Good Tuesday to one and all. We have a seasonable temperature going on out there today, but another cold front is ready to deliver our next round of awesome air. This front sweeps in on Wednesday and could touch off a shower or storm in the process.
Ahead of this front, highs today are mainly 80-85 degrees with mix of sun and clouds. I can’t rule out an evening storm in the north, so here are your radars to fill some space in this post…
There will be a broken line of showers and storms dropping in here along the front tonight and Wednesday with cool air coming back in…
Lows by Thursday and Friday may drop into the upper 40s and low 50s with highs mainly in the 70s. Check out the below normal numbers on the GFS through Friday…
The Canadian keeps those well below average numbers into Saturday…
The system down in the Gulf is running out of room to develop as it heads toward Florida…
There are conflicting signals on where we go once into next week, but the idea of another trough diving in here is gaining a little more steam. The GFS Ensembles are going toward this scenario…
Have a great day and take care.
Yesterdays weather here in central Kentucky was washed with lots of late Summer Sunshine and very comfortable dew points for all outdoor activities.
Glad to see this mornings radar vacant of precipitation. Indications that we are entering our driest time of the year. Which is normal for a change.
Hopefully, the predicted troughs develop and sharpen up and move farther South and West to include all our region of the country as we head into Fall and Winter.
I feel sorry for the Folks in our Great Western States as the extreme heat and drought continue in many areas and the concerns for the possibility for water shortages ?
The Tropics this morning look more active with many disturbed areas off the coast of Africa developing. “Systems in the Gulf running out of room for development?” The surface sea temperatures of the Gulf of Mexico are the warmest since records have been kept. Plenty of room and energy for tropical development in my opinion.
https://www.winknews.com/2020/04/17/gulf-of-mexico-much-warmer-than-average-reaches-86-degrees-along-florida-coast/
I think that the “running out of room…” remark is probably due to wind shear in the Gulf that is preventing development. It’s forecasted to remain high over the next 72 hours.
Could be that Hurricane Ida churned up the warm waters in the Gulf and that along with the absence of an upper level anticyclone in the areas of the tropics where storms begin to form. Or it could be wind shear ?
https://www.trackthetropics.com/atlantic-wind-shear-maps/
I wouldn’t be surprised if something horrible shows up in the Gulf in the weeks ahead ?
I found out that ENSO-neutral may prevail through the Fall and Winter months. Good news for Snow Lovers !
Once the shear abates, whatever forms in or makes its way into the Gulf will have explosive development.
Hurricane Larry is now moving Northwest and may get close to Bermuda before turning Northeast and out to sea.
Here’s Larry 🙂
https://weatherstreet.com/hurricane/2021/Larry.htm
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for most of Northern IL, including all of the Chicago Metro Area, until 9 PM local time. Several severe thunderstorm warnings have already been issued for the NW and Northern Suburbs of Chicago as a broken line of strong storms is moving SE through the area.
Large hail and damaging winds up to 70 MPH are the main threats.