Good Wednesday to one and all. We have a potent storm system rolling our way, bringing the potential for strong to severe storms Thursday into Thursday night. This is also a setup that can put down quite a bit of rain throughout the entire region.

Let’s kick this party off with what’s happening out there today. A shower or storm may be noted, especially early, but much of the day is dry with windy and warm weather. Highs will likely surge deep into the 70s and may hit 80 in areas getting enough sunshine.

Here are your radars to follow any scattered storm that goes up…

Here’s a breakdown of how things may play out:

  • A round of showers and storms works from southwest to northeast tonight and Thursday morning and may have another wave right behind it.
  • As low pressure works into Missouri and strengthens by the afternoon, clouds try to break as temps warm toward 70 for some. Instability also surges in from the southwest.
  • Clusters of strong to severe storms then develop and move into western Kentucky by late afternoon. These storms then roll to the east northeast during the evening.
  • Damaging winds, large hail and a quick tornado will be possible.
  • The main severe threat is between the hours of 4pm and midnight across the state.
  • In addition to the severe threat, local high water issues may show up as these storms will pack a lot of torrential rainfall.

The Future Radar from the Hi Res NAM shows all this really well…

The GFS remains the most aggressive model in terms of wind gusts and rainfall…

GFS Wind Gust Forecast

GFS Rainfall Forecast

Here’s the latest Thursday Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

I will have additional updates later today. Until then, enjoy today’s warm temps and take care.