it wasn’t even like it was a big storm. You’d think we just missed getting a foot of snow…not 1″. Everyone needs to sit back and watch snowmageddon come to the Bluegrass next week.
Indianapolis is up to 4 inches with heavy snow still falling.
It’s snowing hard with big flakes on Westport Road in Louisville.
Pouring the rain and sunshine at the same time here in Perry Co.! Weird looking!
Nice review!
Heavy sleet/rain here.
Thanks for that update…Just what we wanted to hear!!!!
Whoaaaaa… heavy accumulating sleet now!
Grass is getting white with it!
Mr weatherman,what is your forecast
I need a major change,i cant stand no more PAIN.
Everything’s been going wrong,Please tell me it’s something in the ozone
Or is the Atmospheric pressure just to strong
I can’t ride out one more storm….
Chris,how about playing Hank williams jr “Mr weatherman” for all the people down in the dumps because of no snow..It being “National Weatherperson’s Day!” i think the song would be fitting..
Now heavy sleet. Grass is getting white with it now!
heavy snow and very windy in north lexington. I wouldnt drive in this right now if you dont have to!
Just saw some of the wildest weather I’ve ever seen. It looked like it was raining snow. Not sure how to describe it – lasted about 10 minutes then the sun came out.
No need to worry! With 4-5 days out a SE trend is a good thing. I still see this thing trending back NW. I think the low will be stronger and cause a farther NW track than the models are showing right now.
Here’s an image that speaks volumes about our recent snow situation:
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_tb8QpwWb2MU/TUyRoFnZ4ZI/AAAAAAAACT8/6bKdAWZSCwM/s1600/DrySlot.gif
same here. It felt like a sring/summer storm, but with snow. And just as soon as I post, it is gone. lol
About 45 minutes ago, light rain and in and out sun..no wind..now pouring rain and very high winds here in Northern Rowan Co/Morehead…temps have dropped. I need to buy a new outside thermometer..last one I had blew away into the woods somewhere during the last major winds 🙂 ..but I can tell the temps have dropped some.Personally I’m not concerned at all about next week’s “storm”..and as much as I would LOVE, absolutely LOVE a huge snowstorm before spring, there is absolutely NOTHING we can do about it..so as CB sit back and enjoy the models tracking…whatever it may end up being..if it misses us, will anyone be surprised?? if it doesn’t we will be happy! Either way big storm or not, once it’s over..I personally am ready for Spring, outside work, and pool…
Just had a very intense burst of snow in Lex. Wind is crazy.
I think we will all see some sort of wintry precip this week haha 😉 gotta love a general statement!
How about: Some will see a good chance of wintry precipitation somewhere in the Ohio Valley region later this week. LOL
Good find. Thanks for sharing!
Brother I don’t get this guy. At the end of this post he puts out “the second half of Feb may feature an outbreak of spring fever”. Isn;t this the same guy that has been touting essentially a wicked Feb and continues to say that Winter has a lot in the tank and even went as far (I may not be 100%correct) as suggesting Winter appears to be heading well into March?
Then puts that little goofy smiley face at the end as if he’s saying…..”opps I really turned on a dime here didn’t I”? or “forgive me because I am backtracking” or a sheepish “hey that’s for you warm weather lovers”. Sheeesh what a deal. bottom line is this Met or any met know what the blank is going to transpire. You want to know the weather stick your head out the window that is the only way you are going to get the real deal. By the way what happened to this forecast for today that was put out yesterday? 1-3 yeah lets see it. And that 1-3 is such a cop out you have a 66% chance of pulling the call out your rump, never understood that one but so goes the world of Meteorology which is not much better today on long range guessing than it was in 1960. So before you go blasting me for my comments, remember I have every right as you do to post and give my thoughts. I didn’t call anyone names or directly attack his character but did question his long range abilities but that is fair game if you are putting a blog out here and giving signals of complete 180’s. He isn’t the only one believe me. Maybe he and ALL mets should stick to what they know best the 4-6 day forecasts.
Where is the arctic outbreak for the OV later next week? MOS temps certainly are not frigid…lows teens, highs upper 20’s to low 30’s. Looks like the brunt of the cold air is heading straight south into the southern plains.
It is ridiculous how bad forecasts / forecasters are. Despite all the high tech technology, weather forecasting is just as bad today as it was 25 years ago. At least 25 years ago there was not the unrelently hype regarding every single weather event.
well i guess you are perfect in your job…..1-3 inches was forcast by all the local mets here…they are only going by models and trends dude..why so critical?
Right……But at the same time, say the cold air did get as far south as Atlanta……Tulsa and Kansas City got a blizzard and the arctic air was even south of Dallas at the time
The wind is really blowing around the snow here in Shelbyville. The snow is not sticking to anything.
Go read the models, and watch them waffle day after day. Then give us a forecast. Its not as easy as it looks, and you will be wrong just like the rest of us.. And forecasting will never be perfect..It simply isnt possible.
Haha, well what a difference a few minutes makes…Morehead is now having very heavy sideways snow bursts…Chris is one of the best METS forecasters I have seen (and yes I’m a weather dorks who reads and watches everything weather related) ..but more importantly to me, is he takes the time to do this blog for all of us..whether you choose to like the forecasts, believe the forecasts, or not..he does the best anyone can do..i have been a follower of this blogs for at least 2 years..this is worst I have seen for people being upset if the forecast isn’t exactly what u want. Get over it 🙂 No one controls the weather..u can use the models and trends to the best of ur abilities, but in the end, it is up to Mother Nature…I did not once believe we would end up with so much as snowflake from the 1-3 inch forecast..but I can’t blame Chris or anyone else for forecasting it..it’s their job..to warn, to update and let people know what MAY happen.Just my humble opinon..and wow..I hope I still sounded optimistic in all that hahaha
If he thinks that there is going to be 1 to 3″ then that’s the right call. What do you want him to say, Lexington will get 1.23″? Just not possible. A 2″ gap is pretty good since snowfall varies a lot. Weather is an inexact science and very unpredictable. Everyone nails some and misses some…even Chris. If you can’t except that move to San Diego where it is sunny and 70 every single day.
Everyday it is someone new bashing someone else…lol This time bailey is getting bashed..WOW lol
You know what’s screamingly funny? People keep saying they are tired of the little one to four inch snow’s and they would rather have nothing if that’s all that we’re going to get…..So then a small snow misses us and people get totally bent. Just sayin’
Rain, snow, sleet, sun, and wind here in Winchester…sometimes almost all at once. Such a beautiful day.
The arctic outbreak would affect more than just us, Average highs are around 40-45 across the state this time of year. Therefore, highs in the 20’s would be considered an arctic outbreak. And no one fails to realize, the models have had a really tough time with temperatures this year.
So, stop reading the blog, stick your head outside and see what the weather is doing then. Or, you try putting together complicated forecasts, then listen to everyone whine, moan, and complain when they don’t get exactly what they want in their back yard. Can you take that responsibility? If not, move on.
you’re right..crazy, isn’t it! 🙂 I understand people being frustrated that big snows tend to”just miss us” but u can’t go blaming the guy who is trying to make sense of some very dynamic storm systems that can trend differently than models predicted at any given moment right!?..don’t shoot the messenger..haha
We are supposed to get one. Chris mentioned this last week…a huge chunk of Arctic air will be here. Not looking forward to that.
Haha prolly cause those little 1 to 4 inchers are all we will get and we know that sub consciously and we are in denial 😉
Brother I don’t understand this guy. At the end of the post he puts a little smiley face after the “second half of feb may feature spring fever”. Isn’t this the same dude that has been touting Feb as loaded with continued winter potential as late as this week???? Is that little smiley face saying “Hey I am backtracking so here’s a wink, or I am taking a 180 or hey I really can’t (like all mets) predict much further out than 6 days so just enjoy this science fiction or if you really want to know what’s coming get your own dart board”. Come on dude. The deal is that the science of Meteorology hasn’t progressed much more since vacuum tubes were components of radars. I wish he and all meteorologists in general would simply stick to their limitations and try to guess what the next 4-6 days will be because anything past that your guess is as good as theirs. Now before you blast me I have every right to comment on what I see and believe is happening here as you do. I didn’t use foul language or directly attack anyone’s character I made a comment, a comment which I believe sums up what these weather blogs are designed to do and that is to suck you in with long range hyperactivity and keep you coming back for what essentially is a crap shoot and what is correct less than 50% of the time. This goes for all of em not just this one. I just happened to run across this a few weeks ago and have had my share of entertainment watching something so popular, and something that if you were to go back two weeks and compare what happened to what was said was going to happen….. wasn’t very close and the lets see how what was said yesterday for the next 7 days pans out. I’m still sitting here in Northern Kentucky waiting for my 1-3 inches of snow (by the way is a 66% room for error, wish I could be paid based on 66% chances of a sale every time I walked in a door)don’t think it’s gonna happen on the 1-3 today. And that call was made last night!!!!! So don’t jump me this is my 02cents and I believe it’s 100% correct and 100% probabilities of being correct for years to come.
Starting to accumulate/…
Radar returns diminishing with the cold air! A nice non sticking snow shower in Frankfort. Hope for better snow luck next time???
Sorry, but I don’t have much confidence in next week producing a good snow for anyone in KY. The late week system is all over the boards, and truthfully, will probably never happen. Spring mode is kicked in for me, and I could care less if it snows another inch or not. We had a decent December for now here in London, but since then it’s been a bust. Kentucky winters are a joke, and have been since the 1990’s. And to reiterate, there is nothing to suggest that we get hit hard the rest of the winter.
Regardless of whether you questioned CB’s character or not, you chose to take the opportunity on HIS blog to call out HIS abilities as a long-short range forecaster. You chose to water that statement down by attaching “and any met” to it. Question: Did you also choose to share your thoughts on other blogs belonging to “any mets” besides this one?
——
Honestly, Chris, I don’t know how you do it. You can chose to share your THOUGHTS (not forecast) regarding potential systems and when the storm plays out, good or bad, you still receive a high volume of criticism. Damned if you do, damned if you don’t, so to speak. 🙁
No kidding! At my mother in law’s house in Kokomo, IN, they already had 6″ on the ground from the blizzard and today they are stealing our snow! Already 5″ new snow on the ground, and still snowing steadily – they’ll have over a foot on the ground by the end of the day – and they don’t even want it!
Temp has dropped to 38* in London with light sleet and very gusty winds. A big change from the 45* and sunshine we had here around noon.
Hope’s about all we can get as far as decent snow (any snow, really, in the last couple of weeks), nothing but rain, rain, and more rain…
hello folks, it is 2:05pm from the little town of wayne, wva, just south of huntington, wva. i have been reading some of the comments left on here by some that were forecast to have snow but for some reason the snow went either east, north, south, west, or it went up the teachers dress. lol ha ha!!!!! had to throw that in there. no pun intended for the great teachers out there.
seriously, chris is only the messenger, and he only tries to say what the many different models are printing out but that still is not gospel all of the time.
the weather is only going to do what it wants to do, some times it throws curve balls at us like last night when not every one got snow that were forecast to do so.
there has also been times when these same people have gotten surprise snow when you were not forecasted to do so, but these same people did not want to shoot the messenger then.
why? because they got what they wanted, even though it was not forecasted to do so, well last night they did not get what they wanted even though it was forecasted for them to get 1 to 3 inches of snow.
bottom line here is let up on the messenger, i for one know that chris has missed a few this year and probably over the course of his career and yes he does tend to hype storms up, but with him being a forecaster and a met. and loving the job that he does and can see him or anyone else maybe hyping a storm up, not for the readers but to get us as readers better prepared for the worse case scenario.
better to stay prepared for the worse than to be unprepared for the unexpected.
when 3 to 6 is forecasted, i prepare for 6 but i only expect a maximum of 3 at most.
that is just how the world of weather operates, when you try to stay ahead of mother nature, she throws a curve ball at you. thank you for your time.
If you have an issue with me… find me and we can work it out. Otherwise… don’t read.
LOL
my last comment went to moderation. i guess i will learn and remember to copy and paste. i will not retype all of what i had to say just in case it does somehow make it to the screen.
i will say to some of the readers that did not get the snow they were expecting or was forecast, for what ever reason.
maybe the snow went north, south, east, west, or up the teachers dress. no pun intended to all the great teachers out there, just a little joke.
always when a forecast is for 1 to 3 or 2 to 4 or 3 to 6 or what ever. i have learned that it is better to be prepared for the top end and expect the lower end then there is no dissappointment.
no forecaster is perfect, no model is perfect. a model is only a computerize printout of what the weather may be for that 1 particular day from that 1 model run at that time frame, but the met. still has to put that in writing. so try having 20 different model runs to try and choose from and still try to make a perfect forecast, it is not going to happen.
thabks for your time and here is hoping this does not go to moderation.
Could not agree more, MarkLex!
If you feel that strongly about Chris, why do you even bother coming here? I hate that he puts so much hard work into this blog DURING HIS OWN FREE TIME, and then has to deal with people like you that can do nothing other than criticize and complain, complain, complain! Take it somewhere else.
On another note, keep up the good work Chris! Please don’t let these negative nancy’s kill it for the rest of us.
Dude, first of all, how rude to come on here and blast someone on his own blog, which, by the way, he doesnt get paid for. Second, he is not the one who MAKES the weather– God does what He WANTS– CB is kind enough to have a forum where he offers us his guidance with his opinions, thoughts, knowledge, and insight on all the CHANGES it makes. HE IS NOT FORECASTING HERE.
Third– MOST OF US are here because we LOVE weather, PERIOD, and we may get on and whine and moan, sometimes a bit too much, that its not doing what we want it to…but the bottom line is we love the chase, the waiting, the expectation, the excitement, the drama, and the hope for the ‘next one’…
so if you have an issue with CB, why don’t you contact him and have a one on one conversation with him and hash it out— otherwise get off your high horse and by all means find another blog you like better. 🙂
A promise is a promise 🙂
You posted this once already, earlier, before you took your medicine.
This was written to Jank, not to Chris. Lo siento.
im going see wintry prcip tonite, csause there going be alotof pee freezing at my bash topnite oh and alot of SODA DRANK.LOL
so if ur round east 80 watch out there pee spots freezing tonite.
luv all uall.
GULFSTREAM BETS OF MEET R7 6 HORSE A LOCK wWP race 9 bet whatever on 8 we got horriblr trip 2 weeks ago, we in today.
Case closed on the dome theory. Who can argue with facts.
REALLY?? you posted this twice?
I believe we answered you the first time. 😉
That is where my sis lives I need to go visit so I can see some snow,but someone said earlier they do not even want it and that is true my sister hates it.I am glad they never lost power during the Ice Storm the other night they had an Inch of Ice.I am like Charlie Brown all I got was a ROCK!
That is where my sis lives I need to go visit so I can see some snow,but someone said earlier they do not even want it and that is true my sister hates it.I am glad they never lost power during the Ice Storm the other night they had an Inch of Ice.I am like Charlie Brown all I got was a ROCK!!!!!!