Good Monday to one and all. On this first full day of Summer, we are tracking a fall cold front into the bluegrass state. This is bringing heavy rain and strong storms to the region today and will be followed by another big blast of September temps. Things turn stormy again by the end of the week into the coming weekend as another front sweeps in.

Today’s front turns active, especially across central and eastern Kentucky. Storms that go up may turn strong or severe and produce torrential rains that can cause local high water issues. Here’s today’s Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

Behind this front comes some of the good stuff as September keeps throwing shots at us here in June. I for one am not complaining about this. 😎 Tuesday starts in the 50s and ends with highs in the 70-75 degree range for many as humidity levels tank. This allows for Tuesday night lows to drop way down there and we should be able to hit some upper 40s again…

Wednesday is another fantastic day to get out and enjoy.

Temps start to recover on Thursday as we watch start to track the next system rolling in here. This looks like a setup to feature waves of heavy rain producing showers and storms around here from the end of the week through the weekend, at least.

This may unleash some big time rain amounts on the region and this is a concerning look taking shape. Check out some of the model rainfall numbers from today through next Monday…

GFS

EURO

CANADIAN

Flash flooding could become a big concern by the weekend.

The pattern likely remains active through the 4th of July weekend and this shows up strongly in the rainfall departures from normal. Check out how far above normal our rainfall is on the average from the 51 member EURO Ensembles…

If we take the single run of the EURO Ensembles Control, it gives us a scary look…

Needless to say this is a stormy pattern that shows no signs of going away. It’s also a pattern looking to keep bringing cold fronts into this region for the foreseeable future. The tame temperature and wetter than normal summer seems to be on track as we get ready to close out the first month of the season.

After a little dance dad time off, I’m back on WKYT-TV this evening starting at 4 and will drop by with any necessary updates. As always, I have you all set to track today’s storms…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Make it a great Monday and take care.