Good Friday, everyone. Flooding rains were common across the region on Thursday, but much better weather is blowing in early today. This means a fantastic 4th of July weekend is in the making with cooler and drier air. We may even flirt with record lows by Saturday morning.

Historic rains hit several areas of the state on Thursday with parts of the Lexington metro picking up more than 6″ of rain. Obviously, this caused some flash flooding issues for a while.

Our day starts with leftover showers and storms across the southeast, but this action should be moving out before noon. Here are your radars to say goodbye to the soakers…

Clearing skies settle in from the north as cooler and drier air takes control. Temps this afternoon are generally in the 70s, making for an amazing start to the big weekend.

Temps by Saturday morning may be close to record lows. For instance, the record low in Lexington is 53 degrees and the models show us getting close…

Temps by the afternoon are generally in the upper 70s and low 80s. Our Independence Day starts in the 50s and ends with low and middle 80s. This is about as nice of a 4th of July weekend as you will ever find around here.

Tropical Storm Elsa continues to spin into the Caribbean today and this thing is a super fast mover and may threaten Florida by early next week. Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

The GFS continues to take this system toward Florida then up the east coast. The latest run is a bit west and has it closer to interacting with another cold front dropping in here…

That’s part of a pattern that looks to continue to bring deep cold fronts and troughs into our region into the middle of the month…

The longer range European Ensembles for the second week of July also has a troughy look…

This is something the latest EURO Weeklies keep around here from the middle of July through the middle of August. This is the 30 day average…

For a model that has trouble finding troughs and below normal temps, that’s been a consistent signal for a while.

Have a fantastic Friday and take care.