Good afternoon, folks. It’s been a soaker of a system across the bluegrass state, but it’s finally beginning to pull away. Once this gets out of here, the focus is firmly on an interesting look for the first week of November. It’s a look straight out of early wintertime.

Many areas have picked up a general 1″-2″ since Thursday and we will add a little more through tonight.  Here are your radars to follow the decreasing bands of showers working through…

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Clouds and some drizzle will linger into Sunday morning across central and eastern Kentucky, but the clouds do try to break into the afternoon. Highs range from the middle 50s to low 60s depending on where you are across the state.

Trick-or-treating looks to be in good shape with fair skies and pleasant temps.

The setup next week is cold and will be WAY below normal for the first week of November. Here’s a look at how the week may play out:

  • A cold front moves in late Monday and early Tuesday but has little moisture to work with.
  • A stray shower or is possible with this. There is also an outside chance for a flake to fly.
  • Temps are cold behind it and likely stay in the 40s and low 50s on Tuesday.
  • Cold air continues to press in here Wednesday through the weekend.
  • Low pressure likely develops around Texas by Wednesday and this rolls northeastward and may impact our weather late Thursday into Friday.
  • The more wrapped up this system is, the better the chance for rain and some snow in parts of our region.
  • Model waffles are going to be strong with this setup, so be aware of that.
  • If we get an impact from this storm, there’s the chance for some folks to not get out of the 30s for highs.
  • Low temps behind this next weekend will be deep into the 20s.

Let’s get a check on how the models are seeing things. The EURO has been the most consistent in showing a full blown winter weather system and it’s doing the same thing with the latest run. Here’s the animation from early Tuesday into next weekend…

The Canadian is similar to what some of the latest runs of the EURO have been seeing with a more wrapped up system. Here’s the animation from Tuesday morning through Friday night…

The GFS is usually the Waffle House of computer models and we are seeing that play out right now.

Here’s how the current run of the GFS sees things…

Notice how it crushes the system well to the south, but does show some flakes in the southeastern part of Kentucky.

The run prior to that had a different outcome with the system being farther north into our region…

The models are trying to follow that up with a clipper looking system…

As mentioned, this is a very cold setup for the first week of the new month. The average 7 day temp anomalies from the Canadian…

This makes for some fun early season winter weather tracking.

Make it a great rest of your day and take care.