Good Saturday everyone and welcome to the weekend. We are kicking things off in arctic cold fashion across the state with most areas in the single digits and some spots below zero. That can’t be good on the old car battery. 
The cold remains through the weekend as we look ahead to a a couple of systems early next week that will bring more snow to the region. One of those systems could turn into a major winter storm for a lot of people in the eastern half of the country. That may include parts of our region.
As mentioned… the temps starting this saturday are bitterly cold and you can track the temps here…
Current Temps
Highs today are going to struggle yet again under a mix of sun and clouds. Temps will stay in the upper teens to around 20 in the north and low and mid 20s in the south. There will be a weak system pushing across the Ohio Valley this evening into tonight and this may have enough juice to spit out a few flurries or some very light snow… especially in the north and east. Temps for Sunday will stay cold with 20s for many except the far west where some low 30s will show up.
Things continue to look very interesting for next week and we will start it all off with a system working eastward across the state Sunday night into Monday. This will be fairly week… but looks to produce some light, accumulating snows for many areas. Here is the NAM for this time…
That brings us to the potential major winter storm across the eastern part of the country. It is still too early to tell what, if any, impact this storm will have on the weather around here. I suspect that will be a fluid forecast situation into Sunday when the models the models get a good look at all the energy diving into the plains states.
The poor GFS is lost in the woods and that is to be expected in such a setup. The rest of the models continue to take low pressure from around New Orleans Monday into Georgia Tuesday then up the east coast by Wednesday. The EXACT track of this low is going to be critical in terms of how much snow this can throw back our way. The Canadian and European Models continue to produce a snowstorm for parts of central and eastern Kentucky during this time.
Here is a look at the European Model track…
That’s not a bad track at all for a big snow around here. You can see a nice little inverted trough showing up on the Tuesday map. I would like to see that low for Tuesday just a bit farther westward as the track from the European is one that has us right on the fringe of a major snowstorm.
The new run of the NAM for Tuesday afternoon has the low starting out farther westward…
A slightly farther westward tracking low puts us in the middle of a shutdown snowstorm… one that goes just a bit east and we get light accumulations while areas to our east get slammed. It is really that simple, folks. The track of this low is going to be crucial and we will be updating the blog all weekend long with an upgrade possible at any time. I really want to get within 60 hours of this storm as I think it’s then we will see the track establish itself.
Have a great Saturday and check back. Take care.
Select Page
First! Haha! I think I’ve become addicted to CB’s site!
Just when I said something about you finally getting rest! Thanks for the update 🙂
Finally a new update! I can go to bed now!! LOL! Thanks Chris!
Yes! An update, an update that basically restates what we already knew, which granted, like CB said, is the best to do, but since this is a blog, I was looking for some conjencture, i.i. what does CB “think” it will do, I can pull the models and see what they are saying but I am not a meteorologist, perhaps with the next update we will get some more “meat” to this matter.
I’m glad that arctic air didn’t make it this far south into Knox County
If the low does push down close to New Orleans and run a track up through the eastern part of the state, katie bar the doors. I have been following weather for years and most of the time; we do get a huge snowstorm if that happens. I sooo hope it don’t. I am already well tired of all this snow and cold.
Right at 0.3 in Lawrenceburg this morning. LMK never seems to forecast low enough with snowpack–this is the third time this winter I’ve reached either zero or 1 above zero. Each time has been with a snowpack, and with a temp forecasted to go into the 5 to 10 above range.
For instance, last night, LMK started off forecasting 10 above for Lawrenceburg, then lowered it to 5 above in an update about 9:45. It wasn’t until 2:45 a.m. the possibility of zero temps were mentioned.
Don’t think my temp is an anomaly either..Frankfort, 10 miles up the road reached minus 2. I am in the city–not in an outlying area.
MJ why the bust on temps this morning? 5 degrees seems quite a bit off. Is there some unwillingness to lower temps when the models seem to not handle snowpack well?
Good Morning! I’m not sure I want a shutdown snowstorm. But, I might go beat the grocery rush just in case. 😉 I am already pretty stocked with the basics….just need the extras!
Minus 0.1 in Lawrenceburg!
Chris doesn’t seem as excited as he was 24 hours ago? His comment yesterday was “To be honest…I am this close to upgrading to a winter threat”. He doesn’t have the same confidence with the low which doesn’t bode well for central KY. we’ve had snow but I still want the mother load. Still time before boarding time for the imperial cruiser.
Here in Jeffersonville Ky, it is 1.2, quite cold. My take on the model runs, is that the low will be slightly too far south and east of us to get us into the shutdown snow. That is the how our weather shapes up, just a little snow for most of the state, enough to smooth out what we already have. But hey, I will take what comes.
Well, given some of the comments we have all made on here from time to time, I think Chris is erring on the side of caution. As he stated a couple of days ago, that was hit THOUGHTS, and not a forecast. So,even though I want to see that big snow, even Chris can’t control the weather….he can just look at the maps (this far out) and make an educated guess….(no offense meant to anyone, just trying to get us all to remember that the storm is still a little far out to be jumping to conclusions just yet.)
Wrap up….it’s a balmy 2 degrees right now in Lawrenceburg……BRRRRRRRRRRRRRR…..As for this possible snow event…we will see, what we see…..Hope it’s the BIG ONE!!!!
TRUST THE EURO, forget the rest.
Just got my electric bill from bg energy….2400 sq ft home was $428….im done with winter lol
The 6z NAM looks GREAT for us…..the GFS is still on (insert your choice of hallucinogen)….if this storm does not pan out, I am finished with this winter. Yeah we have nickled and dimed our way to some big snow totals for the year, but I want to measure one with a yard stick!!!!!
A Lexington channel just predicted rain tomorrow with a high of 28 degrees. Now, I’m no meteorologist, but I don’t think I’ve ever seen that happen. (Had to rewind and look at that again!; Yes, she said it and the graphic showed it.) That’s gonna be a cold, cold, rain.
That seems to be the case. I would say that if based on the model results CB was 70/30 close to pulling the trigger, he is now at about the opposite 70/30, but there is still a decent chance.
Mitch has a map that the flow seems about right but maybe 50 miles too west. Seems central KY has more of a shot for fringe results from the main system, but things can change 🙂
Of course, decade plus history is “not exactly” on our side 🙁 😉
Meant 30/70 now, but be nice if still 70/30 🙂
Dena! i saw that last night! i was puzzled. she said something like highs won’t even reach the 30s and in the next sentence said rain changing to snow. well THAT is something i have never seen. i bet the Weather God’s panties were in a twist about that!
Want SNOW, Not COLD! It hit -10 this morning! Any links to help keep an eye on this next system are always appreciated!
I checked out Chris’s other blog. All I can say, is the regulars on this one rock! You actually post something useful and intelligent. He did make a threat about starting to ban some folks on the other blog. LOL
Thank you, Chris, for your dedication to Kentucky, its weather and its people! It’s 3 degrees in my part of Woodford Co. and we ended up with about 3 inches of snow on our back deck. Just a reminder that a 10+ year pattern of winter weather isn’t even an eye blink for Mother Nature!
Anybody see any further trends westward with the track of the low on the 6z runs??
Looks like another general 1-3″ Storm with higher amounts further east. Its becoming more and more clear the track will be to the east. Seems like they all go north, south, east, never direct but atleast there are plenty to track this year.
Wow, didn’t realize how much the GFS was out to lunch until I looked at just one frame and saw nothing for the time period. It was 84 hours out.
I love this blog, but I’m wondering if the comments cover Louisville too, or if the thoughts and forecasts are generally for Lexington and off towards eastern Ky?
Not looking good at all right now, but plenty of waffles are yet to be served.
Low doesen’t get developed until monday..3 more days of ups and downs from the models,hope the nam stays on course,will the gfc get off drugs,please shift more to the west,will we lose more bloggers to the dark side…Oh the drama..
to ohiospin, i live in wayne, wva just south of huntington, wva. yes the other blog does have some serious issues at this time and the rudeness is only 1 of them if only the powers to be would address them all. 1. rudeness……2. typing comments, only never to see them get put on the screen. wsaz does not have a screen pop up and let you know if it went to moderation.
if you take time out to type something that is pretty lengthy such as i do most f the time, about 10 to 15 minutes, you sure the heck do not want to be doing it for nothing. i have made at least 5 comments over the past week and to this minute neither of them have made it to the screen. none were rude or derrogatory.
3. serious lag time. i may type a comment this morning and IF it does get put on the screen, it may be 10 hours later. yes, i agree there is a problem with rudeness, but there is other issues also that need to be addressed by the higher ups,
heck, i usually leave more comments on this blog than i do the other blog because at least it does get put on and usually within 5 minutes after i type it , it is on the screen.
According to my iPhone, it was -4 when I woke up this morning in Shelbyville!
Here in Lou. not getting to excited about the next storm to our east. It will not move far enought west to help us out. All of you on the east side of 75 should be concerned.
12z NAM says: BAM!! BAM !! BAM !!…:)
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/12/images/nam_pcp_084m.gif
Not sure what the temps are suppose to be at the end of the month, but I just looked at the GFS hr 264 for Feb 1 and it has -25 Celsius/-13 Fahrenheit. Freezing line all the way down to Florida. Looks like winter is here to stay…
Bring it on!!!! I know us two want as much as we can get!
can i say that i LOVE CB’s latest tweet? i know it is a ways out but i hope it sticks!
to the original bloggers that was abnd are here drom DAY 1, this system has the look we in eastern and SE KY havnt seen since,, well at least 20 years.
setting in the perfect area nw then west of the low.
this as BAILEY says if hit could be a SHUTDOWN STORMN.
looking at all the data I dont see how we as in SE/E KY miss a snow than I can call BIG DADDY as one crazy guy calls it.
I do agree with several mets as to the EURO will hit the storm and will get strongewr with each run.
this not me forcasting thiss is me looking at the pattern and also assaying eventually u get one. and after 20 years the odds are in our favor.
my meter went from a 5 to a 8 this morning on the OLD SCHOOL meter.
all rolo can say is WOW!!! my meter went from 5 to 8 this morning for eastern and SE KY.
u going see a big snow say in wolfe county and totals weay down as u get in lexington on that way.
this is a classic low movement. its a OLD SCHOOL producer for SE KY.
BLIZZARD TIM as u i know are looking at the data as I am, this best looking situation ive seen in 15 years plus/
rolo meter is at 12. best looking situation ive seen in 20 years for 15 inches of snow plus in SE /E KY
BLIZZARD TIM ur statement says it all WOW.
only thing that will change is nothing, maybe more snow totals, this storm coming an u better get ready.
I saw that Tim. Looks more north and west. Next couple of runs ought to be interesting. Hey CB, please give us your thoughts on this. Thanks.
Hold up here man, I want as much as we can get too!!!!! 🙂
Guys I heard this morning of totals from 15-20″ of snow for this system in Eastern KY.
AccuWeather is not usually that locally accurate, but this is an interesting blog…
http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/news/story/44753/next-weeks-snowstorm-is-a-big.asp
DANG! Just when Darth Bubba goes through time and expense of adding extra bunk beds to the Imperial Destroyer, a westward shift starts.
Looks like this system will be a coin flipper for a while longer. Best let CB use his own coin, since Darth’s is two headed 😉
I wonder if Obe Wan CB will go into T- mode?
Reading BubbaG’s posts on the world’s greatest weather blog is a great way to spend a Saturday…
If we can get the NAM, Euro and Canadian on the same sheet of music, showing a westward jog, then the trigger gets pulled. Interesting tidbit from Brian Goode from WAVE3 last night, says that the NAO is a factor in storm track. A negative NAO usually means a track along the coast towards the cities. A neutral (the forecasted NAO) is a tossup. My ten cents and amateur opinion, the storm takes a middle road solution, between the coast and the eastern Apps. Probably along the piedmont of the Carolinas. Correct me if I’m wrong, but such a track would yield moderate snow along and east of I75 with a sharp cutoff somewhere in central KY.
Lets hope all the models keep with the NAM track…Would like to see a furhter west track as this would aid the Lou. area. If it is going to miss Lou. I would love to see at least half the state get an OLD SCHOOL storm.
Its gonna snow! Meteorologists are saying up to 2 feet in central to eastern KY
Nah, I doubt it. It’s eye opening, but we need a few more models to agree on a solution. Basically it’s one awesome run for the NAM. I guess another thing to looks at-which model performs best in the 72 hour time frame?
This track would dump heavy snow, perhaps on the order of 1 to 2 feet, over the Appalachians. Snowfall rates would be intense with perhaps 1 to 3 inches per hour. Thats from Accuweather…
this is me, so excited forgot my name.
If the low can just come up the west side of the apps the entire state could be shut down….Don’t see that happening, but we could all hope for it…
The clipper headed this way for tomorrow has WWA along the track and putting down 3-5″ in its path. Are we underestimating this one and looking to the BIG ONE?
Is my ticket refundable and if not can I use it for credit on a future flight?
Coil flipper for another day, but the trend seems to be coming back to CB’s original thoughts. Seems east KY has a real good chance and central KY a decent chance.
Simple for me. Will wait for CB to go into threat mode and NOT just for east KY. No T-mode, no debate.
Even if you are in east KY, you will want central KY to be part of the main hit. This would mean more of a chance for the east, even if it shifts east 😉
Flying on Dark Force Airlines. you know the answer to that 😉
Perhaps Darth will at least give you the complimentary peanuts and beverage 🙂
Its going to be the mother load!!!!!! I gotta run to the store and stock up for the next 2 weeks, OMG!
This storm will not happen. No need in getting worked up.
Some people say 2 feet some people say nothing. What’s the deal. I think people are looking into the more positive snowy models too much. I agree this ain’t going to be much.
GFS finally over its hangover….its on!!!! It needs to shift west to put us in the bullseye. Feel this just might come together.
Eastern KY is looking to get hammered no matter what happens.
And there’s nothing you negative people can say or show to me to change that opinion. Hahaha!
yea its just a matter of how much now in SE/.E KY heavy snow cutoff though will break some in central ky heart.
it one of those 6 inches inlexinton and 16 inches i9n london east.
New NAM shows a weaker system than prior runs, eventhough it does appear to be tracking further west.
cuuuuuuuuu CAHHHHHHHHHHHH,, CUUUUUUUUU
CAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH, SNOWDOME I M UR FATHER… CUUUUUUUUUUU CAHHHHHHHHH
I will puke if the GFS latest run verifies. This will be a HUGE snow maker for the eastern U.S. If the model dosent trend west, we get another near miss. Lets be honest, now that the GFS has picked up on the storm, it nearly always does a better job than the NAM from this far out. The NAM is nothing but a tease, we see it over and over. If the NAM is still showing this inside of 48hrs, then take notice. This is the best shot we have had of going “old school” in several years. I cant mentally handle another Georgia snowstorm, I will go nuts!!!
JOE THE EURO IS OUR FRIEND, GFS is OTIS THE DRUNK.
dont worry trustthe EURO
hey MJ whats ur thoughts at this moment sir? tx
IF all of the models come together and continue the more Westward track, what would that mean for Morehead area? 12 inches or more?
Guys. I live just outsie of Charleston, WV. I love this blog more so than my local in Charleston. With your knowlege of the mags and forcasting tools is there a decent chance Charleston gets a big storm out of this? Appreciate any feedback.
The farther East and SE you are in Kentucky you best get to the grocery stores NOW while they have food! Not kidding! Hard to get up and down Mtn’s around here with ice and snow on them where the sun never hits.
Hope you are right my friend. Once the GFS gets the wrinkles worked out, it has been pretty good thus far. As a matter of fact, once it picks these storms up, it waffles less than any other model. Seems it is the last on board with picking up on storms, but once it does it works out pretty close towhat it says…
Thanks man, it just gets a little confusing because at times it seems Morehead gets lumped in the northern area in some forecasts, then East in other forecasts and actually NCentral in others!..haha, so I’m just trying to figure out if in this situation, we are at as far as heavy snows! Would love to see a 2 foot storm 🙂
The low will track farther west, central Ky will get dumped on and eastern and especially southeastern KY will get a MIX or RAIN…….wooo hoo yeah……hey why don’t we all make up forecast and get everybody so confused nobody knows what its going to do lol
IMO, IF THATS TRUE, ITS KIND OF IRRESPONSIBLE. THIS STORM IS JUST TOO FAR OUT TO PREDICT THAT WE WILL GET HIT. I HOPE WE DO, BUT ITS JUST NOT TIME YET TO MAKE THOSE KIND OF CALLS! I WOULD HAVE TO GIVE THE MODELS UNTIL MON MORNING BEFORE THEY HAVE A PRETTY GOOD GRASP ON THE STORM.
every1 east of i75 and south of i64 beter get ur generaters ready and ur frig stockd
LOL!!!!
I like your Enthusiasm but “Don’t put the cart before the horse”..The GFC clearly needs to shift alot to the west and even the nam needs a little tug to the west before anything big will happen..If models does not shift before sunday night kiss another one good bye..
I’m in between morehead & ashland area, just to the north of I-64, what are we looking at here?
http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/newsstory/2011/300x200_01221603_stormset122.jpg Check out that graphic from “accuweather”
I wouldn’t be surprised if Chris went into threat mode this afternoon.
well the NAM says BAM! the (G)ood (F)or (S)peculating model FINALLY sees a storm, so lets see IF it starts is USUAL NW corrections now…
I know it’s mother nature and this is a lot to ask but approx. when will we know at least 90% yes its coming or no its not? I live in southeast Ky. Someone please answer.
“So what you are saying, is there is a chance…” LOL
From Dumb and Dumber
What does this mean for Harlan County?
Dude, you kill me. It certainly wouldn’t be as fun without you around here.
It means run and hide. Harlan will be shut down for the week.
Go to the grocery! NOW!
Looks about what I expected! Thats why I said if you live in SE and Eastern KY you better get ready!
Right on cue, Chris says, lets pull the trigger on threat mode!!!!!
************ ALERT *************
CHRIS JUST SAID:
Will likely be upgrading to Winter Storm Threat with my next update. 39 seconds ago · reply
……………………….
HERE WE GO !!!! HERE WE GO !!!!!
“Will likely be upgrading to Winter Storm Threat with my next update.”
New tweet just now from CB!!
Chris just tweeted likely upgrade with next update.
winter storm threat likely only for far southern and eastern areas. I think that london to pikeville points southeast gets in on this but even here probably a 4-6 inch snow, the good stuff is going to be in virginia,north carolina and maryland.
When will the snow get started?
Chris has new tweet!!–oh, ….
1…I think its pretty certain now, that a storm is coming..
2… the question is. Will the storm go out to sea and now effect us much at all?
3… does the storm ride up the app. mnts. and PLASTER CEN. and E.KY. with the heaviest snowfall in many yrs??
These are the 10 million dollar questions that everyone will be trying to answer in the coming days….so sit back get the dramamine, popcorn,valum,whatever else you need to get ready for ANOTHER EXCITING EPISODE OF (((( AS THE BLOG TURNS )))…
Don’t see whats all the Hubbub is about..Clearly the GFC needs a big shift to the west and even the nam needs a tug west for anything big to happen..if models don’t start shifting before sunday night forget about the ‘Big One”..
Rolo, will post my thoughts later this afternoon or evening.
Im going to try to remain optimistic that we will get the good ole fashioned snow storm ..but I have to say doubt is definitely there as it seems most likely scenario, storm will hit like the rest, up the East Coast and throw us a few inches…BUT..of course it’s just saturday!
if someone can answer this question for me i’d appreciate it! When was the last time a storms track was nailed right from 4 days out? I think its a near miss at this point but this could easily become a ohio valley storm or the low could just as easily float out to sea and miss everyone its still pretty far out tue pm/wed is about 100 or so hours out.
TWC shows rain in Central VA. That shows how far west this system is showing right now.
Answer…. the daily double!!! Answer?(one would hope) What is option #3!!! 😀
Do you have a blog MJ?
Actually only 72 hrs out (3 days)…
Very realistic perspective…..I like it. But when will we know?
Once again I’ve got that feeling Charlie Brown must have everytime he tries to kick the ball. I’m not giving up my bunk on the imperial cruiser until it starts snowing.
Chris,
I am getting excited, I can’t wait to see the blog go into winter storm threat once again. I trying to not to get overly excited, but it is hard to not think we may get a major winter storm for southeast and eastern KY. Chris don’t keep us waiting too long. I hope this happens.
does any1 else see that accu weather is giving us 3-6 iches from tommorow evening through monday eveing.i might be looking at it wrong
THE RECENT STORM WE GOT THAT DUMPED A GENERAL 2-5 INCHES ACROSS THE STATE, CHRIS WENT INTO THREAT MODE, BUT NEVER ALERT MODE DID HE? Id say threat is like a watch and Alert is like a warning….Also….MJ….what are your 3 initials on the forecast discussion? I see there are more than one person at NWS with MJ in their name or am i seeing things?
Holy 12Z Canadian model. If that verifies look out! This could be the one my friends.
Frankfort, Lex and Louisville won’t get much from this but EKY, and SEKY will get the hammer.
Everybody lets take this to the Chat room. We could be talking about the BIGGEST snowstorm Eastern KY has seen since 1993.
http://www.ekywx.com/kychat.htm
Blizz, I think me and you are in the best area in KY for this system.
What’s it say??!!!!!
So, what does this mean for Mt. Sterling? Will we get a big snow, more than 6 inches? Really hoping so!!!
What about Sunday night, will it start then or are we looking at Monday?
Shane, come to the chat room.
Bluegrass region won’t see much if anything from this storm, another couple of inches maybe. It needs to come way west to get Lex, Louis, and Frankfort.
Do these temperatures make sense though? Some are forecasting up to 40 degrees as high Monday for Lexington. Will there be enough artic air for this to be an all snow storm or are we only talking about the back half of the storm?
I wanna come to the chat room, but I dont wanna chat. Can I?
I think he agrees with you very funny lol.
sure, not everyone comments, some just listen!!
Brandon what chat room are you at?
If taken verbatim, it would me 10″s+ for most of the state east of I-65. Once again just one model run and not my forecast but it’s definitely an eye opener.
yup just watching it come in now measuring snow in feet if correct.
Chris,
My wife and I took my daughter to the doctor in south Lex. this morning, and overheard a couple of teachers from Montgomery county talking about how much they love your blog! The word is out, way to go!
Can we get a link to this, or someone post the imagery. Please and thank you.
Mike M I love it! I think that is the perfect way to describe these piddly little snows that we get in central KY when many of us want THE big one! Maybe one day Lucy (Mother Nature) won’t pull the ball away and Charlie Brown will get his snow!!!
already emptied the stores to late for everybody else
he is MJ there is another forecaster named MJP.
Six things:
1. Just watched Piranha- NOT for kids!
2. This system will be volatile to forecast, so who really knows?
3. Big system, so if shifts west, east KY still gets slammed, since not narrow system like 1998. Assuming this pans out to begin with.
4. Still think central KY (except SE part) has a decent chance.
5. Threat mode equals good sign, but could be better sweet for many and be far east slam.
6. Do not get too excited, since a ways out still. Farther to fall on a let down.
http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html
bwg and lex would be 4-8 with amounts over a foot from london to ashland.
Milk: $2.99
Bread: $1.99
CB’s Blog & OLD SCHOOL THUMPEN: PRICELESS
So i posted this on my website, but im going to post it on here its kinda cool.
It’s a major update to my website, we have many connections in a few states lol
http://www.youtube.com/user/Riddlesweather?feature=mhum
6z CRAS shows an awesome storm for WV/EKY
Click my name for ky weather chat 😉
That movie is awesome!!! My 3 year old boy watched it all. He cried when I tried to get him away. lol
Okay… soooo… I’m trying not to get excited, except… I’m getting slightly excited! Can someone explain this to me a little, because honestly I’m still totally lost when it comes to location. I know Lexington is considered Central Ky, but where exactly/ or even approximately do we stand in the area of potentially seeing a good old fashioned pounding from this thing??
this storm will produce dynamical cooling when the heavier precipitation falls it brings down colder air from above any rain would quickly change to snow. However unlike all the powerdy snows we’ve had this would be a heavy wet snow.
That is not the best, since less wiggle room. You want central KY to be part of it so you have more wiggle room for shifts 😉
http://www.ekywx.com/kychat.htm
Not if you have a Jeep…
What do you all think Wayne County/ Monticello will get. I think we are considered south central. Please and Thank you!!
Let this system track further west! We need some love in the Louisville area! I’m tired of being nickeled and dimed!
Hold up your hands,if the storm tracks more to your left hand the more snow lex. will get..If it tracks to your right hand less snow for everybody…Lets all hope it tracks more to the left so everyone can enjoy the snow..
Is anyone else having trouble getting the blog to load? This has been going on for a few days for me, at times I completely give up on it loading.
Love this!
MOMMA when big storm on the horizon the traffic slows the blog down, the next couple days there be 600,000 hit or more each day theyu the storm.
only thing blog needs is a FACEBOOK share link.
the 12z JMA and UKMET models just came in and are further west with similar stories for heavy snowfall. the time to upgrade is now chris!!! by the way the 12Z JMA makes everyone happy.
Canadian made me happy 🙂
Can you please post the links to these?
Thanks!
folks unlike other storms, this storm is set in stone as far as a BIG ANOW for SE KY/
its just a question of how much.
right now id say 16 inches plus from london east and se.
Yes, can u please post these links? What does it say for the Lexington and somerset areas?
I’m starting to get really excited. Can’t wait for that update.
1. Batteries, check
2. Getting ready to head to the store, first systemsth
Getting really excited, Chris, I’m ready for that update. I have batteries in place and getting ready to head to the store. 🙂
What if the storm keeps shifting west and lets say the low goes up right in the heart of East ky..How much snow would that produce…
However the ecmwf appears to have shifted quite a bit to the east.
What about the morehad/ashland area?
we all like the canadian over the ECMWF right now. 🙂
Quite a bit?..I would say long gone..Hate it when the models start flip flopin all around..but this is just one model..Hopefully the others will prove it wrong..
I’m still not buying it!! At least not until I hear from my weather Guru!
yup. a party buster for sure. though we’re far from done.
For all you weather dudes that read and understand the models..Based on what the models are showing right now,what would your percent chance of a big snow for eastern ky or beyond be..and of course 0 to 100 being the percent range..I’ll start by saying so far i see at least an 80% for eastern and 30%for lex..
as Mitch stated, the 12z JMA run looks great for 2/3 of the state! 10″+ all the way back to Louisville! 15″+ east of 75…let the westward trend continue!!
http://grib2.com/jma/CONUS_JMA_SFC_ACCUM-PRECIP_144HR.gif
as far as the GFS goes, We are screwed if we want a big snow…..
Missed the tweet,CB working on an update
That’s my girl.
Hope Louisville doesn’t get left out of this one! I’ll believe 10+ when I see it piling up though! :o)
Winter Storm Threat coming per CB’s tweet.
Most of this is to fall from the 7am tue-7am wed time frame. It even has towns west of the Ohio river picking up 6″+. So, I’m really liking this trend. The more west, the more snow we all get!!
Yep,so excited it took me a few seconds to figure out WST..Believe I’ll go look at the ground..Got a feeling its gonna be a while before i see it again..
Until all the models come into agreement (including the capz) I am going to stay emotionally reserve.
Unfortunately, for all of us near Louisville, Brian Goode is on a 4day wk end vacation. So, no updates on FB, and no updates on Wave-3 blog. The others that work there aren’t near as passionate about the snow, as the Wave3 blog hasn’t heard a peep since 11 last night. Nobody’s comments can even go on the blog without one of the METS approving them. So, that’s why so many of us come here! It would be nice if Kevin or Andy would post more for us when Brian isn’t around. Hence, we can’t see RED BARON’s CAPz 5 model either, if they don’t give us updates…Ok, i’m done complaining. Just wanted to say what sooo many others are thinking but not typing, lol
3/4 big models are agreeing with a BIGGIE
Mitch I never figured you to be one to align with the dark side. I guess there may still be room for you on the imperial cruiser.
does the red baron post here with his capz model? he did one time on wave3.com blog but havent seen him yet…anyone know?
I just learned to be cautious after all these years my friend!!