Good Wednesday to one and all. We have a couple of showers and storms trying to pop out there today as our warmer than normal temp pattern continues. This pattern has a few more days left in the tank before a fall storm system ushers in chilly changes for the weekend.

Temps today are mainly in the 75-80 degree range, but some areas of western and central Kentucky may come in under that. That’s because clouds and a couple showers and storms look to go up this afternoon and evening. Here are your mid-week radars to follow along…

Winds begin to really crank on Thursday as a couple of showers and storms impact areas of the west and north. Elsewhere, temps make a run toward the upper 70s and low 80s with a mix of sun and clouds.

This is ahead of our fall storm system rolling through here Friday and early Saturday. This is a windy and wet system with crashing temps crashing in behind it…

Wind gusts of 35mph or higher will be possible as this system blows through…

Temps crash behind this into the 40s to start Saturday with highs ranging from the upper 50s to low 60s. Winds will make it feel pretty chilly. Sunday morning will bring our first risk for patchy frost as temps hit the 35-40 degree range for some.

Temps stay rather seasonable into much of next week, but we will watch for another upper level system to dive in here before the week is over. The models, as one would expect, are having a tough time pinpointing where this trough goes. The GFS is seeing another potent cutoff…

The pattern starts to take on a more interesting look from there as we head closer to the end of the month. The pattern appears to be progressing toward one that will kick the highest heights farther northeast into eastern Canada and toward Greenland. As that happens, watch how a deep trough in the west tries to come eastward underneath the ‘big red blob’…

That would imply more of a coast to coast looking colder than normal pattern unfolding as we get into November. Low and behold, that’s exactly what’s showing up on the EURO Weeklies. Here’s the 30 day 500mb height anomalies from October 26-November 25…

That’s certainly an interesting look that argues for winter to crank fairly early. To be honest, we’ve seen November turn more wintry over the past several years. Even in those winters that weren’t very good for snow lovers, November had some flake action.

Have a great day and take care.