Good Saturday, everyone. Our weekend is off and running on a cold note, but things do improve as we get into Sunday. That’s the good news. The bad news is we have a lot of rain coming once into the new week and it’s likely to bring another flood threat.
As usual, we start with the precious present. We have a weak cold front crossing the state early today and it may touch off a quick-hitting snow shower or some flurries in the north and east. Sunshine quickly takes over, but temps stay in the low and middle 30s for many.
Milder winds kick in for Sunday as highs reach the 50s for the entire state. Combine that with sunshine and you have the makings of an awesome weather day.
Clouds stream in on Monday as southwest winds continue to push temps closer to 60. This is ahead of the first of two storm systems moving through here in the week ahead. This one looks to bring heavy rain producing showers and storms through early Wednesday.
After a brief break in the rain later Wednesday and early Thursday, another storm system then works into the region and takes us through Friday night. That one may have heavy rain and some winter weather, but that’s about as specific as I can get from this point.
The main concern is heavy rainfall and the potential for flooding. This flooding threat looks to encompass much of the region…
The models continue to advertise several inches of rain during this time…
GFS
Canadian
As mentioned, the second system has the chance to produce some winter weather. The GFS goes back and forth on the track of this system, but the overnight run had more of a winter potential…
It does have a friend in the Canadian.
The winter potential depends on just how far south that boundary makes it after the Tuesday storm system rolls through. A bigger push of cold behind that would increase the odds for winter weather around here from the second storm.
I will throw you another update later today, so check back. Until then, have a good one and take care.
Rain & Fz. Rain the forecast sums up my winter.
Here in Maple, we had a little above average Snow Accumulations, which is more than we had in 2021 Winter. Will we be adding to that ? Good Question. With the MJO in phase 4 plus we are in negative ENSO phase and all the teleconnections running positive with the exception of the PNA trending negative. In my opinion I would say NO.
Here is the summary of the heavy rain event Wednesday night, which brought more than an inch of rain to many locations in the Chicago Metro Area, and also the snow event on Thursday afternoon and early evening. Even though the heaviest snow was in Central IL, the Chicago area received 1 to 4 inches of snow. There was about 2 1/2 inches of snow in my neighborhood in the SW Suburbs.
https://weather.gov/lot/2022feb1617