Good Monday and Happy Labor Day, everyone. It’s a REALLY nice weather day out there with pleasant temps continuing across the Commonwealth. This continues to be part of a pattern skewed cooler than normal and we have another shot of awesome on the way later this week.
We have plenty of sunshine out there today with temps in the 50s to start and upper 70s to low 80s to end.
Tuesday is a little warmer with 80-85 with winds gusting up a little ahead of a cold front. This front will touch off a shower or storm late Tuesday and Wednesday, but it looks pretty scattered. This delivers another shot of awesome temps…
EURO
GFS
You will notice the system trying to spin up down in the Gulf. That’s probably not going to develop, but the NHC is watching it and Larry out in the Atlantic…
As mentioned, this is a healthy trough digging in here later later this week…
Temps are solidly below normal again…
How about we take a little sneak peek at what some of the seasonal models think about the upcoming winter? The latest IRI Model as a cooler than normal look…
Here’s the precipitation anomalies for the winter…
We will be looking more and more into winter in the coming days and weeks.
Make it a great and safe Labor Day. Take care.
Long live fall.
I love this weather.
Thanks Chris, a great day to end the Summer season, which I might add was a great growing season and a great harvest is likely on the horizon.
Thanks for sharing the information from the IRI, with the August report it does not show too much weather going on for our region of the World during December through February. It does say it is factoring in La Nina (a second year), but no one knows for sure that will happen. I’m hoping we will stay in ENSO-neutral our current phase and gradually phase into a weak El Nino (positive PDO) for the month of February and that would give the Ohio Valley a chance for a Snowy February ?
Hurricane Larry is a beautifully well formed tropical cyclone, fortunately way out in the Atlantic. Rip currents are forecast for Bermuda and along the Eastern Seaboard as Larry turns Northeastward. Areas along the Gulf of Mexico still needs to be on guard for tropical development through the week.
Here’s the link to the International Research Institute for Climate. Very interesting articles for those who are very interested in the study of meteorology like me.
https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/seasonal-climate-forecasts/
Here is the link for the climate summary for August and Summer 2021 for the Chicago area: http://weather.gov/lot/August2021
The Chicago area experienced its sixth warmest August on record, and tied for the eighth warmest summer on record.
I don’t know Mike why the average temperature would be 2.0 degrees above normal for your area ? Any of your local meteorologist supply any reason why your Summer was so warm ? Might be that the extreme heat in the Northern Plains states filtered in on a Northwest flow ?
Here’s the closes Summer Summary 2021 to where I live here in central Kentucky:
https://www.weather.gov/lmk/summer2021_summary