Good Wednesday, everyone. Tropical moisture is combining with a slow-moving upper low to crank out heavy rain producing showers and thunderstorms. These spiraling bands of storms will continue through the end of the week, keeping our flash flood threat going.

Here are some thoughts on the setup:

  • The storms come at us in waves, generally moving from southwest to northeast or from south to north.
  • With the unusually high amount of moisture, these storms will be able to produce torrential rainfall.
  • Storms can put down a quick few inches of rain in a short amount of time.
  • Many areas finish the week in the 1″-3″ range, but local 4″+ are also possible.
  • A few storms may pulse up to severe levels, but this isn’t a widespread setup for any severe storm action.
  • The storms won’t be constant, so you will be able to get in on some dry times.

Here are your radars for the day…

A strong cold front drops in over the weekend with temps spiking ahead of it and dropping behind it. Scattered showers and storms will also be noted during this time, especially along the front on Sunday.

This precedes a deeper trough digging in across the region into early next week. At the same time, we will find a tropical system developing across the Gulf of Mexico. Here’s how the EURO sees it…

As we look longer range, the CFS is showing cooler than normal temps for July, August and September…

We will see how that works out, but it’s interesting to see. Not sure the northern tier of the country see things turn that cool, but I can see that from our region into the deep south.

Have a great day and take care.