Good afternoon, everyone. The focus of the forecast continues to be on the increasing potential for severe storms as we head into Thursday and Thursday night. This setup has been on our radar for the past week or so and the signal only grows stronger as we get closer.
The Storm Prediction Center continues to increase the risk across the state. Here’s the updated Severe Weather Outlook for Thursday…
The SPC is really highlighting the tornado potential from parts of Kentucky and south…
Damaging winds will also be a big player…
The large hail potential appears to be greatest across the western half of the state…
My breakdown on how this may play out continues to be the same as before:
- A round of showers and storms works from southwest to northeast tonight and Thursday morning and may have another wave right behind it.
- As low pressure works into Missouri and strengthens by the afternoon, clouds try to break as temps warm toward 70 for some. Instability also surges in from the southwest.
- Clusters of strong to severe storms then develop and move into western Kentucky by late afternoon. These storms then roll to the east northeast during the evening.
- Damaging winds, large hail and a quick tornado will be possible.
- The main severe threat is between the hours of 4pm and midnight across the state.
- In addition to the severe threat, local high water issues may show up as these storms will pack a lot of torrential rainfall.
I will have the latest on WKYT-TV through the evening and will update KWC if need be. Have a great day and take care.
With the SPC continuing to play catch up with the Bailey forecast thoughts, don’t be surprised when that enhanced risk finds its way into Central Kentucky. I want to say May 30th 2004 as an analog year for this event.
Looks like a power knocker outer.