Good Monday to one and all. We are into the closing days of March and things continue to run colder than normal, but a mid-week severe storms threat is highlighting the week. Wednesday continues to look like a very active day in our region with severe storms and high winds.

Temps today and Tuesday continue to come in well under normal values for central and eastern Kentucky. Warmer air comes into western Kentucky on Tuesday then overspreads the entire region for Wednesday. Southwest winds will be strong and will boost temps deep into the 70s.

That southwest wind is ahead of a deep low pressure that heads from the Mississippi Valley into the Great Lakes late Wednesday into early Thursday. That drags a cold front from west to east across the state with strong to severe storms and high winds ahead of it…

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I made this map a few days ago and I’m still riding with it…

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Here’s the Wednesday Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

Damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes will be possible.

The high wind potential is really showing up well on the forecast models…

GFS

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NAM

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CANADIAN

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EURO

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Those are some major winds that may easily cause issues.

Colder winds will blow into late Thursday and Friday as temps come back down to start the month of April.

Another system then zips in this weekend and looks to bring chilly showers with it…

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Wanna see something pretty incredible? Look at the average 500mb heigh departures for the first 10 days of April from the ensembles…

GFS

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EURO

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Those are pretty spot on with the overall pattern to start the brand new month. Colder than normal numbers are a good bet.

With the milder air coming in today from the west, there’s the chance for a touch of overrunning moisture. Here are your radars to track any of that action…

 

Make it a great day and take care.