Good Monday, everyone. Steamy temps and scattered storms are the name of the weather game to start the week, but big changes are coming as we flip the calendar to July later this week. That’s when a slow-moving upper low brings an increase in storms and a decrease in temps just in time for the holiday weekend.
Let’s kick this party started with the weather on this final Monday of June. Temps are seasonably steamy with 85-90 in many areas. Humidity levels add to the sweat factor and will also aid in the development in scattered showers and storms. These will be moving from southwest to northeast for the most part, but most will stay dry. Here are your radars…
Steamy temps and scattered and showers and storms will be noted Tuesday with an increase in the action on Wednesday. This is ahead of our upper level low dropping in from the north. The models still differ on exactly how to play this and that’s to be expected with such a highly anomalous pattern.
Here’s the GFS with the ULL..
The EURO is, strangely enough, a little more progressive with the ULL…
The end result will be waves of showers and storms coming around that upper low and then some showers under it…
The EURO Ensembles continue to increase the above normal rainfall around here through the first week and change of July…
The tropics continue to be busy with a system off the southeast coast and another one well out in the Atlantic…
The southeast system may very well develop briefly before it gets ashore…
Make it a great Monday and take care.
Man! Has it been raining in the exact same spot in Illinois & Indiana over the last 3 or 4 days?
ULL’s make me ILL.
It’s a bit early in the season for Eastern Atlantic hurricanes!
#NewNormal
Between Thursday and Saturday, much of the Chicago area received between 2 to 4 inches of rain. O’Hare received a total of 2.40 inches for those three days, and the NWS forecast office in the SW suburbs received 2.85 inches.
After a lull on Sunday, waves of showers and storms with torrential downpours are returning here for at least the next two days, as a Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for much of the Chicago Metro Area until Tuesday evening.
Being in a ENSO-neutral phase, maybe this will lessen the chances for Tropical development later ?
I think the rainfall over the rest of the Summer will be scattered here in central Kentucky with more chances of widespread rains well to our North and East ?
ENSO-La Nina is still forecast to return for the Fall and Winter months ?