Good Saturday, everyone. We have another fall cold front crossing the state today and it’s bringing a shot of showers and a reinforcing shot of great fall air. Once into next week, the pattern across the eastern half of the country looks interesting as Sam approaches and a big upper low migrates from east to west.

Let’s kick this party off with the cold front moving in today. This has a band of showers along and ahead of it, but this isn’t much rain and it won’t hang out very long. Here are your radars to follow along…

Skies will clean up quickly behind the front from northwest to southeast. Temps stay mainly in the upper 60s to low 70s.

Readings by Sunday morning are way down in the 40s and there’s an outside shot for a few upper 30s to show up in the colder valleys. The rest of Sunday looks a lot like what we just had on Friday and that’s a lot of awesome.

From here, our weather depends o what happens with a big upper low developing across the east. The EURO is the most consistent in a general sense with the pattern and shows the chance for a few showers sneaking in here with this as early as late Tuesday and Wednesday…

Now, watch what happens as the EURO deepens that system and then entrains Hurricane Sam into it later next week into early October…

Check out the impressive setup with the 500mb height anomalies…

The control run of the EURO Ensembles has been really good of late and has been much better than the Ensembles average. Not only does it show a similar upper level setup to the operational run of the EURO above, but it goes out farther in time and shows an even bigger upper low for early October…

Have I mentioned how I think this is the fall and winter for big cutoff lows? 😁

As far as Hurricane Sam is concerned, here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

Make it a great Saturday and take care.